210 avsnitt • Längd: 85 min • Månadsvis
Industry veterans, degenerate gamblers & besties Chamath Palihapitiya, Jason Calacanis, David Sacks & David Friedberg cover all things economic, tech, political, social & poker.
The podcast All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg is created by All-In Podcast, LLC. The podcast and the artwork on this page are embedded on this page using the public podcast feed (RSS).
(0:00) Bestie intros! Jason goes "Founder Mode"
(1:03) All-In Summit lineup announcement
(9:01) Understanding "Founder Mode"
(32:52) Bolt is back in the news as Ryan Breslow goes "Founder Mode"
(52:28) Tech's Section 230 protections might be in danger after new ruling
(1:08:45) DOJ charges two Russians with infiltrating US media company
(1:22:42) Kamala's economic pivot
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Intro Music Credit:
Intro Video Credit:
Referenced in the show:
https://paulgraham.com/foundermode.html
https://x.com/chamath/status/1831003871344501069
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/PANW:NASDAQ
https://a16z.com/on-micromanagement
https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0679762884
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ABNB:NASDAQ
https://www.amazon.com/Five-Dysfunctions-Team-Leadership-Fable/dp/0787960756
https://techcrunch.com/2022/01/14/online-checkout-bolt-decacorn
https://www.paymentsdive.com/news/bolt-ceo-ryan-breslow-steps-down/618058
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/10/business/bolt-start-up-ryan-breslow-investors.html
https://techcrunch.com/2023/07/21/bolt-ex-ceo-ryan-breslow-subject-of-sec-probe
https://techcrunch.com/2023/10/06/bolt-ceo-discusses-moving-on-after-sec-probe
https://www.axios.com/2024/08/22/bolt-investors-baffled
https://x.com/MikeSacksEsq/status/1828795866590896599
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0JTcxIVlQfU
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1830440852411326782
https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1366266/dl
https://www.axios.com/2024/09/05/putin-harris-trump-2024-election-russia-interference
https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/30/tech/2020-election-russia-disinformation/index.html
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
https://www.liberalpatriot.com/p/the-rise-of-vince-lombardi-democrats
(0:00) Bestie intros: Buttons are back for fall
(1:48) Reid Hoffman joins the show, reminiscing on PayPal stories with Sacks
(7:52) State of AI: Nvidia, cluster buildouts, competition
(19:51) OpenAI's corporate structure and thoughts on Elon's lawsuit
(29:09) Inflection AI's deal structure with Microsoft, Lina Khan's impact on the tech industry
(41:27) Reid's perspective on Kamala being hot swapped for Biden, funding groups that attempted to keep RFK Jr. off ballots
(52:02) Reid's thoughts on growing antisemitism
(55:03) Thoughts on Kamala's economic proposals: price caps, wealth tax, etc.
(1:04:19) How Silicon Valley views both candidates, why Reid funded legal action against Trump
(1:19:03) Robert F. Kennedy Jr. joins the show and recaps his campaign and decision to back Trump
(1:31:13) Falling out with the Democratic Party
(1:37:26) Potential role in the Trump Administration, Make America Healthy Again agenda
(1:58:01) Sacks recaps RFK Jr's campaign, RFK Jr. on Trump's legacy
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Intro Music Credit:
Intro Video Credit:
Referenced in the show:
https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-announces-financial-results-for-second-quarter-fiscal-2025
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(1:59) Labor department revises down nonfarm payrolls by 818K
(15:02) MIT publishes data from first incoming class post race-based admissions ban
(36:16) Decision 2024: State of the race, Polls vs prediction markets
(52:33) Tale of two tickets: Private sector vs. Public sector
(1:05:19) Kamala Harris supports Biden's tax plans, including a 25% wealth tax on those with more than $100M in assets
Follow the besties:
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Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1826290040374243821
https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1664788807059660800
https://www.statista.com/statistics/269959/employment-in-the-united-states
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS
https://polymarket.com/event/fed-interest-rates-september-2024?tid=1724345228774
https://x.com/chamath/status/1826360792351957141
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/06/15/us/harvard-asian-enrollment-applicants.html
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
https://x.com/Polymarket/status/1826469365069271419
https://blockworks.co/news/polymarket-july-all-time-high-trading-volumes
https://www.crfb.org/blogs/kamala-harris-agenda-lower-costs-american-families
https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/General-Explanations-FY2024.pdf
(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason gets a dish named after him!
(5:27) DOJ considers breaking up Google after last week's antitrust ruling
(28:10) Starbucks replaces CEO with Chipotle chief
(45:37) Work culture, WFH's damage to informal mentorship
(59:20) Election update: Harris flips the polls despite unclear policy; reports of price control focus
(1:21:27) Boeing's Starliner disaster strands two astronauts in space
(1:33:54) Russia/Ukraine update: Ukraine wins land in Kursk, Nordstream report
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow on X:
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https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod
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https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod
Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://x.com/harry_schuh/status/1822030518038491400
https://www.wsj.com/business/starbucks-replaces-ceo-as-activist-investors-push-for-changes-43c33bff
https://s203.q4cdn.com/326826266/files/doc_financials/2024/q3/Q3-FY24-Earnings-at-a-Glance.pdf
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CMG:NYSE
https://www.wsj.com/articles/low-wage-workers-climb-the-earnings-ladder-20acd8af
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mzLCpmRad5o
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nearly-half-dell-full-time-215348261.html
https://x.com/Jason/status/1823826884112867609
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
https://x.com/JStein_WaPo/status/1823913395986305342
https://www.npr.org/2024/08/08/nx-s1-5068668/vance-walz-stolen-valor-military-record
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/08/15/kamala-harris-economic-policy-2024
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whip_Inflation_Now
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/WMT:NYSE
https://time.com/7009317/reintroduction-of-kamala-harris
https://x.com/TIME/status/1822951410956218385
https://www.axios.com/2024/08/11/kamala-harris-trump-taxes-tips-service-workers
https://www.socialcapital.com/ideas/2019-annual-letter
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BA:NYSE
https://www.azquotes.com/quote/1413855
https://spacenews.com/41891nasa-selects-boeing-and-spacex-for-commercial-crew-contracts
https://newatlas.com/space/first-manned-crew-dragon-flight-date
https://qph.cf2.quoracdn.net/main-qimg-26d9f1dddb4d24469b593b28f40d277b-lq
https://spaceflightnow.com/2016/08/02/boeing-nears-fix-for-cst-100-starliner-design-hitch
https://spacenews.com/crewed-starliner-test-flight-could-slip-to-2019
https://www.boeing.com/space/starliner/launch/archive.html
https://boeing.mediaroom.com/2024-06-05-Boeing-Starliner-Spacecraft-Completes-Successful-Launch
https://boeing.mediaroom.com/2024-06-05-Boeing-Starliner-Spacecraft-Completes-Successful-Launch
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/09/27/nord-stream-gas-pipelines-damage-russia
https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/nord-stream-pipeline-explosion-real-story-da24839c
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/04/03/nord-stream-bombing-yacht-andromeda
https://seymourhersh.substack.com/p/how-america-took-out-the-nord-stream
(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason is back from COVID!
(3:55) Yen carry trade unravels, Japan's unique economic issues
(27:22) Recession odds growing, is the US already in a "lowkey recession"?
(45:46) Why Buffett is selling Apple and massively increasing Berkshire's cash position
(55:54) Major antitrust ruling against Google, predicting outcomes
(1:22:41) Kamala picks Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate
Follow the besties:
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Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.wsj.com/health/wellness/covid-guidelines-2024-cdc-symptoms-contagious-cdefb6b8
https://tradingeconomics.com/japan/interest-rate
https://pebblewriter.com/the-yen-carry-trade-explained
https://www.statista.com/statistics/604424/median-age-of-the-population-in-japan
https://x.com/GoldmanSachs/status/1793998451291615316
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/10/business/archegos-bill-hwang-guilty.html
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE
https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-this-year
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.DJI:INDEXDJX
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.IXIC:INDEXNASDAQ
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ABNB:NASDAQ
https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1799085407394845087
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/AAPL:NASDAQ
https://www.ft.com/content/2aa3b542-d4e4-4afb-8d81-89bb734d7b17
https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/25032786-googleruling
https://x.com/Jason/status/1820823406503157764
https://x.com/chamath/status/1817893425137508474
https://www.vox.com/2018/10/31/18039528/tech-employees-politics-liberal-employers-candidates
https://www.natesilver.net/p/tim-walz-is-a-minnesota-nice-choice
https://x.com/NickFondacaro/status/1820840411335737852
https://x.com/KamalaHQ/status/1820918063966962143
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/08/06/politics/tim-walz-inside-harris-vp-pick
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/07/us/politics/vance-walz-military-record.html
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(0:38) Election update: Dems energize around Kamala, policy questions remain
(19:33) Trump's NABJ interview: smart or risky?
(33:07) Markets expect rate cut in September, but are we already in a recession?
(40:58) AI buildout causing short-term volatility
(45:46) Assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh: are we inching closer to war in the Middle East?
(1:06:17) Bill Ackman withdraws Pershing Square USA IPO
Follow the besties:
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https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
https://x.com/jeffstorobinsky/status/1818722254542590012
https://apnews.com/business/inflation-general-news-31d83873be23c658d66526745482d572
https://x.com/grdecter/status/1819362069797654784
https://www.wsj.com/economy/consumers/inflation-interest-rates-wealth-loans-51d4276e
https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/initial-us-employment-reports-overstated-jobs
https://www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/q1-gdp-slows-inflation-dips
https://www.ft.com/content/bad6ca0b-82fb-4ddb-b6b8-bd09dacd47ae
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/01/world/middleeast/how-hamas-leader-haniyeh-killed-iran-bomb.html
(0:00) Bestie intros: Nostracanis appears!
(3:50) Wiz turns down Google's $23B offer, intends to IPO
(13:30) CrowdStrike's rough week
(17:51) Market update: Mag 7 sell-off?
(22:47) Sam Altman's UBI study was a mixed bag
(42:02) Succession IRL: Rupert Murdoch's children are in a legal battle over the future of his media empire
(48:35) Biden out, Kamala in: Hot swap complete, speed-run primary subverted
(1:03:08) Antisemitism rising, Josh Shapiro as a VP candidate
(1:08:37) Sacks responds to smear campaign
(1:26:46) Science Corner: China's nuclear buildout
Follow the besties:
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https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod
Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/23/google-wiz-deal-dead.html
https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-71924-big-tech
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/12/snowflake-shares-slip-after-att-says-hackers-accessed-data.html
https://www.crowdstrike.com/blog/falcon-update-for-windows-hosts-technical-details
https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/23/business/delta-flight-cancellations/index.html
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CRWD:NASDAQ
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/23/alphabet-set-to-report-q2-earnings-results-after-the-bell.html
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/VIX:INDEXCBOE
https://public.websites.umich.edu/~mille/ORUS_Health.pdf
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/24/business/media/rupert-murdoch-succession-fox.html
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4790684-kamala-harris-polls-donald-trump-wisconsin
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/05/us/politics/biden-interview-stephanopoulos-abc.html
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/03/biden-no-ones-pushing-me-out-00166497
https://www.axios.com/2024/07/23/inside-harris-sprint-democratic-nomination
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/21/why-biden-dropped-out-00170106
https://apnews.com/article/biden-election-trump-democrats-329071c25dfaaae583b5f06184586267
https://x.com/JoeBiden/status/1815080881981190320
https://x.com/paulg/status/1816334112086712830
https://x.com/paulg/status/1771640321446683060
https://www.sec.gov/files/litigation/admin/2017/33-10429.pdf
(0:00) Bestie intros: Live from the RNC!
(1:34) Reacting to the assassination attempt against President Trump
(12:52) Impact of charged rhetoric
(21:15) Secret Service's massive failure; institutional decay
(37:02) Inside the RNC: Sacks breaks down his speech
(41:16) Trump picks JD Vance as his running mate
(58:52) All-In Summit scholarship applications are LIVE!
