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The Impossible State

The Impossible State

North Korea is the Impossible State. Each week join the people who know the most about North Korea?The Center for Strategic and International Studies? Victor Cha, Mike Green, and Sue Mi Terry?for an insider's discussion with host H. Andrew Schwartz about the United States? top national security priority. Email your questions to [email protected].

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Diplomacy or Crisis with DPRK in 2024?

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha is joined by Dr. Jung Pak, deputy assistant secretary of state for Australia, New Zealand, and the Pacific Islands and the U.S. senior official for the Democratic People?s Republic of Korea at the US Department of State, to discuss the Biden administration's North Korea policy, DPRK-Russia cooperation as well as what to expect from North Korea in 2024.
2024-03-22
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Biden Administration's North Korea Policy

This bonus episode is from the JoongAng - CSIS Forum 2024: The Polycrisis in 2024 on March 3, 2024. Dr. Mira Rapp-Hooper, Special Assistant to the President and Senior Director for Indo-Pacific Affairs, White House National Security Council had a conversation with Victor Cha, Senior Vice President for Asia, CSIS to discuss Biden Administration?s North Korea Policy.
2024-03-07
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Is North Korea Really Ready for War?

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha is joined by Dr. Sung-han Kim, Former ROK National Security Advisor and Professor at the Graduate School of International Studies at Korea University, to discuss North Korea's current situation and recent developments as well as what to expect from North Korea in 2024.
2024-02-15
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Slow Boil: What to Expect from the DPRK in 2024

In this episode, Dr. Ellen Kim is joined by Dr. Victor Cha to discuss the Korea Chair's latest publication, Slow Boil: What to Expect from the DPRK in 2024, the likelihood of increased North Korean belligerence in 2024 and how it ties to the upcoming U.S. election. 
2024-01-31
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Anything Afoot in Japan-DPRK Relations in 2024?

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha is joined by Dr. James Brady to discuss the recent earthquake, the political fundraising scandal, and speculation regarding Japan-DPRK relations in 2024.
2024-01-16
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U.S.-ROK Alliance Under Trump 2?

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha is joined by Mr. Scott Snyder to discuss the upcoming external and internal pressures on the U.S.-South Korea alliance and what a second Trump Administration would mean for the Korean peninsula.
2023-12-20
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Japan's Foreign Policy in 2024

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha is joined by Ms. Yuki Tatsumi to explore Japan's foreign policy outlook for the upcoming year. 
2023-12-04
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U.S.-Japan-ROK Relations: Next Steps After Camp David

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha is joined by Dr. Katrin Katz to discuss the US-Japan-ROK trilateral relationship following the Camp David Summit, what to expect moving forward, and the challenges the US-Japan-ROK face in China, North Korea, and Russia.
2023-11-09
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The War in Ukraine and Russia-North Korean Arms Transfers: What's Next?

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha is joined by Ms. Jill Dougherty to discuss the current state of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the motivations of the DPRK following the Kim-Putin summit, and China's support for Russia's war.
2023-10-20
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The Sister

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha is joined by Dr. Sung-Yoon Lee to discuss his recent book, The Sister, and Kim Yo Jong's prominent role both inside and outside the state.  
2023-10-05
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A Renewed Axis: Putin and Kim

In this episode, Dr. Ellen Kim is joined by Dr. Angela Stent and Dr. Victor Cha to discuss the second summit between Kim Jong-un and Vladimir Putin, the significance of the meeting at the spaceport, and the reactions of the United States and South Korea to this summit.
2023-09-19
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South Korea's Role in a Taiwan Contingency

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha is joined by Dr. Sungmin Cho to discuss South Korea's role in deterring North Korea's opportunistic aggression in a Taiwan contingency and providing rear area support.
2023-09-06
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Reviewing the Camp David Trilateral Summit

This bonus episode is from the Reviewing the Camp David Trilateral Summit Event on August 29, 2023. Dr. Kurt Campbell, Deputy Assistant to the President and Coordinator for Indo-Pacific Affairs on the National Security Council, Ambassador Cho Hyundong of the Republic of Korea and Ambassador Tomita Koji of Japan discuss the summit and future trilateral relations.
2023-08-30
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A Week of Detention and Deterrence on the Korean Peninsula

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha is joined by Dr. Andrew Yeo to discuss a U.S. soldier who crossed into North Korea, short-range ballistic missiles conducted by North Korea, and the newly formed NCG between the United States and South Korea.
2023-07-27
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Can the Downward Spiral in China-Korea Relations be Stopped?