(59:46) VC update: Exits creeping back, Sequoia's secondary offering for Stripe, Google in talks to acquire Wiz for $23B
Apply for the All-In Summit:
https://summit.allinpodcast.co
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
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Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Sacks RNC speech:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rLArznk0Ns4
Jason's links (16:34):
https://pt.icct.nl/article/donald-trump-aggressive-rhetoric-and-political-violence
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/08/11/business/media/el-paso-killer-conservative-media.html
Referenced in the show:
https://x.com/TeslaVee/status/1813785645472690479
https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/08/politics/fact-check-trump-january-6/index.html
https://x.com/DylanByers/status/1811855698566975936
https://x.com/newrepublic/status/1810009748697448541
https://pt.icct.nl/sites/default/files/import/pdf/nacos-et-al.pdf
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/08/11/business/media/el-paso-killer-conservative-media.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pot7R0Affjs
https://x.com/cb_doge/status/1813289249288134660
https://x.com/mualphaxi/status/1812579998735491327
https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1813270784942494110
https://theintercept.com/2022/07/14/jan-6-texts-deleted-secret-service
https://x.com/yashar/status/1813757637584134615
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/16/us/politics/trump-vance-vp-decision.html
https://x.com/VivekGRamaswamy/status/1812929198433964249
https://x.com/RitaPanahi/status/1813790835332595863
https://x.com/RWTNews/status/1813779819697725669
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h4FnpoNU8AI
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xejs4gGUpjE
https://www.axios.com/2024/07/15/sequoia-capital-stripe
https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q2-2024-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor-first-look
https://www.axios.com/2024/07/18/president-biden-drop-out-election-democrats
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(4:29) Macro picture: Soft landing secured? Rate cut on the horizon? Plus: partisan economic perception
(20:48) AI sentiment turns bearish due to massive spend with little revenue
(40:51) A16Z's 20K GPU cluster
(46:41) Broad implications of France elections
(1:06:10) Hot swap update: President Biden holds firm as backers flee, press corps chaos, speed-run primary chances
Apply for All-In Summit: https://summit.allinpodcast.co
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
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Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://x.com/teddyschleifer/status/1811423421861113915
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/11/cpi-inflation-report-june-2024.html
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA
https://ycharts.com/indicators/sp_500_pe_ratio
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-news-poll-analysis-americans-rate-economy-partisan-lens
https://www.sequoiacap.com/article/ais-600b-question
https://x.com/natfriedman/status/1668650915505803266
https://x.com/CilComLFC/status/1810110921383010563
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/10/opinion/joe-biden-democratic-nominee.html
https://x.com/greenfield64/status/1811199262350532767
https://x.com/Olivianuzzi/status/1808924240529535352
(0:00) New format: The All-In Interview!
(0:59) Jonathan Haidt joins Jason and Friedberg: broader themes of his work, gamification and supercharged social media
(12:39) Understanding how humans are wired from an evolutionary biology perspective
(27:22) Haidt's proposals to help younger generations
(33:12) Linking themes and trends in Haidt's books with recent college protests
(48:17) Explaining traditional liberalism and conservatism
(56:55) Lightning Round: Parenting tips, Gen Z employees
Jonathan's website:
Buy The Anxious Generation:
https://www.anxiousgeneration.com/book
Follow the besties:
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https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok
Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.anxiousgeneration.com/take-action
https://www.azquotes.com/quote/1385350
https://www.azquotes.com/quote/926752
https://www.thecoddling.com/chapter-1-antifragility
(0:00) Bestie Intros!
(5:51) Democrats and their donors are falling out; President Biden to resign? Will VP Harris be the nominee?
(26:22) Cognitive decline coverup, Bestie strategy for Dems
(34:38) SCOTUS clarifies social media moderation
(47:06) SCOTUS overturns Chevron, limiting the power of federal agencies
(1:00:03) SCOTUS to hear case on restricting online porn in Texas
(1:05:27) SCOTUS rules in favor of President Trump in immunity case
Join/host a meetup: https://app.getriver.io/all-in
Apply for All-In Summit: https://summit.allinpodcast.co
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow on X:
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https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod
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https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok
Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/03/us/politics/biden-withdraw-election-debate.html
https://polymarket.com/event/will-biden-drop-out-of-presidential-race?tid=1720024531014
https://www.newsweek.com/putin-houthis-cruise-missiles-russia-yemen-1919434
https://www.ft.com/content/d431b97f-7431-4066-bd80-9dab3b215fea
https://www.axios.com/2024/06/30/top-aides-shielded-biden-white-house-debate
https://x.com/TheKevinDalton/status/1806669560852218045
https://x.com/0rf/status/1807620571934478683
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/supreme-court-social-media-laws-florida-texas
https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/22-277_d18f.pdf
https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/22-451_7m58.pdf
https://x.com/noalpha_allbeta/status/1808265251202167183
https://x.com/ewarren/status/1808241509738631388
https://www.axios.com/2019/06/01/supreme-court-justices-ideology
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/06/02/supreme-court-justice-math-00152188
https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/23-939_e2pg.pdf
https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/07/justices-rule-trump-has-some-immunity-from-prosecution
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/qanon-shaman-sentenced-3-years-role-capitol-riot-rcna5825
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(1:54) Debate recap and analysis: Hot swap incoming?
(16:53) Subverting democracy, power grab, Democratic party shakeup
(36:43) Why tech job postings are down significantly from pre-COVID levels
(42:43) OpenAI considering for-profit conversion
(54:11) The problem with safety-focused AI startups
(1:03:20) EU charges Microsoft with antitrust violations for bundling Teams into Office
Follow the besties:
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https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://polymarket.com/event/will-biden-drop-out-of-presidential-race?tid=1719589320811
https://x.com/KellyO/status/1806505436457189594
https://x.com/WesternLensman/status/1806660589315658003
https://x.com/stoolpresidente/status/1806496453545586779
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YMnkqY98Cyo
https://x.com/benioff/status/1805664701298491623
(0:00) Bestie intros: Big house talk!
(1:37) Economy: Regulation, taxes, tariffs, taming inflation, de-dollarization
(12:02) Federal debt: growth, spend control, where to cut, role of energy, nuclear
(20:22) Foreign policy: Ukraine/Russia
(25:05) Foreign policy: Israel/Palestine
(28:13) Abortion: Stance on a national ban
(31:09) Foreign policy: China
(32:33) COVID: Origins, Fauci relationship, deep state, bad deals
(39:39) Border: Wall, immigration, H-1Bs, recruiting global talent
(46:07) JFK Files: Full release, importance of transparency
(48:06) Debate prediction
(50:15) Post-interview debrief
Follow the besties:
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https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://x.com/tyler/status/1803872859938549920
https://x.com/cameron/status/1803876953860247831
(0:00) Bestie intros: bringing up the energy!
(8:48) Trump fundraiser recap
(23:16) Elon's comp package approved by shareholders
(40:12) Apple announces "Apple Intelligence" and ChatGPT deal at WWDC
(50:17) OpenAI reportedly hits a $3.4B revenue run rate
(1:05:26) Macro debate: State of the US economy?
Follow Tim Naki:
https://www.instagram.com/tim.naki
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https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.instagram.com/tim.naki
https://x.com/eoghan/status/1799161733766062545
https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/1800979079472288145
https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/1797086962626494840
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1801084780035154058
https://x.com/jhall/status/1795794521604718814
https://companiesmarketcap.com
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RXeOiIDNNek
https://x.com/chiefaioffice/status/1801022115426009309
https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&q=%2Fg%2F11khcfz0y2&hl=en
https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?q=%2Fg%2F11khcfz0y2&hl=en
https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS
https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/outlook/economic-outlook/jobs-report-may-2024
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES0500000003
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/07/jobs-report-may-2024-us-job-gains-totaled-272000-in-may.html
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL
https://x.com/VinnyLingham/status/1801129023168454907
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1aw5bbb/world_economy_on_nvidias_shoulders
https://www.instagram.com/stocktradingmemes/p/C3qer-sSfb0/?img_index=1
(0:00) Besties intros!
(2:10) Responding to recent media coverage
(17:58) DOJ/FTC strike deal to target Nvidia, OpenAI, and Microsoft
(32:40) Meme stocks are back: Keith Gill aka Roaring Kitty resurfaces, disclosing nine figure position in GameStop
(58:36) Citadel and BlackRock back TXSE to take on NYSE and Nasdaq
(1:02:34) Apple to announce OpenAI iPhone deal at WWDC
(1:09:07) Science Corner: Alarming ocean temps continue, what to expect for hurricane season
Follow the besties:
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https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQQhAg0mfF8
https://x.com/vkhosla/status/1769529054955446533
https://x.com/vkhosla/status/1796293773389127987
https://x.com/shaunmmaguire/status/1796415146077954329
https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1798100723617698097
https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1798779830521000426
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/05/technology/nvidia-microsoft-openai-antitrust-doj-ftc.html
https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/ftc-opens-antitrust-probe-of-microsoft-ai-deal-29b5169a
https://companiesmarketcap.com
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F9cO3-MLHOM
https://www.reddit.com/user/DeepFuckingValue
https://x.com/TheRoaringKitty/status/1789807772542067105
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GME:NYSE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-VO6dtFRes
https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/GME/gamestop/revenue
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/18/business/melvin-capital-gamestop-short.html
https://www.instagram.com/tim.naki/reels
https://listingcenter.nasdaq.com/assets/Board%20Diversity%20Disclosure%20Five%20Things.pdf
(0:00) Bestie Intros: Jason's first show for his new production company
(2:15) Why Sacks and Chamath are hosting a Trump fundraiser
(18:40) House COVID investigation: findings, cover-up, what's next?
(41:36) The Deep State Problem: unelected bureaucrats running three letter agencies for decades
(53:04) Crypto Corner with Chamath
(1:04:15) State of SaaS: Salesforce drops 20%, market teetering
(1:20:10) Trump verdict: guilty on 34 counts of falsifying business records
(1:37:36) Are we seeing an AI correction?
Follow the besties:
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Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.axios.com/2021/07/20/fauci-rand-paul-wuhan-institute
https://x.com/emilyakopp/status/1795482121739354552
https://x.com/R_H_Ebright/status/1795454118594568312
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jGxSlW0NrB4
https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/dual-use-research/feds-lift-gain-function-research-pause-offer-guidance
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3484390
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30418-9/fulltext
https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide/national-deficit
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nvQTXAgtA6s
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/05/30/nyregion/trump-trial-verdict
(0:00) Bestie intros: Recapping "General AI Hospital"
(2:46) Scarlett Johansson vs. OpenAI
(14:37) OpenAI's novel off-boarding agreements, ex-employee equity problem, and safety team resignations
(25:35) Nvidia crushes earnings again, but it faces a trillion-dollar problem
(40:05) Understanding why economic sentiment is so negative among US citizens despite positive data
(1:02:36) New study shows plastics in testicles
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
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https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod
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https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok
Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://x.com/BobbyAllyn/status/1792679435701014908
https://x.com/sama/status/1790075827666796666
https://openai.com/index/how-the-voices-for-chatgpt-were-chosen
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2024/05/22/openai-scarlett-johansson-chatgpt-ai-voice
https://x.com/SydSteyerhart/status/1792981291266138531
https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/351132/openai-vested-equity-nda-sam-altman-documents-employees
https://x.com/sama/status/1791936857594581428
https://x.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322
https://x.com/janleike/status/1790603862132596961
https://x.com/janleike/status/1791498184671605209
https://openai.com/index/openai-announces-leadership-transition
https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-announces-financial-results-for-first-quarter-fiscal-2025
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/INTC:NASDAQ
https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/nvidia-2023-vs-cisco-1999-will-history-repeat
https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/03/06/is-nvidia-doomed-to-be-the-next-cisco-what-investo
https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/nvidia-and-the-cautionary-tale-of-cisco-systems.379022
https://chamath.substack.com/p/2023-annual-letter
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/may/22/poll-economy-recession-biden
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CCLACBW027SBOG
https://x.com/KariLake/status/1792986501820850333
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/MCD:NYSE
https://www.wsj.com/economy/gdp-and-the-dow-are-up-but-what-about-american-well-being-87f90e6d
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1365-2605.2007.00837.x
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/12708228
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7559247
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21524797
https://academic.oup.com/toxsci/advance-article/doi/10.1093/toxsci/kfae060/7673133
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6yuYkfNh-k
(0:00) Bestie Intros: Recapping Phil Hellmuth's birthday weekend
(7:38) OpenAI launches GPT-4o: better, faster, cheaper
(29:40) Sacks demos Glue: How AI unlocked his Slack killer
(40:12) Friedberg walks through his major breakthrough at Ohalo
(1:01:35) Stanley Druckenmiller bets on Argentina and Javier Milei: strategy, roadmap for the US
(1:13:54) Jason's bet on Athena, how AI will change company building
(1:22:21) Google launches AI summaries in search
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
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https://twitter.com/theallinpod
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https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod
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https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok
Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.pokernews.com/news/2024/05/phil-hellmuth-60th-birthday-bash-las-vegas-45984.htm
https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1790130703721521305
https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1790089513387143469
https://crfm.stanford.edu/helm/mmlu/v1.3.0/#
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1378034932006592512
https://www.athenawow.com/jcal
https://calacanis.substack.com/p/startup-productivity-in-the-age-of
https://blog.google/products/search/generative-ai-google-search-may-2024
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XEzRZ35urlk
(0:00) Welcoming Sam Altman to the show!
(2:28) What's next for OpenAI: GPT-5, open-source, reasoning, what an AI-powered iPhone competitor could look like, and more
(21:56) How advanced agents will change the way we interface with apps
(33:01) Fair use, creator rights, why OpenAI has stayed away from the music industry
(42:02) AI regulation, UBI in a post-AI world
(52:23) Sam breaks down how he was fired and re-hired, why he has no equity, dealmaking on behalf of OpenAI, and how he organizes the company
(1:05:33) Post-interview recap
(1:10:38) All-In Summit announcements, college protests
(1:19:06) Signs of innovation dying at Apple: iPad ad, Buffett sells 100M+ shares, what's next?
(1:29:41) Google unveils AlphaFold 3.0
Follow Sam:
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow on X:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
Follow on Instagram:
https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod
Follow on TikTok:
https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok
Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/EconomyApp/status/1622029832099082241
https://twitter.com/tim_cook/status/1787864325258162239
https://openai.com/index/introducing-the-model-spec
https://twitter.com/SabriSun_Miller/status/1788298123434938738
https://www.archives.gov/founding-docs/bill-of-rights-transcript
https://twitter.com/ClayTravis/status/1788312545754825091
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=snbTCWL6rxo
https://www.digitimes.com/news/a20240506PD216/apple-ev-startup-genai.html
https://www.theonion.com/fuck-everything-were-doing-five-blades-1819584036
https://blog.google/technology/ai/google-deepmind-isomorphic-alphafold-3-ai-model
(0:00) Welcoming Sheryl Sandberg and remembering Dave Goldberg
(11:10) What led Sheryl to get involved with "Screams Before Silence"; reaction to sexual violence on and after 10/7
(28:18) Paths forward, documentary decisions, involvement of women in protests
(53:03) Post-interview debrief
(59:45) Science Corner: Open-source AI gene editing with OpenCRISPR-1
Follow Sheryl:
https://twitter.com/sherylsandberg
Watch Screams Before Silence:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAr9oGSXgak&rco=1
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
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https://twitter.com/theallinpod
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https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok
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https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/fakechamath
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAr9oGSXgak&rco=1
https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/20/opinions/sheryl-sandberg-something-we-can-all-agree-on/index.html
https://news.un.org/en/story/2024/03/1147477
https://thegrayzone.com/2024/03/07/media-concocts-un-hamas-rape-report/amp/
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/29/world/middleeast/israel-hamas-sexual-violence-un.html
(0:00) Bestie Intros: Reservation Tips!
(5:20) Meta goes scorched earth in AI, why the stock was down despite beating on earnings
(22:20) Tesla's roadmap, ranking the company's highest-upside bets outside of cars for the next 10 years
(47:25) FTC bans noncompetes: impact on startups and company formation
(1:00:33) Besties reminisce on their encounters with Steve Jobs
(1:10:25) TikTok "divest-or-ban" bill is signed into law: Will China comply? What's it worth without the algorithm? Will a deal get done?
(1:27:22) Biden's proposed capital gains hikes and a 25% wealth tax for those with $100M+ in assets
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
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https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod
Follow on TikTok:
https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok
Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://ai.meta.com/blog/meta-llama-3
https://huggingface.co/meta-llama/Meta-Llama-3-8B
https://about.fb.com/news/2024/04/introducing-our-open-mixed-reality-ecosystem
https://about.fb.com/news/2024/04/meta-ai-assistant-built-with-llama-3
https://www.cnn.com/2024/04/25/investing/meta-stock-plunges-ai-spending/index.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kiMTRQXBol0
https://twitter.com/AravSrinivas/status/1781099224169320500
https://twitter.com/lauramaywendel/status/1782040453266710551
https://twitter.com/naveengrao/status/1781491370114633816
https://twitter.com/winglian/status/1783456379199484367
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1780302197772952049
https://electrek.co/2024/03/16/tesla-full-self-driving-beta-v12-finally-rolls-out
https://www.ft.com/content/46aac746-4a54-437f-a0b7-9b81b154c21d
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ
https://www.tesla.com/blog/master-plan-part-deux
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1776663647735218491
https://digitalassets.tesla.com/tesla-contents/image/upload/IR/TSLA-Q1-2024-Update.pdf
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/25/gdp-q1-2024-increased-at-a-1point6percent-rate.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pja_n8ThDsU
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1777496946263134414
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/03/technology/cruise-general-motors-self-driving-cars.html
https://thehill.com/business/4615452-ftc-votes-to-ban-non-compete-agreements
https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases/2024/04/ftc-announces-rule-banning-noncompetes
https://www.techemails.com/p/steve-jobs-emails-adobes-ceo
https://venturebeat.com/business/how-steve-jobs-felt-betrayed-by-eric-schmidt-over-googles-android
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWOt9Cjq2mw
https://www.theverge.com/2024/4/24/24139036/biden-signs-tiktok-ban-bill-divest-foreign-aid-package
https://www.aclu.org/press-releases/senate-reauthorizes-and-expands-section-702-surveillance
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1783220583075111401
https://www.wsj.com/tech/tiktok-ban-chinese-owners-bytedance-1a857a06
https://x.com/MsMelChen/status/1783524423963697262
https://x.com/Jason/status/1783556155924705388
https://x.com/Jason/status/1783604248569360516
https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/General-Explanations-FY2025.pdf
(0:00) Bestie Intros: Chamath recaps the Breakthrough Prize Ceremony, "High IQ foods"
(9:49) All-In Summit update, Poker styles of Andrew Robl, Jason Koon, and Phil Hellmuth
(14:38) Google fires protestors
(35:08) Chaos and culture wars at NPR
(40:43) Humane's AI Pin: Marques Brownlee's review, the Ex-Apple issue, polarizing reactions
(1:02:28) Startup tax crisis: How a recent provision upended R&D deductions
(1:12:39) Sports betting scandal: NBA player Jontay Porter banned for life, explosion of sports betting in the US
(1:23:33) How to get better at chess, childhood Bestie schemes
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow on X:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
Follow on Instagram:
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https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok
Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/NoTechApartheid/status/1780278895058518468
https://www.notechforapartheid.com
https://www.theverge.com/2024/4/17/24133700/google-fires-28-employees-protest-israel-cloud-contract
https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1779914595156808045
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israel-wins-gaza-battles-but-risks-losing-the-war-c6a3823f
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3-APSXZy9UI
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/02/world/middleeast/israel-gaza-aid-workers-killed.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/06/world/middleeast/israel-idf-soldiers-war-social-media-video.html
https://twitter.com/JustStop_Oil/status/1580883249228046336
https://www.npr.org/2024/01/24/1226035539/npr-ceo-katherine-maher-wikimedia
https://www.npr.org/about-npr/178659563/our-mission-and-vision
https://www.thefp.com/p/npr-editor-how-npr-lost-americas-trust
https://twitter.com/realchrisrufo
https://twitter.com/wokal_distance/status/1780695504210567335
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/has-humane-created-the-next-iphone-or-the-next-google-glass
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TitZV6k8zfA
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6xWXRk3yaSw
https://www.amazon.com/Anxious-Generation-Rewiring-Childhood-Epidemic/dp/0593655036
https://www.amazon.com/Nexus-Trilogy-Book-1-ebook/dp/B00TOZI7FM
https://www.amazon.com/Bad-Therapy-Kids-Arent-Growing/dp/0593542924
https://www.wsj.com/sports/basketball/jontay-porter-banned-gambling-5dd9c1a8
https://nypost.com/2024/04/17/sports/how-jontay-porter-orchestrated-failed-nba-gambling-scandal
https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/2024/1/31/24054415/lebron-james-joins-draftkings-football-sports
https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/38386013/how-nba-new-rules-resting-stars-work
Register for the All-In Summit: https://summit.allinpodcast.co
(0:00) Bestie Intros: J-Cal is out this week!
(0:57) All-In Summit 2024 Announcement
(3:10) Nvidia's market position, Collapse of Western cities, State of the cloud market
(17:30) Inflation stays hotter than expected for the third straight month: chance of a HIKE instead of a cut?
(45:41) AI disclosure bill: important step for creators or unnecessary?
(1:06:27) Drone warfare: The future of war, Silicon Valley's defense decision
Follow the besties:
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https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok
Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://summit.allinpodcast.co
https://laist.com/news/kpcc-archive/election-2014-prop-47-reduces-drug-and-property-cr
https://www.sfchronicle.com/sf/article/san-francisco-election-progressives-18699100.php
https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/core-cpi-736
https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/cpi-733
https://twitter.com/LHSummers/status/1778093870271664291
https://www.wsj.com/economy/inflation-march-cpi-report-interest-rate-239b7e5e
https://twitter.com/LHSummers/status/1762607548828360798
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1778098007625572487
https://www.city-journal.org/article/lisa-d-cooks-careless-scholarship
https://twitter.com/unusual_whales/status/1778479545613439455
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1777017715846455470/photo/1
https://schiff.house.gov/imo/media/doc/the_generative_ai_copyright_disclosure_act.pdf
https://www.theverge.com/2024/4/6/24122915/openai-youtube-transcripts-gpt-4-training-data-google
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xG1vOxwgqJw
https://twitter.com/sambendett/status/1774074927437475862
https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-has-seven-drones-every-one-ukraine-has-army-official-2023-12
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/12/world/europe/ukraine-drone-russia-jamming.html
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/19/missile-drone-pentagon-houthi-attacks-iran-00132480
https://govciomedia.com/dod-seeks-to-grow-partnerships-with-silicon-valley-startups
(0:00) Meet All-In's new CEO: Jon Haile!
(7:13) FTX Correction: Depositors are not getting "made whole"
(19:26) Trump Media updates
(27:12) Google considering bid to acquire HubSpot: Price, relevancy, feasible with regulators? Should Google investors be worried or excited?
(49:20) AI job loss fears go mainstream, potential for autonomous domestic robots in next five years
(1:11:17) Blinken says Ukraine will join NATO: WW3 risk, election implications
Follow the besties:
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https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.axios.com/2024/02/06/ftx-repay-customers-creditors-investors
https://www.reuters.com/technology/ftx-gets-court-approval-sell-crypto-assets-2023-09-13
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DJT:NASDAQ
https://www.barrons.com/articles/djt-truth-social-trump-media-stock-price-earnings-4ad7c458
https://www.barrons.com/articles/djt-truth-social-trump-media-stock-price-today-d2249f43
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/apr/03/trump-media-es-family-trust-2022-loans
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/03/business/trump-media-insider-trading-guilty.html
https://twitter.com/mtaibbi/status/1619029772977455105
https://nypost.com/2023/01/28/left-wing-think-tank-responsible-for-fake-russia-stories
https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/HUBS/hubspot/revenue
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/HUBS:NYSE
https://www.statista.com/statistics/266249/advertising-revenue-of-google
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_mergers_and_acquisitions_by_Alphabet
https://ir.hubspot.com/news/hubspot-reports-q4-and-full-year-2023-results
https://twitter.com/thedailyshow/status/1774995166778020059
https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1983/06/02/issue.html
https://m.imdb.com/name/nm0001394/mediaviewer/rm2226878976
https://twitter.com/lina_colucci/status/1775668500931268665
https://twitter.com/tsarnick/status/1748923998052975099
https://twitter.com/Figure_robot/status/1767913661253984474
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1746964887949934958
https://www.geckorobotics.com/company/robots
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1775926842257813910
https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-great-risk-front-line-collapse-war-russia
https://www.politico.eu/article/emmanuel-macron-ukraine-western-troops-remarks
(0:00) Bestie Intros: Late night poker snacks!
(2:33) SBF sentenced to 25 years
(16:41) Trump's meme SPAC: modern trading card, protest vote, or something else?
(34:59) RFK Jr. selects Nicole Shanahan as VP
(47:46) Biden's budget plan for 2025: how to confront America's existential crisis?
(1:11:59) Science Corner: Why the price of cocoa has skyrocketed!
(1:16:41) Movie talk and wrap!