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha and Andrew Schwartz are joined by Ms. Bonnie Glaser to discuss the relations between South Korea and China, the upcoming NATO summit in July, and the relationship between China and North Korea during the COVID lockdown.
2023-07-03
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Deep Dive: North Korea's Missile Threats

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha is joined by Mr. Ankit Panda to discuss the recent North Korea's military spy satellite launch from the Sohae satellite launch site, North Korea's weapons development, and the 7th nuclear test.
2023-06-14
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Republic of Korea State Visit Policy Debrief with DAS Mark Lambert: Live from Georgetown University

This bonus episode is from Georgetown University's Asian Studies Program Event on May 5th. Dr. Victor Cha is joined by special guest Mark B. Lambert, Deputy Assistant Secretary for the Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs at the Department of State for a debrief on President Yoon?s State Visit to Washington and related policy discussion.
2023-05-19
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Yoon's China Policy: The Gloves are off?

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha is joined by Dr. Ramon Pacheco Pardo to discuss the recent Biden-Yoon Summit from the European perspective, Yoon's policy regarding China, economic coercion, and North Korea. 
2023-05-15
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The Biden-Yoon Summit: Success or Not?

In this episode, Victor Cha is joined by Jinmyung Kim, Washington correspondent for the Chosun Ilbo, to discuss the significance of Yoon's state visit and the takeaways on North Korean denuclearization and trilateral relations with the United States, Korea, and Japan.
2023-05-08
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Unpacking North Korea?s Isolation- The CommonHealth Crossover Episode

In a crossover episode with CSIS's The CommonHealth, Dr. Victor Cha is joined by J. Stephen Morrison, Senior Vice President and Director, Global Health Policy Center at CSIS, to discuss an update on what we know, suspect, and do not know about North Korea still in extreme isolation from the rest of the world; the status of its Covid outbreak and response; the heightened risk of famine; and the burgeoning exchange of North Korean weapons and ammunition in return for Russian food and energy.
2023-04-24
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Should We Sign a Peace Treaty with North Korea?

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha is joined by Ms. Jenny Town and Mr. Frank Aum to discuss the incentives versus pressure debate, rethink working theories around sanctions and China?s role in negotiations, and explore how North Korea is affected by its changing external security environment.
2023-04-03
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Do Sanctions Really Work on North Korea?

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha is joined by Dr. Soo Kim and Mr. Anthony Ruggiero to discuss sanctions on North Korea, the history of sanctions, how to measure its effectiveness, China?s reaction to sanctions and ultimately answer the question of whether sanctions really works on North Korea.
2023-03-07
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National Strategy for Countering North Korea

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha is joined by Ambassador Robert Joseph and Greg Scarlatoiu to discuss their recently released report for the National Institute for Public Policy regarding North Korea's current human rights situation, the Kim family regime, and the North Korean human rights movement ten years after the UN Commission of Inquiry on Human Rights in the DPRK.
2023-02-15
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Japan's New National Defense Strategy: Implications for Korea

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha is joined by Mr. Christopher B. Johnstone to discuss the implications of Japan?s new National Defense Strategy for the United States and Korea, the Biden-Kishida Summit, and ROK-Japan bilateral relation.
2023-01-20
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Countering Chinese Economic Coercion and NK?s Latest Test

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha discusses his new Foreign Affairs essay on what the U.S. and allies should do to counter Chinese economic coercion, plus a discussion of North Korea?s latest ICBM engine test.
2022-12-16
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South Korea?s National Security and the Current Situation on the Korean Peninsula

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha and Andrew Schwartz are joined by Dr. Chung Min Lee, Senior Fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace (CEIP) and Professor at the Korea Advanced Institute for Science and Technology (KAIST), to discuss his recent report on South Korea?s national security and defense review, and the relationship between ROK-Japan, DPRK, and China under the Yoon administration.
2022-12-12
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Japan-Korea Relations and DPRK's ICBM Launch

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha and Andrew Schwartz are joined by Professor Yasuyo Sakata, professor of international relations at Kanda University of International Studies in Japan to discuss bilateral Korea-Japan relations, trilateral U.S.-Korea-Japan cooperation and the North Korean growing threat.
2022-11-21
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Korea?s IRA reaction and 2022 National Defense Strategy on North Korea

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha and Andrew Schwartz are joined by Mr. Christian Davies, Seoul bureau chief of the Financial Times, to discuss the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) in the Korean context, North Korea's nuclear tensions, and the 2022 National Defense Strategy report on North Korea.
2022-11-04
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Shrimp to Whale: South Korea from the Forgotten War to K-Pop

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha and Andrew Schwartz are joined by Dr. Ramon Pacheco Pardo, professor at King's College London and KF-VUB Korea Chair at the Brussels School of Governance of Vrije Universiteit Brussel, to discuss his recently published book, Shrimp to Whale: South Korea from the Forgotten War to K-Pop, North Korea's recent missile tests and military capabilities, as well as South Korea's response to the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA).
2022-10-14
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VP Harris' Trip to Korea and the Current Situation on the Korean Peninsula

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha is joined by Ms. Jenny Town, Senior Fellow at the Stimson Center and Director of Stimson's 38 North Program, to discuss Vice President Harris' visit to Korea on September 29th, the impact of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), and how the war in Ukraine and the situation in Taiwan Strait affect Korean policy and North Korean calculations.
2022-09-28
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Abe's Legacy on Japan-Korea Relations

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha is joined by Mr. Nicholas Szechenyi, Senior Fellow with the Japan Chair and Deputy Director for Asia at CSIS, to discuss Abe's death, the implications of the Liberal Democratic Party, Japanese defense security reform under Prime Minister Kishida, as well as trilateral cooperation between the United States, Japan, and Korea.
2022-09-12
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Best of the ROK-US Strategic Forum 2022: Normalization of Korea-Japan Relations

In Session 2, " Normalization of Korea-Japan Relations," of the ROK-U.S. Strategic Forum 2022, speakers Dr. Choi Eunbong, Dr. Ellen Kim, Dr. Sheila Smith, Dr. Sohn Yul, and Dr. Yoon Young-kwan discussed ways to improve the bilateral relationship between South Korea and Japan.
2022-08-30
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Best of the ROK-U.S. Strategic Forum 2022: The Biden-Yoon Summit and Korea?s Pivot to Regional Leadership

In Session 1, "The Biden-Yoon Summit and Korea?s Pivot to Regional Leadership," of the ROK-U.S. Strategic Forum 2022, speakers Dr. Victor Cha, Dr. Ma Sangyoon, Mr. Robert Rapson, Dr. Yoon Young-kwan, and Amb. Mark Lippert discussed the U.S.-Korea alliance, the potential cooperation opportunities, and North Korea issues.
2022-08-26
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NK Leadership and The Sister

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha and Andrew Schwartz are joined by Dr. Sung-Yoon Lee from Tufts University to discuss the nature of North Korean leadership throughout three generations, Kim Il-sung, Kim Jong-il, and Kim Jong-un, as well as the rise of Kim Yo-jong, the subject of Dr. Lee's forthcoming book, The Sister.
2022-08-17
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State, Society and Markets in North Korea

In this episode, Dr. Victor Cha is joined by Dr. Andrew Yeo, senior fellow and the SK-Korea Foundation Chair in Korea Studies at the Brookings Institution's Center for East Asian Policy Studies, and professor of politics at The Catholic University of America in Washington, D.C., for a conversation on his latest book, "State, Society and Markets in North Korea," an overview of North Korea's market history, state-market relationships, COVID-19 impacts on markets, and reflections on U.S. policy perspective.
2022-07-28
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Best of the ROK-U.S. Strategic Forum 2022: Keynote Address by Daniel J. Kritenbrink

This special episode is from the 7th annual ROK-U.S. Strategic Forum on June 6, 2022, CSIS Korea Chair's premier international forum bringing together policymakers, experts, and officials to discuss US-ROK alliance issues. Moderated by Amb. Mark Lippert, Daniel J. Kritenbrink, Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian and Pacific Affairs, U.S. Department of State, delivers a keynote address on the U.S.- ROK Alliance.
2022-07-07
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North Korea's Missile Threat - The Truth of the Matter Crossover Episode

In a crossover episode with CSIS's The Truth of the Matter, Dr. Victor Cha and Andrew Schwartz talk about what is expected to be North Korea's seventh nuclear test and its repercussions - from our recent Beyond Parallel report.
2022-06-30
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Best of the ROK-U.S. Strategic Forum 2022: Welcoming Remarks by Lee Geun and Keynote Address by Wang Yunjong

This special episode is from the 7th annual ROK-U.S. Strategic Forum on June 6, 2022, CSIS Korea Chair's premier international forum bringing together policymakers, experts, and officials to discuss US-ROK alliance issues. Lee Geun, the president of the Korea Foundation opens the event with welcoming remarks. The Secretary to the President for Economic Security, Wang Yunjong, delivers a keynote address on economic security, supply chains, and the ROK-U.S. cooperation.
2022-06-23
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Korea-US-China Relations

In this episode, Andrew Schwartz and Victor Cha are joined by Ellen Kim, the deputy director of the Korea Chair at CSIS, and Jonathan Cheng, China bureau chief of The Wall Street Journal, for a discussion on the relationship between the United States, China, and Korea, including issues related to economics, foreign policy, and the current situation in Taiwan and North Korea.
2022-06-14
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Takeaways from the First Biden-Yoon Summit