Follow the besties:
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https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://coingeek.com/ftx-founder-sam-bankman-fried-sentenced-to-25-years-in-prison
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DJT:NASDAQ
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1849635/000119312524036093/d408563ds4a.htm
https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2023-121
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/18/business/melvin-capital-gamestop-short.html
https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1773147897439436939
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/bidens-2024-us-government-budget-is-also-campaign-pitch-2024-03-11
https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/budget_fy2025.pdf
https://manhattan.institute/article/the-limits-of-taxing-the-rich
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYFRGDA188S
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYONGDA188S
https://www.oecd.org/tax/revenue-statistics-united-states.pdf
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/inflation-chart-tracks-price-changes-us-goods-services
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/USGOVT
https://www.blackrock.com/corporate/investor-relations/larry-fink-annual-chairmans-letter
https://www.kakaoplattform.ch/about-cocoa/cocoa-facts-and-figures
https://www.movieposters.com/products/daliland-mpw-138836
(0:00) Bestie Intros: Don't spoil Dune 2!
(0:55) DOJ drops antitrust suit on Apple
(23:36) Apple reportedly in talks with Google and OpenAI to power AI features on iPhone
(32:17) NAR settlement: how it impacts residential real estate going forward
(44:30) Microsoft's "Shadow Acquihire" of Inflection AI
(48:43) How the besties would deploy $40B in AI as a sovereign wealth fund
(1:01:57) Reddit IPO: is risk-on back?
(1:07:17) Science Corner(s): Universe expansion, first pig kidney transplant in human, Neuralink
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.njd.544402/gov.uscourts.njd.544402.1.0_3.pdf
https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-sues-apple-monopolizing-smartphone-markets
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/AAPL:NASDAQ
https://www.macrumors.com/2023/10/11/google-pays-apple-billions-default-search
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1769751534940918234
https://nypost.com/2024/02/26/business/google-to-relaunch-woke-gemini-ai-image-tool-in-few-weeks
https://twitter.com/Patworx/status/1760189582870536408
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QNv9PRDIhes
https://www.wsj.com/real-estate/realtors-settlement-change-buy-sell-homes-da45eb23
https://inflection.ai/inflection-ai-announces-1-3-billion-of-funding
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/19/business/saudi-arabia-investment-artificial-intelligence.html
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/21/reddit-ipo-rddt-starts-trading-on-nyse.html
https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/fed-officials-still-see-three-cuts-this-year-0b039532
https://www.wsj.com/real-estate/commercial/americas-office-fire-sale-has-barely-begun-0c8d376f
(0:00) Bestie Intros!
(1:02) Friedberg's newest family members
(7:13) Tech's vibe shift: More candidness, less PR-speak from top CEOs
(22:47) OpenAI CTO slips up on training data: did OpenAI train Sora on YouTube videos?
(28:58) Vertical AI startups flourishing: Cognition launches Devin, what will this do to startups?
(40:38) TikTok debate: Is the new bill to ban or force a sale of TikTok fair or potentially overreaching due to its vagueness?
(1:22:10) Florida on the verge of banning lab-grown meat
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/RachaelRad/status/1767612555063955891
https://twitter.com/iamtomnash/status/1768135725403226256
https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1752749485070156025
https://futurism.com/video-openai-cto-sora-training-data
https://twitter.com/tsarnick/status/1768021821595726254
https://twitter.com/cognition_labs/status/1767548763134964000
https://twitter.com/heyBarsee/status/1767934812315062646
https://techcrunch.com/2023/06/27/vertical-ai-the-next-logical-iteration-of-vertical-saas
https://vator.tv/news/2018-02-05-when-paypal-was-young-the-early-years
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2024/03/13/tiktok-ban-passes-house-vote
https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/tiktok-bill-ban-house-vote-af4d0800
https://rollcall.com/2024/03/14/schumer-signals-slower-pace-on-tiktok-measure-in-the-senate
https://twitter.com/rabois/status/1768107160662421772
https://time.com/6900348/tiktok-ban-donald-trump-congress
https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-bill/7521/text
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_foreign_adversaries
https://twitter.com/davidfrum/status/1753878721163882676
https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-1985-09-04-mn-23112-story.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/22/technology/byte-dance-tik-tok-internal-investigation.html
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/14/tiktok-ban-china-would-block-sale-of-short-video-app.html
https://standingstonefarms.com/pages/microbial-rennet-what-is-it-and-how-important-is-it
https://twitter.com/Teslaconomics/status/1768395010507182252
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(0:55) Elon sues OpenAI: complex structure, tax issues, damages, past comparables
(37:06) OpenAI's focus on AGI, different interpretations of AGI in tech
(44:46) Groq update with Sunny Madra!
(49:53) Have we hit peak Apple?: Losing regulatory battles, iPhone stagnation, Buffett starts trimming
(1:06:25) TikTok ban: New proposed House bill would force ByteDance to divest TikTok, or ban the app outright
(1:21:08) Bitcoin hits new all-time high: impact of ETFs and an upcoming halving event
(1:25:06) Science Corner: More data on the negative impacts of microplastics in the bloodstream
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.scribd.com/document/710894515/Elon-Musk-v-Samuel-Altman-et-al-via-CNBC-com
https://openai.com/our-structure
https://openai.com/blog/openai-elon-musk
https://twitter.com/vkhosla/status/1765424996548333997
https://twitter.com/pmarca/status/1764039155154399490
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1765415187161464972
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1765387202953937224
https://companiesmarketcap.com
https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2023ltr.pdf
https://twitter.com/KevinAFischer/status/1764892031233765421
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/03/technology/ai-openai-musk-page-altman.html
https://www.epicgames.com/site/en-US/news/apple-terminated-epic-s-developer-account
https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/letters.html
https://www.statista.com/chart/22702/andoid-ios-market-share-selected-countries
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/17/us/politics/tik-tok-spying-justice-dept.html
https://apnews.com/article/tiktok-china-bytedance-user-data-d257d98125f69ac80f983e6067a84911
https://finance.yahoo.com/video/ex-google-engineer-charged-stealing-162030265.html
https://twitter.com/jawwwn_/status/1732888357980536924
https://youtu.be/kONhhKQi0pU?si=hmt0LbjgLprOHNEp
https://time.com/6846934/bitcoin-all-time-high-price-holdings
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BTC-USD
https://www.wsj.com/finance/currencies/bitcoin-etf-investing-blackrock-715f1bd9
https://www.coinbase.com/learn/crypto-basics/what-is-a-bitcoin-halving
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2309822
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S016041202200099X
(0:00) Bestie intros! Jato Caelin
(1:36) Groq update!: The key metric developer platforms should care about
(5:55) Google's make or break moment: Should Sundar be fired, AI safety team's power, RIF potential, stock pressure, and more
(29:17) How bloated HR departments slow down companies
(40:15) Google's licensing deals: Is this TAC 2.0? How can Reddit capitalize on its data?
(53:50) Klarna's huge AI innovation: AI disruption, open-source benefits, a new class of billion-dollar startups
(1:13:06) Reddit S-1 breakdown
(1:22:52) The Apple Car is dead: Apple cancels Project Titan
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GOOG:NASDAQ
https://twitter.com/PirateWires/status/1762842476744708171
https://twitter.com/lulumeservey/status/1762864255437516932
https://x.com/pmarca/status/1762532979317043515
https://twitter.com/shellenberger/status/1762900581134557636
https://twitter.com/shaunmmaguire/status/1760885099984261564
https://techcrunch.com/2024/02/29/google-brings-stack-overflows-knowledge-base-to-gemini
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1713445/000162828024006294/reddits-1q423.htm
https://static01.nyt.com/newsgraphics/documenttools/82a013b9ba852548/9d4b1790-full.pdf
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TLPFY:OTCMKTS
https://tech.facebook.com/artificial-intelligence/2022/10/ai-translation-unwritten-language
https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1763067849218850939
https://old.reddit.com/r/AskReddit/comments/3cs78i/whats_the_best_long_con_you_ever_pulled/cszjqg2
(0:00) Bestie intros: Banana boat!
(2:34) Nvidia smashes expectations again: understanding its terminal value and bull/bear cases in the context of the history of the internet
(27:26) Groq's big week, training vs. inference, LPUs vs. GPUs, how to succeed in deep tech
(49:37) Google's AI disaster: Is Google too woke to function as search gets disrupted by AI?
(1:17:17) War Corner with Sacks
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ
https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1760680756689748478
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1120484/nvidia-quarterly-revenue-by-specialized-market
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA?comparison=NASDAQ%3AQQQ&window=5D
https://twitter.com/JayScambler/status/1759372542530261154
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1760343973632291212
https://twitter.com/TheTranscript_/status/1760436281438314545
https://www.contraline.com/product
https://www.cafexapp.com/commercial
https://blog.google/technology/ai/google-gemini-ai
https://blog.google/products/gemini/bard-gemini-advanced-app
https://workspace.google.com/blog/product-announcements/gemini-for-google-workspace
https://twitter.com/benthompson/status/1760452419627233610
https://twitter.com/Patworx/status/1760189582870536408
https://twitter.com/micsolana/status/1760163801893339565
https://ai.google/responsibility/principles
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reinforcement_learning_from_human_feedback
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1760780139476992062
https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1760416051181793361
(0:00) Sacks Tequila Tasting!
(1:19) Nvidia's market cap surpasses Google, ARM's stock rips, Masa's big comeback
(15:36) Mind-blowing Sora demos: breaking down OpenAI's new text-to-video model
(51:24) The risks of companies issuing stock option loans
(1:04:57) Biden's cognitive decline, should the Democrats find a replacement? Plus, third party viability
(1:31:46) Takeaways from Tucker's Putin interview
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://companiesmarketcap.com/page/1
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ
https://www.ft.com/content/81ac0e78-5b9b-43c2-b135-d11c47480119
https://blog.google/products/gemini/bard-gemini-advanced-app
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ARM:NASDAQ
https://www.reuters.com/breakingviews/arms-weirdly-high-valuation-has-legs-2024-02-13
https://twitter.com/OpenAI/status/1758192957386342435
https://twitter.com/CultureCrave/status/1758212761748980089
https://blog.google/technology/ai/google-gemini-next-generation-model-february-2024
https://twitter.com/nathanbenaich/status/1758036247115608317
https://twitter.com/natfriedman/status/1758143612561568047
https://twitter.com/OfficialLoganK/status/1758198997590618550
https://huggingface.co/spaces/tsujuifu/ml-mgie
https://huggingface.co/stablediffusionapi/juggernaut-xl
https://twitter.com/jrichlive/status/1757258553688256895
https://twitter.com/jrichlive/status/1493392725814566914
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1757537426019598418
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1757537968083075137
https://thehill.com/homenews/media/4446630-biden-wont-sit-for-interview-with-cbs-before-super-bowl
https://babylonbee.com/news/man-ruled-too-senile-to-stand-trial-still-fine-to-run-country
https://fortune.com/2024/02/09/joe-biden-memory-confuses-egypt-mexico-press-conference
https://www.nytimes.com/1997/02/05/opinion/a-fateful-error.html
https://twitter.com/wikileaks/status/1497207251785818114
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/09/us/politics/biden-putin-tucker-carlson-peace.html
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(2:08) Apple Vision Pro breakdown
(20:46) Meta vs Snap: god-king CEO, dependent on ad revenue, drastically different performance
(32:53) Positive signals indicating a big SaaS bounceback
(41:06) VCs are split into three camps on how to approach AI investing
(1:12:16) Rolling real estate crisis continues
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1755273518416302522
https://www.macrumors.com/2024/01/29/apple-vision-pro-headset-sales
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1755386651080106166
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ
https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/META/meta-platforms/net-income
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SNAP:NYSE
https://corpgov.law.harvard.edu/2017/05/26/snap-and-the-rise-of-no-vote-common-shares
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/07/disney-q1-earnings-nelson-peltz-isnt-abandoning-proxy-fight.html
https://d18rn0p25nwr6d.cloudfront.net/CIK-0001326801/c7318154-f6ae-4866-89fa-f0c589f2ee3d.pdf
https://s25.q4cdn.com/442043304/files/doc_financials/2023/q4/SNAP-2023-Annual-Report.pdf
https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1754641005851328553
https://help.openai.com/en/articles/8554397-creating-a-gpt
https://twitter.com/ArtificialAnlys/status/1747264832439734353
https://blog.research.google/2009/06/speed-matters.html
https://chamath.substack.com/p/deep-dive-artificial-intelligence
https://twitter.com/danshipper/status/1751005727215301053
(0:00) Bestie intros! The guys try the Apple Vision Pro
(8:24) Zuckerberg apologizes to parents in hearing, Section 230 under fire from child safety reforms
(36:19) Delaware judge voids Elon's comp package, understanding Fortune 500 country club compensation
(1:08:26) Reddit reportedly targeting $5B valuation in potential March IPO
(1:16:17) Drone attack, risks of greater Middle East conflict, failures of the military industrial complex
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.vanityfair.com/news/tim-cook-apple-vision-pro
https://twitter.com/MKBHD/status/1752706894874202256
https://twitter.com/Box/status/1753085804115861766
https://twitter.com/briantong/status/1752645464204493147
https://www.meta.com/smart-glasses/shop-all
https://www.instagram.com/p/C0w4Agjvq5_/?img_index=1
https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1752749485070156025
https://ultimateclassicrock.com/judas-priest-suicide
https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN1GX0C0
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ
https://courts.delaware.gov/Opinions/Download.aspx?id=359340
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GM:NYSE
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1639459879546150913
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/19/missile-drone-pentagon-houthi-attacks-iran-00132480
https://weapons.substack.com/p/biden-dod-and-the-army-are-not-protecting
https://twitter.com/Global_Mil_Info/status/1752786864900108547
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(1:37) Markets rip on strong economic data
(17:05) Media's broken business model, death spiral
(35:47) Texas defies the Biden Admin on the Southern Border after SCOTUS votes in favor of the federal government
(1:04:18) Ethics of publishing non-public financial data
(1:13:07) Fintech's reckoning
(1:26:27) ARkStorm 2.0
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-012524
https://abcnews.go.com/Business/dow-closes-above-38000-record-high/story?id=106576234
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/05/business/economy/jobs-report-december-2023.html
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/24/tesla-tsla-earnings-q4-2023.html
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20240124a.htm
https://twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/1750529905627128154
https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide/national-debt
https://twitter.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1750537238578930101
https://news.gallup.com/poll/266807/percentage-americans-owns-stock.aspx
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS
https://twitter.com/maxwelltani/status/1750507633247678531
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/23/business/media/los-angeles-times-layoffs-newsroom.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/01/business/media/conde-nast-business.html
https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/23/business/conde-nast-staffers-walkout-layoffs/index.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/19/business/media/sports-illustrated-mass-layoffs.html
https://www.npr.org/2024/01/18/1225446347/pitchfork-faces-layoffs-and-restructuring-under-conde-nast
https://variety.com/2023/digital/news/jezebel-shutting-down-go-media-layoffs-1235785877
https://www.npr.org/2023/05/15/1173260377/vice-media-bankruptcy
https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1750537848447533207
https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters
https://www.wsj.com/us-news/illegal-immigration-record-border-6db29cad
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/migrant-crossings-u-s-southern-border-record-monthly-high-december
https://www.texastribune.org/2024/01/22/texas-border-supreme-court-immigration
https://gov.texas.gov/uploads/files/press/Border_Statement_1.24.2024.pdf
https://nypost.com/2023/08/19/biden-sells-border-wall-parts-to-thwart-gop-push-to-use-them
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/07/nyregion/adams-migrants-destroy-nyc.html
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-news-opinion-poll-americans-border-crisis
https://einvestingforbeginners.com/average-gross-profit-margin-by-industry
https://twitter.com/TexasLindsay_/status/1750427983448256552
https://twitter.com/WhidbeyWXGuy/status/1750006365790282175
https://twitter.com/US_Stormwatch/status/1749669643634233384
(0:00) Live from the WEF: "Oh Davos, Kumbaya"
(4:25) Why Davos lost its luster, plus major moments: Milei's speech, Jamie Dimon on Trump
(21:53) Boeing's regulatory capture leading to negative impact on consumer safety
(35:16) Adam Neumann facing familiar challenges at his new startup, Flow
(50:24) Evaluating "tech-enabled businesses" vs. traditional businesses that are utilizing technology
(1:00:47) Streaming at a crossroads: is the business model broken?