In this episode, Andrew Schwartz and Victor Cha are joined by Christian Davies, Seoul Correspondent for the Financial Times to discuss the Biden-Yoon summit on May 21 as well as the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework, North Korea's missile and nuclear threat, and China's response to Biden's active agenda in Asia.
2022-05-26
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Covid-19 Outbreak in North Korea

In this episode, Andrew Schwartz and Victor Cha are joined by J. Stephen Morrison to discuss the Covid-19 outbreak in North Korea - which CSIS predicted back in March, the impact of the pandemic on the unvaccinated country, and the road ahead amidst ongoing health and food crises worsened by an extreme lockdown.
2022-05-19
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North Korea?s Burgeoning Missile Threat

In this episode, Andrew Schwartz is joined by Victor Cha and Tom Karako to discuss the implications of the current conflict in Ukraine on North Korea's missile threat. They also discuss what it means for North Korea's capability going forward and what practical steps can be taken to accomplish denuclearization.
2022-05-04
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The North Korean Missile Threat: Expert Roundtable

This bonus episode is from our second Tipping Points event, The North Korean Missile Threat: Expert Roundtable. Dr. Victor Cha hosted an expert roundtable on North Korea's latest missile developments, including the current state of their ballistic missile force, and how they may have advanced their technologies so quickly. He was joined by Joe Bermudez of CSIS, Markus Garlauskas of the Atlantic Council, Ankit Panda of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and Sue Mi Terry of the Wilson Center.
2022-04-01
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2022 South Korean Presidential Election

This bonus episode is from the CSIS Korea Chair?s YouTube series, The Capital Cable. Amb. Mark Lippert, Dr. Victor Cha and Dr. Sue Mi Terry were joined by an expert panel of Korean and American journalists, as well as opinion polling and foreign policy experts to discuss the results of the tightly-contested 2022 South Korean presidential election.
2022-03-17
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Yoon Seok-yeol's Foreign Policy with Kim Sung-han

This bonus episode is from the CSIS Korea Chair?s YouTube series, The Capital Cable. Amb. Mark Lippert is joined by special guest Dr. Kim Sung-han, former vice foreign minister and foreign policy advisor to South Korean presidential candidate Yoon Seok-yeol of the People Power Party, Dr. Victor Cha and Dr. Sue Mi Terry of the Wilson Center for a discussion on former Prosecutor-General Yoon?s foreign policy agenda.
2022-02-14
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Undeclared NK Missile Base 15 Miles from China Border

In this episode, Andrew Schwartz is joined by Victor Cha and Joe Bermudez to talk about the new CSIS report on the Hoejung-ni missile operating base, which is located just 15 miles from the Chinese border, and will, according to informed sources, likely house a regiment-sized unit equipped with intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBM).
2022-02-09
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A Look at the South Korean Presidential Election

In this episode, Victor Cha and Andrew Schwartz are joined by Sue Mi Terry of the Wilson Center and Christian Davies of The Financial Times for a conversation on everything you need to know about the upcoming March 2022 South Korean presidential election.
2022-01-31
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Lee Jae-myung?s Foreign Policy with Wi Sung-lac

This bonus episode is from the CSIS Korea Chair?s YouTube series, The Capital Cable. Amb. Mark Lippert is joined by special guest Amb. Wi Sung-lac, former vice foreign minister and foreign policy advisor to South Korean presidential candidate Lee Jae-myung of the Democratic Party of Korea, Dr. Victor Cha and Dr. Sue Mi Terry of the Wilson Center for a discussion on Governor Lee?s foreign policy agenda.
2022-01-14
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Best of the ROK-U.S. Strategic Forum 2021: Trilateralism and U.S.-ROK Alliance in Indo-Pacific Region

In Session 3, "Trilateralism and U.S.-ROK Alliance in Indo-Pacific Region" of the ROK-U.S. Strategic Forum 2021, speakers Andrew Yeo, Alex Wong, Kim Hyun-wook, Kim Ji-young and Victor Cha discussed U.S., Japan and South Korea trilateral relations and what it means for the Indo-Pacific region.
2021-12-09
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Best of the ROK-U.S. Strategic Forum 2021: Denuclearization and Peace on the Korean Peninsula: Is There a Way Forward?

In Session 2, "Denuclearization and Peace on the Korean Peninsula: Is there a way forward?," of the ROK-U.S. Strategic Forum 2021, speakers Dr. Sue Mi Terry, Mr. Richard J. Johnson, Dr. Yoon Young-kwan, Dr. Sheen Seong-ho and Dr. Kim Joon-hyung discussed the prospects and the way forward for denuclearization and peace on the Korean Peninsula with a new administration in South Korea in 2022.
2021-12-06
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