(1:20:51) Science Corner: New study on microplastics in water bottles
(1:32:42) All-In Poker
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/dschlopesisback/status/1747025441825640681
https://twitter.com/davidsacks/status/1747724966941139276
https://twitter.com/andrewrsorkin/status/1746723727574794537
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1746951952578298264
https://twitter.com/aphysicist/status/1747868626948907325
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2024/01/special-address-by-javier-milei-president-of-argentina
https://www.opensecrets.org/federal-lobbying/clients/summary?id=D000000100
https://www.opensecrets.org/federal-lobbying/top-spenders
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wXMO0bhPhCw
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TDG:NYSE
https://stacksonmain.com/gallery
https://www.societylasolas.com/photogallery
https://nypost.com/2024/01/11/sports/inside-nbcs-100-million-peacock-nfl-playoff-game-gamble
https://www.sportsvideo.org/2024/01/16/peacocks-nfl-playoff-exclusive-sets-live-streaming-records
https://www.businessofapps.com/data/disney-plus-statistics
https://www.businessofapps.com/data/netflix-statistics
https://www.manscaped.com/products/crop-preserver-manscaping
https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2300582121
https://www.xometry.com/resources/materials/polyethylene
(0:00) Bestie intros! Friedberg's jumper
(1:21) US and its allies strike Houthi targets in Yemen
(16:24) Markets: Q1 rate cut looks unlikely, December CPI print slightly hot, soft landing in jeopardy?
(29:46) Carta's mistake, why verticalized SaaS tools could be in trouble, Chamath's 8090 incubator
(51:02) Why and how Sacks is taking on Slack, where Carta went wrong with founders
(1:05:17) DEI debate: cultural significance, real solutions, Motte-and-bailey
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/SpeakerJohnson/status/1745642200866738254
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1745723423396118593
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1745604701654298826
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0120885
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1745514413782917262
https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/12/politics/joe-biden-lloyd-austin-yemen-houthis/index.html
https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/citi-swings-18-billion-loss-slew-charges-2024-01-12
https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=mcsstus1&f=m
https://twitter.com/karrisaarinen/status/1743398553500971331
https://henrysward.medium.com/how-we-handle-captable-information-c98d85d79277
https://henrysward.medium.com/should-carta-facilitate-secondary-trading-c319e0c9f080
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1744414462986375440
https://twitter.com/coffeewithone/status/1744488896766042277
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1745542094696145103
https://twitter.com/jasonlk/status/1745552662572208473
https://twitter.com/MattWalshBlog/status/1742583950944432607
https://www.oscars.org/awards/representation-and-inclusion-standards
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/23/business/pilots-diversity.html
(0:00) Bestie intros! Pasty Preppers
(4:17) 2024's Biggest Political Winner
(13:37) 2024's Biggest Political Loser
(19:41) 2024's Biggest Business Winner
(32:08) 2024's Biggest Business Loser
(37:31) 2024's Biggest Business Deal
(41:15) 2024's Most Contrarian Belief
(51:18) 2024's Best-Performing Asset
(56:46) 2024's Worst-Performing Asset
(1:06:14) 2024's Most Anticipated Trend
(1:12:28) 2024's Most Anticipated Media
(1:22:28) Emotional condition heading into 2024
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://lmc.icds.ee/lennart-meri-lecture-by-fiona-hill
https://news.gallup.com/poll/512135/support-third-political-party.aspx
https://geopoliticaleconomy.com/2023/08/10/us-saudi-arabia-sell-oil-dollars-chinese-yuan
https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=853724306532726
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/07/californias-budget-deficit-balloons-to-68b-00130624
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/10/28/in-grips-of-war-ukraine-faces-gloomy-demographic-future
https://razumkov.org.ua/en/articles/pension-system-can-ukrainian-pensions-be-saved
https://www.forbes.com/sites/rrapier/2023/08/30/us-natural-gas-production-sets-new-record-high
https://www.anduril.com/roadrunner
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/19/missile-drone-pentagon-houthi-attacks-iran-00132480
https://twitter.com/CeciliaZin/status/1740109465918328844
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/06/business/china-car-exports.html
https://img.caixin.com//2023-04-14/168147450347265.jpg
https://www.cnn.com/2023/12/21/china/china-russia-relations-record-trade-intl-hnk/index.html
https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm
https://thehill.com/opinion/4383282-turkey-is-a-us-ally-but-should-not-be-a-trusted-one
https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/12/06/turkey-nato-membership-alliance-russia-erdogan-sweden-syria
https://apnews.com/article/nato-sweden-turkey-erdogan-stoltenberg-639d70add38ec481253729b0e451f4ea
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2023/12/27/biden-endgame-ukraine-00133211
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/URA:NYSEARCA
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/12/28/the-west-may-now-have-no-option-but-to-attack-iran
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt9218128
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt13016388
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt11198330
https://www.amazon.com/Founders-Paypal-Entrepreneurs-Shaped-Silicon/dp/1501197266
(0:00) Welcome to the fourth annual Bestie Awards!
(4:14) Biggest Political Winner
(10:26) Biggest Political Loser
(15:14) Biggest Political Surprise
(23:02) Biggest Business Winner
(26:50) Biggest Business Loser
(30:32) Biggest Business Surprise
(35:57) Best Science Breakthrough
(40:30) Biggest Flash in the Pan
(42:34) Best CEO
(44:53) Best Investor
(47:07) Best Turnaround
(50:04) Worst Company
(54:21) Best Meme
(56:53) Best New Tech
(59:57) Best Trend
(1:02:12) Worst Trend
(1:07:42) Favorite Media
(1:12:40) The Rudy Giuliani Award for Self-Immolation
(1:17:02) Final Thoughts
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://time.com/person-of-the-year-2022-volodymyr-zelensky
https://time.com/6329188/ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-interview
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4319127-rfk-jr-leads-2024-candidates-in-favorability-poll
https://news.gallup.com/poll/512135/support-third-political-party.aspx
https://twitter.com/joosteninvestor/status/1737207130111819896
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/MSFT:NASDAQ
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/UBER:NYSE
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ
https://www.cnn.com/economy/live-news/federal-reserve-meeting-121323/index.html
https://www.ft.com/content/59fff67e-b136-4435-89e1-2400b90f4b83
https://twitter.com/NASA/status/173682682876386142
https://www.tmz.com/2023/10/13/taylor-swift-eras-tour-money-4-billion-profit
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVO:NYSE
https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/solana
https://www.wsj.com/health/pharma/pfizer-drug-company-cost-cutting-2da7524d
https://twitter.com/RebelNewsOnline/status/1615770518606561282
https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN28H0C7
https://www.courthousenews.com/fox-news-signals-its-unlikely-to-settle-smartmatics-2-7-billion-suit
https://twitter.com/thedailyfriday_/status/1686406249317830656
https://twitter.com/WatcherGuru/status/1730250975578038522/video/1
https://twitter.com/huavancuong1507/status/1737474510868058489
https://twitter.com/exjon/status/1348090383079641091
https://twitter.com/benswann_/status/1737547395766858206
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1737238320235831546
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt21152040
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt26230388
https://www.youtube.com/@TheDuran
https://www.youtube.com/@judgingfreedom
https://www.youtube.com/@DanielDavisDeepDive
https://www.amazon.com/Idea-Factory-Great-American-Innovation/dp/0143122797
https://www.youtube.com/@Thebobbialthoff
https://goop.com/the-goop-podcast
https://www.patreon.com/RedScare
https://cafe.com/cafe-insider-feed
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/09/us/university-of-pennsylvania-president-resigns.html
https://twitter.com/MailOnline/status/1732791280839610390
https://www.npr.org/2023/12/21/1220557358/rudy-giuliani-election-workers-lawsuit
(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason comes in hot, All-In's new Chairman Dictator, Holiday party recap, and more
(7:54) Understanding the trade disruption in the Red Sea: Houthis, global impact on trade, the dicey geopolitical situation, and how this compares to COVID freight prices with Flexport's Ryan Petersen
(35:55) Major M&A deals called off, downstream impacts of a hawkish regulatory environment
(54:15) The new era of startup building: less capital raised, less overhead costs, more profitable, smaller exits with higher founder/employee ownership percentages
(1:17:01) Bombshell class action lawsuits against the NAR and other real estate brokerages, how this could change residential real estate in the US
(1:31:58) Colorado bans Trump from primary ballots
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow Ryan:
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.figma.com/blog/figma-adobe-abandon-proposed-merger
https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/illumina-divest-cancer-test-maker-grail-2023-12-17
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ADBE:NASDAQ
https://www.wsj.com/personal-finance/real-estate-buying-home-charts-6dc40caa
https://www.redfin.com/guides/how-to-sell-your-home-without-an-agent-fsbo
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/02/us/politics/merrick-garland-biden-trump.html
https://cafe.com/cafe-insider-feed
https://www.lawfaremedia.org/podcasts-multimedia/podcast/the-lawfare-podcast
(0:00) Bestie intros: Mullets!
(2:56) Recapping Friedberg's holiday party
(9:29) Jury rules in favor of Epic Games over Google: How to handle the app store duopoly?
(23:21) OpenAI inks deal with Axel Springer
(35:02) FCC cancels Starlink subsidy, dissenting FCC Commissioner says federal agencies are targeting Elon Musk on Biden's orders
(58:25) Alex Jones reinstated on X
(1:22:59) Sacks receives an unlikely apology
(1:27:32) Besties take two questions from the audience
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.theverge.com/23994174/epic-google-trial-jury-verdict-monopoly-google-play
https://www.theverge.com/23959932/epic-v-google-trial-antitrust-play-store-fortnite-recap
https://www.wsj.com/tech/google-loses-antitrust-case-brought-by-epic-games-651f5987
https://support.google.com/googleplay/android-developer/answer/112622
https://twitter.com/openai/status/1734940445824937993
https://www.axios.com/2023/12/13/openai-chatgpt-axel-springer-news-deal
https://fairuse.stanford.edu/overview/fair-use/four-factors
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1730035957850833023
https://docs.fcc.gov/public/attachments/DOC-399068A1.pdf
https://twitter.com/HansMahncke/status/1735003655697244308
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/13/us/politics/hunter-biden-impeachment-testimony.html
https://twitter.com/BrendanCarrFCC/status/1734780816599703983
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1733529033575465381
https://twitter.com/DrJBhattacharya/status/1602052936921939968
https://medium.com/craft-ventures/section-230-mend-it-dont-end-it-e33799a43a5f
https://twitter.com/TheChiefNerd/status/1733496554701365582
https://twitter.com/Mark60480727/status/1735335623207038994
(0:00) Bestie intro!
(3:12) Ivy League antisemitism hearings
(21:55) State of the economy for consumers
(34:55) Signs of life in SaaS, VC shutdowns, and more
(44:59) Why Friedberg chose to take the role of CEO at Ohalo, and the dearth of great leadership talent in tech
(1:01:07) Google announces Gemini: Why this is a notable moment for Google, industry impact, and more
(1:11:50) Adobe's $20B Figma acquisition has stalled out due to the UK's CMA
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow Tucker:
https://twitter.com/TuckerCarlson
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://rankings.thefire.org/rank
https://www.ft.com/content/9c7931aa-4973-475e-9841-d7ebd54b0f47
https://academic.oup.com/poq/article-abstract/82/1/135/4868126
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CCLACBW027SBOG
https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/07/economy/americans-401k-plans-bill-payments/index.html
https://www.axios.com/2023/11/28/cyber-monday-spending-record-shopping
https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/14/economy/consumer-price-index-october/index.html
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/11/21/home-sales-fell-to-a-13-year-low-in-october-as-prices-rose.html
https://kalshi.com/markets/fed/fed-funds-rate#fed-23dec
https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1730607188341624851
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1718016818118553622
https://www.saastr.com/carta-startup-shutdowns-are-up-237
https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-12123-net-new-arr
https://twitter.com/friedberg/status/1732217863975641389
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K4pX1VAxaAI
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v5tRc_5-8G4
https://blog.google/technology/ai/google-gemini-ai
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1732482646419403077
(0:00) Bestie intros! Tucker Carlson joins the show
(0:59) Tucker's departure from Fox News
(10:49) The state of American society and the importance of rediscovering national alignment
(30:53) Why prosperity begets self-destruction, climate change, immigration
(59:48) Thoughts on the current political landscape and presidential candidates
(1:09:13) Media control, the importance of free speech platforms, Tucker's future, reacting to Elon's viral moment at the NYT's DealBook Summit
(1:33:56) Post-interview debrief
(1:41:49) Understanding the chaos at OpenAI
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow Tucker:
https://twitter.com/TuckerCarlson
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
Tucker Carlson segment links:
https://twitter.com/talkrealopinion/status/1728139279019188257
https://twitter.com/greg_price11/status/1729991837958414573
https://twitter.com/hansmahncke/status/1730019598064390597
OpenAI segment links:
https://openai.com/blog/sam-altman-returns-as-ceo-openai-has-a-new-initial-board
https://twitter.com/btaylor/status/1730030765482938521
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1726351777581449627
https://www.businessinsider.com/openai-ceo-sam-altman-hawaii-estate-napa-san-francisco-2023-11
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(1:25) Democratic Presidential Candidate Dean Phillips shares his business background
(13:11) Dean's time in Congress: witnessing legal corruption, thoughts on Biden's mental state, advantages of not being a career politician
(29:10) Foreign Policy: Russia/Ukraine, Israel/Hamas, China/US de-escalation, how he'd handle TikTok, immigration, border security
(56:08) US fiscal situation, healthcare, defense spending, restoring cross-party common ground
(1:19:30) Post-interview debrief
(1:29:12) Xi and Biden meet in San Francisco, Newsom up next?
(1:45:00) Science Corner!: DeepMind's new weather forecasting model
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/TalentiGelato/status/487275228952014848
https://www.pinterest.com/pin/491244271857449720
https://designreplace.com/dean-phillips-us-congress
https://braveneweurope.com/michael-von-der-schulenburg-hajo-funke-harald-kujat-peace-for-ukraine
https://www.sfgate.com/politics/article/biden-floats-newsom-for-president-apec-in-sf-18496249.php
https://www.axios.com/2023/11/07/china-economy-negative-foreign-investments
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1718016818118553622
https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/1724093441519341573
https://www.sfgate.com/politics/article/biden-floats-newsom-for-president-apec-in-sf18496249.php
(0:00) Bestie Intros: Sacks keeps receipts!
(1:14) Jared Kushner joins the show: background, Trump's campaign validation
(13:12) State of Israel vs Hamas, escalation risks
(23:04) Historical context around Israel's relationship with the Arab world, understanding the modern Middle East
(38:55) Failed solutions, Israel's response, paths to stability
(1:04:54) GOP debate, establishment blind spots, pragmatic politics, tribal infighting
(1:15:36) Improving macro picture, potential impact on 2024 election cycle
(1:28:03) Russia-Ukraine
(1:32:53) Big week in AI: OpenAI DevDay, xAI launches Grok, Kai-Fu Lee's announcement
Follow the besties:
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Follow Jared:
https://twitter.com/jaredkushner
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1722342698110304752
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1722288226235498511
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=In1MYEc0-10
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WM2NS
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CORESTICKM159SFRBATL
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10YIE
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MMMFFAQ027S
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ADYEY:OTCMKTS
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DASH:NASDAQ
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DDOG:NASDAQ
https://twitter.com/sundeep/status/1722635065983897910
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1721029443160772875
https://twitter.com/kaifulee/status/1721321096727994590
https://openai.com/blog/introducing-gpts
https://openai.com/blog/new-models-and-developer-products-announced-at-devday
(0:00) Bestie intros, All-In CEO talk, and Chamath's research product
(10:49) Ukraine has its “Cronkite Moment”
(16:56) Market outlook: are we in for a Q4 rally?
(22:05) CRE chaos: SF's firesales, understanding the second-order effects from CRE debtholders
(41:38) WeWork will reportedly file for bankruptcy as soon as next week, Sacks makes the case for a turnaround
(46:42) Biden's Executive Order on AI: end game, regulatory capture, confusion over clarity as a strategy
(1:08:07) Silicon Valley's shift right
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1718722437217685810
https://twitter.com/ShaanVP/status/1719461817699733831
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1719887650688282786
https://responsiblestatecraft.org/zelensky-war-time-magazine
https://twitter.com/davidsacks/status/1719815317000733153
https://time.com/6329188/ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-interview
https://time.com/person-of-the-year-2022-volodymyr-zelensky
https://twitter.com/RothCRE/status/1719833548780195882
https://twitter.com/real_bill_gross/status/1720094066183139359
https://twitter.com/real_bill_gross/status/1719010907806904452
https://www.kqed.org/news/11957640/budget-deep-dive-san-francisco
https://www.wsj.com/articles/wework-plans-to-file-for-bankruptcy-as-early-as-next-week-1fdcb6a5
https://s23.q4cdn.com/100276410/files/doc_financials/2023/q2/WeWork-2023-Q2-Press-Release-FINAL.pdf
https://hardcoresoftware.learningbyshipping.com/p/211-regulating-ai-by-executive-order
https://variety.com/2023/film/news/joe-biden-worried-ai-mission-impossible-dead-reckoning-1235775115
https://chamath.substack.com/p/the-case-for-big-action-to-regulate
https://twitter.com/ImMeme0/status/1713413678765126062
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(1:16) WW3 risk, is WSJ trying to escalate US vs Iran?
(22:02) Nuclear risks
(33:28) Best case scenarios for de-escalation
(40:34) Murky macro picture: Main Street disconnects from Wall Street, startup shutdowns, challenged returns
(1:09:14) Cruise robotaxi accident update
(1:12:59) Hurricane Otis's rapid progression and the second-order effects on US coastal communities
(1:24:47) Jason reflects on his time in the Middle East
(1:31:09) New House Speaker and Trump case update
Follow the besties:
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Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/09/28/world/europe/russia-ukraine-war-map-front-line.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/25/us/politics/us-israel-gaza-ground-invasion.html
https://unherd.com/2023/10/republican-hawks-now-want-a-war-with-iran/
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iran-israel-hamas-strike-planning-bbe07b25
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/hamas-fighters-trained-in-iran-before-oct-7-attacks-e2a8dbb9
https://www.reuters.com/article/israel-palestinians-usa-senator-idAFS8N3BG0A6
https://www.wsj.com/articles/bidens-red-line-moment-with-iran-9e1bbf5a
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iran-israel-hamas-strike-planning-bbe07b25
https://www.cnn.com/2023/07/07/politics/joe-biden-cluster-munitions-ukraine/index.html
https://nypost.com/2023/10/15/biden-insists-us-can-tend-to-both-ukraine-and-israel-at-the-same-time
https://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/Nuclearweaponswhohaswhat
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1717049864180379761
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/25/world/middleeast/erdogan-turkey-hamas-israel.html
https://jordantimes.com/opinion/daoud-kuttab/king-abdullah-calls-peace-immediate-stoppage-war-gaza
https://www.bea.gov/sites/default/files/2023-10/gdp3q23_adv.pdf
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1716608344264470868
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CART:NASDAQ
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/KVYO:NYSE
https://techcrunch.com/2023/10/24/dmv-immediately-suspends-cruises-robotaxi-permit-in-california
https://getcruise.com/news/blog/2023/a-detailed-review-of-the-recent-sf-hit-and-run-incident
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/25/democrats-opposition-mike-johnson-house-speaker-00123624
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/25/us/politics/mike-johnson-house-speaker.html
(0:00) Bestie intros
(0:49) State of Israel/Gaza: Information wars, delayed ground war, domestic political pressures
(23:20) Understanding Israel's political dynamics, feelings throughout the Middle East, why a two-state solution has failed in the past
(42:56) Harvard and Penn megadonors cut ties
(50:43) The EU's DSA: consumer protection or censorship regime?
(1:06:05) GLP-1: the second biggest hype cycle of 2023
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/robbystarbuck/status/1714629327134834975
https://twitter.com/EndWokeness/status/1714416589724864790
https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1714432578852438392
https://www.axios.com/2023/10/14/iran-warning-israel-hezbollah-hamas-war-gaza
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/11/1/far-right-ben-gvir-emerge-as-key-player-in-israel-election
https://thehill.com/policy/defense/4252590-americans-israel-palestinians-hamas-survey
https://www.washingtonpost.com/posteverything/wp/2014/07/21/the-two-state-solution-r-i-p
https://www.cnn.com/2023/10/19/business/harvard-upenn-donors-israel/index.html
https://www.cnn.com/2023/10/13/business/harvard-idan-ofer-board/index.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/15/business/harvard-upenn-hamas-israel-students-donors.html
https://nelc.sas.upenn.edu/events/2023/09/22/palestine-writes-literature-festival
https://rankings.thefire.org/rank
https://twitter.com/samaberman/status/1713687680280641596
https://twitter.com/ThierryBreton/status/1714637297939788107
https://www.theverge.com/23845672/eu-digital-services-act-explained
https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/speech_23_5126
https://www.reuters.com/technology/big-tech-braces-roll-out-eus-digital-services-act-202308-24
https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/QANDA_20_2348
(0:00) Opening statements on the Hamas terror attacks in Israel
(3:49) Contextualizing the attacks and the fallout so far
(19:52) Trump administration's wins, Kushner's competence, path to a two-state solution
(28:51) Letter from Harvard student organizations: understanding the reaction and fallout
(46:53) The Biden Admin's next steps, electing excellence in leadership
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1711544829828862144
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1711501410712654162
https://twitter.com/GenFlynn/status/1711156580828295246
https://twitter.com/lexfridman/status/1712170815637061914
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=co_MeKSnyAo
https://twitter.com/LHSummers/status/1711421307227607255
https://www.harvard.edu/president/news/2023/war-in-the-middle-east
https://twitter.com/LHSummers/status/1711761982469107955
https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1711788747086233661
https://www.amazon.com/Inconvenient-Minority-Admissions-American-Excellence/dp/1635767563
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/13/us/politics/russia-sanctions-missile-production.html
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iran-israel-hamas-strike-planning-bbe07b25
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/11/us/politics/iran-israel-gaza-hamas-us-intelligence.html
(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason's operation!
(1:57) Airtable correction
(5:03) McCarthy ousted as Speaker of the House, what the eight defecting Republicans are looking for, solving the omnibus spending problem
(25:20) US Southern Border: Understanding the situation based on data
(44:39) Cruise robotaxi "accident" in SF, lack of risk tolerance limiting technological progress in the West
(1:09:09) JSX facing potential regulatory capture from incumbent airlines and Friedberg's trip to The Sphere
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.cnn.com/2023/10/03/politics/republicans-vote-remove-mccarthy-house-speaker
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/10/04/kevin-mccarthy-speaker-vote-press-conference
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/why-oust-mccarthy-matt-gaetz-remove-speaker-of-the-house
https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1709321746673786896
https://www.cnn.com/2015/10/08/politics/house-speaker-republican-vote-mccarthy-webster-chaffetz
https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1709728378339705099
https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/southwest-land-border-encounters
https://twitter.com/CBSNews/status/1556727876757737474
https://apnews.com/article/migrants-new-york-adams-abbott-colombia-58d423ab3e84e5692d50f773803254
https://www.nytimes.com/article/nyc-migrant-crisis-explained.html
https://www.statista.com/statistics/455813/alien-apprehensions-by-the-us-border-patrol-by-border
https://www.washingtonpost.com/immigration/2023/08/31/border-families-record-crossings-biden
https://www.cnn.com/2023/09/23/us/mexico-us-border-patrol-agreement-migration-surge/index.html
https://public-inspection.federalregister.gov/2023-22176.pdf
https://www.anduril.com/hardware/sentry
https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB994028904620983237
https://twitter.com/Cruise/status/1709114532042576305
https://twitter.com/usENTchannel/status/1707035020098142404
https://www.valuepenguin.com/car-accident-statistics
https://waymo.com/blog/2023/05/waymo-one-doubles-service-area-in.html
https://twitter.com/PopBase/status/1708164333451289062
https://twitter.com/latest_gg/status/1709948932489445478
https://twitter.com/SBJ/status/1677419552991244289
https://www.wsj.com/business/airlines/jet-service-jsx-lands-at-center-of-pilot-fight-86a4f669
(0:00) Bestie intros with Coleman Hughes
(1:12) Coleman's experience with TED, Understanding TED's ideological shift
(15:11) Focusing on class instead of race when enacting policies, reaction to Coleman's talk, institutional takeovers
(44:01) "When Virtue Signalling Goes Wrong": Canadian parliament cheers for a Nazi
(1:04:21) OpenAI's big week, informed speculation on Sam Altman's actual ownership of OpenAI
(1:12:39) The next evolution of AI: multimodal and consumer hardware
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow Coleman:
https://www.youtube.com/@ColemanHughesOfficial
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QxB3b7fxMEA
https://www.thefp.com/p/coleman-hughes-is-ted-scared-of-color-blindness
https://twitter.com/waitbutwhy/status/1691502563571408896
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1707051830667338170
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/11/11/opinion/sunday/interracial-friendship-donald-trump.html
https://www.amazon.com/White-Fragility-People-About-Racism/dp/0807047414
https://twitter.com/TEDchris/status/1706792437098676224
https://www.amazon.com/Coddling-American-Mind-Intentions-Generation/dp/0735224919
https://www.amazon.com/Losing-Ground-American-Social-1950-1980/dp/0465065880
https://www.amazon.com/Black-Power-Liberation-Kwame-Ture/dp/0679743138
https://www.reddit.com/r/QuotesPorn/comments/lz5o6z/he_who_controls_the_past_controls_the_future_he
https://jacobin.com/2015/09/stepan-bandera-nationalist-euromaidan-right-sector
https://www.jpost.com/diaspora/antisemitism/article-738940
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social-National_Party_of_Ukraine
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26079957
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Azov_Brigade
https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/neo-nazis-far-right-ukraine
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/05/world/europe/nazi-symbols-ukraine.html
https://www.ft.com/content/4c64ffc1-f57b-4e22-a4a5-f9f90a7419b7
https://www.axios.com/2023/09/25/testing-chatgpt-support-images-voice-search
https://twitter.com/petergyang/status/1707169696049668472
https://blog.google/products/bard/google-bard-new-features-update-sept-2023
https://twitter.com/karpathy/status/1707437820045062561
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2307.07162.pdf
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt6849786
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(3:05) GOP Primary update: polling, acceptable candidates, tentpole issues
(11:56) All-In Summit 2023 recap
(24:12) IPOs and M&A heat up: Arm, Instacart, and Klaviyo go public, Cisco acquires Splunk for $28B, but did the "great reopening" fall short?
(42:34) Did the Fed break the VC model? How LPs will evaluate fund managers going forward
(50:45) Breaking down Instacart and Klaviyo's businesses
(1:01:12) Revaluing Airtable and the path forward for ZIRP-era unicorns
(1:13:14) Fed pauses rate hikes, but says rates will stay higher for longer, plus: what breaks next in the economy?
(1:32:51) Science Corner: new "inverse-vaccine" treatment is a potential game changer for autoimmune diseases
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/new-hampshire
https://twitter.com/pitdesi/status/1704874017357025499
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ARM:NASDAQ?comparison=NASDAQ%3ACART%2CNYSE%3AKVYO&window=5D
https://twitter.com/aswathdamodaran/status/1704246090198036914
https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-81823-q2-earnings
https://www.lendingtree.com/content/uploads/2023/08/ccs-chart-3-3.jpg
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US
https://www.ey.com/en_gl/ipo/trends
https://stockanalysis.com/ipos/statistics
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/COIN:NASDAQ
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/EXPE:NASDAQ
https://www.axios.com/2023/09/19/instacarts-ipo-venture-capital
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1579091/000119312523221345/d55348ds1.htm
https://influencermarketinghub.com/amazon-ad-revenue
https://twitter.com/jasonlk/status/1704212644402540573
https://www.saastr.com/5-interesting-learnings-from-klaviyo-at-650000000-in-arr
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1078755080478715904
https://i.insider.com/4dd4d1cf4bd7c8c90f000000
https://twitter.com/asanwal/status/1703492397739516068
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/09/20/fed-rate-decision-september-2023-.html
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/crude-oil
https://kalshi.com/markets/fed/fed-interest-rates#fed-23nov
https://www.popularmechanics.com/cars/hybrid-electric/a42558850/tesla-price-cuts-worth-buying
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41551-023-01086-2
(0:00) Besties welcome former NJ Governor and Republican Presidential Candidate Chris Christie!
(2:14) US debt crisis, cutting entitlements
(14:03) Level-setting on foreign policy
(25:28) Ukraine / Russia: culpability, where to go from here
(36:47) US defense budget, optimizing spend, zero-based budgeting, influence peddling
(50:01) Immigration policy, how each party co-opts the issue
(1:02:24) Fentanyl crisis in SF, LA, and NYC, incarceration and criminal justice reform, political activism in law enforcement
(1:15:57) Why Chris Christie is running for president
(1:17:41) Thoughts on prosecuting Trump, January 6th, and more
(1:23:16) Chris Christie addresses his past controversies
(1:48:34) Post-interview debrief
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow Chris Christie:
https://twitter.com/GovChristie
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEBTN
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SMPOPNETMUSA
https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/southwest-land-border-encounters
https://www.washingtonpost.com/immigration/2023/08/31/border-families-record-crossings-biden
(0:00) Chamath's big poker trip
(4:32) Addressing the "in the arena" comments
(7:16) Biden administration targets Elon's businesses
(21:58) Tiger Global claims disgruntled ex-employee circulated fake hit piece
(27:51) BRICS adds six new members, Sacks breaks down some potential advantages of the new BRICS
(40:46) BRICS ultimate goals, India's key position
(51:54) How energy independence plays into the future geopolitical order
(1:00:22) All-In Summit party talk!
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1693992134796603477
https://twitter.com/tomosman/status/1696929638935634240
https://twitter.com/KanekoaTheGreat/status/1697072553775501661
https://www.newsweek.com/joe-bidens-robert-peters-pseudonym-under-scrutiny-gop-probes-emails-1820709
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1695073336483832007
https://www.justice.gov/crt/page/file/1579981/download
https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/09/tech/elon-musk-biden-foreign-business-relations/index.html
https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/2023/08/26/oliver-anthony-republican-debate-rich-men
https://www.thefp.com/p/oliver-anthony-interview-rich-men-north-richmond
https://www.foxnews.com/video/6335645970112
https://www.reuters.com/world/brics-poised-invite-new-members-join-bloc-sources-2023-08-24
https://www.ft.com/content/4ff06aa6-b1bf-4e08-9b8d-aa42ee240c95
https://www.ft.com/content/669260a5-82a5-4e7a-9bbf-4f41c54a6143
https://www.voanews.com/a/india-remains-steadfast-in-partnership-with-russia/6883794.html
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1696295679344459807
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/06/02/united-states-ukraine-trust-developing-nations
(0:00) Bestie intros: Friedberg's interview with NASA Astronaut Woody Hoburg, live from the ISS!
(2:58) All-In Tequila update
(10:04) Nvidia smashes earnings, GPU market outlook
(37:39) Arm files for IPO: positive sign or plank walk? Plus: State of the IPO market
(49:51) Sacks on current investable metrics right now in VC
(55:33) GOP Debate breakdown: Vivek's statement, DeSantis's strategy, Haley & Christie solidify positions
(1:39:46) Vivek's comments on the Climate Agenda
(1:47:07) Prigozhin crash
Follow the besties:
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https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/friedberg/status/1694506279954526487
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1693441068036169785
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1693524941721731189
https://www.wine.com/product/21-seeds-tequila-trio/633617
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ
https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-announces-financial-results-for-second-quarter-fiscal-2024
https://companiesmarketcap.com
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1694457666289225776
https://electrek.co/2023/06/21/tesla-dojo-supercomputer-is-finally-coming-next-month
https://prospect.org/features/great-telecom-implosion
https://www.statista.com/chart/6780/only-5-countries-have-a-bigger-gdp-than-california
https://twitter.com/OpenAI/status/1694062483462594959
https://openai.com/blog/gpt-3-5-turbo-fine-tuning-and-api-updates
https://twitter.com/nathanbenaich/status/1694073194351648932
https://commoncrawl.org/about/team
https://adsense.googleblog.com/2005/10/spotlight-on-weblogs-inc.html
https://twitter.com/twistartups/status/1694399138194952363
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1973239/000119312523216983/d393891df1.htm
https://www.natesilver.net/p/ramaswamy-and-the-physics-of-multi
https://www.cnn.com/2023/08/04/politics/cnn-poll-ukraine/index.html
(0:00) Sacks' big night
(2:56) Sacks on spirits
(14:27) "Rich Men North of Richmond" goes viral and debuts at #1 on Apple Music, upward mobility issues in America, solutions
(53:01) Michael Burry's bet against the market: overblown?
(58:33) Real estate capital crunch
(1:12:26) Trump's newest indictment
(1:23:31) What Adyen's big drop means for Stripe's valuation
Follow the besties:
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Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.azlyrics.com/lyrics/oliveranthony/richmennorthofrichmond.html
https://ricochet.com/942803/qotd-solzhenitsyn-on-the-liars
https://www.cnn.com/2023/08/15/investing/michael-burry-stock-market-crash/index.html
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US
https://twitter.com/rothcre/status/1691910066952351963
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1691789175786246246
https://d3i6fh83elv35t.cloudfront.net/static/2023/08/CRIMINAL-INDICTMENT-Trump-Fulton-County-GA.pdf
https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/what-the-heck-happened-in-coffee-county-georgia
(0:00) Bestie intros: Friedberg's bad haircut
(1:17) Welcome BG^2! Biography recommendations and film talk
(22:27) VC market update: State of Series A's
(33:43) Dry powder misconceptions, marking incentives
(48:57) IPO window starting to open, IPO down rounds, incentives to go public
(1:03:17) Cyclical venture cycles, managing distributions, benchmarking VC performance vs public market
(1:22:26) Tragic Maui wildfires, extreme temperatures
(1:26:11) Macro picture: inflation cools, deflation risk?
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.amazon.com/Setting-Table-Transforming-Hospitality-Business/dp/0060742755
https://www.amazon.com/Steve-Jobs-Walter-Isaacson/dp/147770146X
https://www.amazon.com/Elon-Musk-Spanish-Walter-Isaacson/dp/B0CBTHK86N
https://www.amazon.com/Good-Great-Some-Companies-Others/dp/0066620996
https://www.amazon.com/Man-Arena-Selected-Writings-Roosevelt/dp/0765306700
https://www.amazon.com/Shoe-Dog-Memoir-Creator-Nike/dp/1501135910
https://www.amazon.com/Alexander-Hamilton-Ron-Chernow/dp/1594200092
https://www.amazon.com/Something-Autobiography-Vintage-Akira-Kurosawa/dp/B0C3D5NDJX
https://www.amazon.com/Born-Standing-Up-Comics-Martin/dp/B017QUU3EO
https://www.amazon.com/Writing-Memoir-Craft-Stephen-King/dp/1439193630
https://www.amazon.com/Autobiography-Malcolm-told-Alex-Haley/dp/0345379756
https://twitter.com/bgurley/status/1688605654188224512
https://finance.yahoo.com/chart/SN
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CAVA:NYSE
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SRFM
https://twitter.com/altcap/status/1686086247029055489
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hhy7JUinlu0
https://twitter.com/gokulr/status/1680006171149869056
https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/09/business/china-economy-inflation.html
https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1689010884062904320
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(0:53) LK-99 breakdown
(24:39) Funding landscape for breakthrough science, sclerotic establishments, boomer incumbents
(46:04) Fitch downgrades US debt rating
(1:09:12) Trump's newest indictment
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/2307/2307.12008.pdf
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2307.12037.pdf
https://twitter.com/667keos/status/1686490898480173056
https://twitter.com/iris_IGB/status/1685731177523449856
https://twitter.com/VCBrags/status/1684591950387716097
https://www.socialcapital.com/ideas/2021-annual-letter
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30418-9/fulltext
https://www.npr.org/2023/08/02/1178215888/fitch-downgrade-credit-rating-deficits-debt-economy
https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1686906272937869312
https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy1670
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2023/07/22/gop-social-security-trump-rivals-cuts
https://www.commondreams.org/news/republicans-cut-social-security
https://sgp.fas.org/crs/misc/RS22331.pdf
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL
https://apnews.com/trump-election-2020-indictment
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/national
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/03/briefing/trump-indictment.html
(0:00) All-In in Italy!: Recapping Chamath's wedding
(11:55) Discourse around obesity and weight loss in the US
(21:56) Are there too many VCs?
(38:18) Actors/Writers unions vs. Corporate Hollywood, endgame for the modern Hollywood machine
(54:07) Equity participations vs. unions, ownership upside vs. downside protections
(1:05:04) Potential impact of room-temp superconductors
Special thanks to our Italian audio/video team!:
https://twitter.com/domdalmatico
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1684176015948488704
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sPelOnd7Sik
https://www.vice.com/en/article/4a3az9/venture-capital-vcs-existential-too-many
https://twitter.com/jason/status/1681985828820766720
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1679765658517610496
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(1:08) Vivek's background, corporate political / ESG distractions, why he's running for president
(19:16) Energy policy, unemployment work requirements, immigration
(30:24) Foreign policy: How to handle Ukraine/Russia and Taiwan/China
(44:46) Media strategy, Silicon Valley Bank's implosion
(54:09) Thoughts on Trump
(1:06:16) Campaign strategy, establishment appeal
(1:14:10) Social issues: Abolishing the DOE, abortion, trans rights
(1:29:31) Defense budget, Military Industrial Complex, GOP division over Ukraine
(1:39:27) Bestie update!
(1:41:33) Post-interview debrief
Follow the besties:
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Follow Vivek Ramaswamy:
https://twitter.com/VivekGRamaswamy
Follow the pod:
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https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2023/07/20/vivek-ramaswamy-pete-buttigieg-00107193
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/national/
https://twitter.com/PatrickRuffini/status/1680204156953407488
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1680205700738211840
https://twitter.com/charliekirk11/status/1680665098765975558
(0:00) Addressing the podcast hack
(2:55) Macro picture: inflation cools, what happens to rates, market sentiment, soft landing, tech run-up
(20:34) Consumer sentiment: demand crash coming?
(30:31) BREAKING: Ripple gets big win in SEC case, token rips
(36:33) Lina Khan's losing streak, "spray and pray" strategy, overzealous regulators
(51:08) EV supply/demand mismatch
(1:04:58) Fraught NATO summit, ammo crisis, Sweden joins NATO
(1:18:52) Science Corner: New paper on reversing cellular aging
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/consumer-price-index-report-june-inflation-ede7f4b1
https://fortune.com/2023/06/05/larry-summers-floats-idea-half-point-interest-rate-hike-july
https://www.wsj.com/articles/as-inflation-goes-down-soft-landing-odds-improve-5166e6af
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE
https://www.wsj.com/articles/disney-world-crowds-universal-studios-florida-36b0a579
https://www.statista.com/statistics/290673/auto-loan-rates-usa
https://www.axios.com/2023/07/10/used-cars-prices-us-economy
https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/DIS/disney/revenue
https://www.wsj.com/articles/microsoft-activision-blizzard-deal-ftc-hearing-d42675f1
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2023/07/13/ftc-openai-chatgpt-sam-altman-lina-khan
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1678526061154295808
https://www.axios.com/2023/07/10/unsold-electric-cars-are-piling-up-on-dealer-lots
https://mdevelopers.com/blog/technology-adoption-curve-everything-that-you-need-to-know
https://www.investing.com/analysis/brics-countries-planning-new-goldbacked-currency-200639843
https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2023/05/24/more-than-30-countries-want-to-join-the-brics
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BTC-USD
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1679141703603703808
https://twitter.com/tobi/status/1679114154756669441
https://www.wsj.com/articles/sweden-races-to-secure-turkish-support-for-nato-bid-2452c14f
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1679229577732792320
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/07/11/zelensky-nato-ukraine-membership-timeline
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/12/world/europe/uk-ukraine-ben-wallace.html
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1678463164864667658
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/07/07/politics/joe-biden-cluster-munitions-ukraine/index.html
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/nato-countries-maps-list-membership-requirements
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jun/29/russia-condemns-nato-invitation-finland-sweden
(0:00) We hacked the pod! Jcal is on vaca
(5:34) Meta launches Threads
(17:15) Chat AI interest in decline?
(28:36) Fed meeting minutes, economic data and outlook, and EU risk
(56:07) Florida Senate Bill 1718, jobs, and immigration debate
(1:21:48) Chinese balloon: political farce?
(1:31:47) Gerstner Science Corner: preventative heart health
Follow the besties:
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https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
(0:00) Bestie intros: Friedberg fills in as moderator!
(2:45) Wagner Group rebellion
(23:15) SCOTUS strikes down Affirmative Action
(51:03) Databricks acquires MosaicML for $1.3B, Inflection raises $1.3B
(1:09:35) IRL shuts down after faking 95% of users, Byju's seeks to raise emergency $1B as founder control in jeopardy
(1:26:38) Science Corner: Understanding the NANOGrav findings
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/06/22/politics/ukraine-counteroffensive-western-assessment/index.html
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/putin-wagner-russia-treason-coup-b2363430.html
https://www.statista.com/statistics/896181/putin-approval-rating-russia
https://www.levada.ru/en/ratings
https://twitter.com/MatreshkaRF/status/1673209794608365570
https://www.csis.org/blogs/post-soviet-post/la-vie-en-rose-why-kremlin-blacklisted-levada-center
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/29/world/africa/central-african-republic-wagner-africa-syria.html
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Students_for_Fair_Admissions_v._Harvard
https://twitter.com/greg_price11/status/1674426520100814848
https://www.forbes.com/sites/alexkonrad/2023/06/29/inflection-ai-raises-1-billion-for-chatbot-pi
https://techcrunch.com/2023/06/27/prosus-byjus-markdown
https://twitter.com/shaig/status/1673836979903950851
https://www.ft.com/content/b8a4214f-7f64-4d3a-97c4-4731f2effb0d
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1674469606746992651
https://pauloffit.substack.com/p/my-conversation-with-robert-f-kennedy
https://www.quantamagazine.org/an-enormous-gravity-hum-moves-through-the-universe-20230628
https://physics.aps.org/articles/v16/116
(0:00) Bestie intros!: Bad conference lunches, hair fluffers, and focus groups
(12:36) Zuck vs. Elon cage match
(15:50) Ukraine / Russia updates: underwhelming counteroffensive, reported peace deal rejection
(33:25) Blinken's China visit, Biden's "dictator" gaffe, Taiwan's future
(51:49) RFK Jr's Rogan appearance, big pharma's impact on media via ad spend, COVID origins
(1:09:59) Secondary market for depressed startup shares heats up
(1:16:36) Ford to receive $9.2B federal loan to build out three battery factories, industrial policy to on-shore US supply chain
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2023/06/biden-regime-quietly-drop-5-charges-against-sbf
https://twitter.com/Dexerto/status/1671971832809791509
https://www.cnn.com/2023/06/22/politics/ukraine-counteroffensive-western-assessment/index.html
https://twitter.com/aaronjmate/status/1670514363634176000
https://apnews.com/article/us-army-ukraine-russia-ammunition-war-75a9ca2e3be09578c65f1198ba5b72e5
https://apnews.com/article/ukraine-war-us-munitions-stockpiles-0d38850603f4264b7568d63d6e7e3d93
https://www.cnn.com/2023/02/17/politics/us-weapons-factories-ukraine-ammunition/index.html
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/04/08/ukraine-ammunition-shortage-shells-ration
https://twitter.com/davidsacks/status/1671628570714845184
https://www.npr.org/2023/06/19/1183053024/profound-differences-remain-us-and-china-beijing-blinken
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1671806525029986304
https://twitter.com/shellenberger/status/1671162870422454272
https://mediaengagement.org/research/ad-spending-on-primetime-news-coronavirus
https://news.gallup.com/poll/165893/majority-believe-jfk-killed-conspiracy.aspx
https://pitchbook.com/news/articles/tiger-global-secondaries-direct-stakes-sales
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2023-ford-ev-battery-plant-funding-biden-green-technology
(0:00) Bestie intros: Chamath flies public + Poker recap
(8:12) FED pauses hikes momentarily, IPO window status, state of the market
(25:10) Film, cold plunge, and sauna talk
(33:25) AI's impact on tech and growth stocks surging, Google's position, AI's "$20T question"
(50:27) Jay Trading beating the market, how Brad formulates and sizes public bets, how GPs should handle distributions, CalPERS mistakes
(1:04:22) Reddit moderators in revolt and how this issue might reshape the future of social apps
(1:15:11) Funding landscape for AI startups is overheating: Mistral's $100M+ Seed round, importance of constraints, and more
(1:44:17) Science corner: Understanding the Bill Gates-funded mosquito project in Colombia
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/06/14/fed-rate-decision-june-2023.html
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS
https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/intel-talks-be-anchor-investor-arm-ipo-source-2023-06-13
https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/softbanks-arm-registers-blockbuster-us-ipo-sources-2023-04-29
https://coda.io/@presh-dineshkumar/jay-trading
https://www.ft.com/content/86b49e10-3dd2-4427-b70b-993bad47b061
https://www.theverge.com/2023/6/12/23755974/reddit-subreddits-going-dark-private-protest-api-changes
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/18/technology/reddit-ai-openai-google.html
https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-20554441
https://digiday.com/media/twitters-third-party-app-problem
https://www.wired.com/2015/07/reddit-ceo-ellen-pao-steps-down-huffman-replacement
https://www.platformer.news/p/meta-is-building-a-decentralized
https://www.ft.com/content/cf939ea4-d96c-4908-896a-48a74381f251
https://twitter.com/natfriedman/status/1668650915505803266
https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/1523379957/oculus-rift-step-into-the-game
https://openai.com/blog/function-calling-and-other-api-updates
https://twitter.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1667616444996104196
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(1:48) Why RFK Jr. is resonating
(7:52) US crypto crackdown: action against Binance & Coinbase
(26:08) Sequoia splits off its China and India/SE Asia businesses
(41:55) PGA merges with LIV, Lionel Messi's revolutionary deal with the MLS, Apple, and Adidas
(56:16) Ukraine update, Tucker on Twitter
(1:02:20) LIVE Q&A from Angel Summit in Napa!
Follow the besties:
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Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1666193699187875851
https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2023-101
https://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rHdu5Y2SB3Co/v0
https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2022-219
https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2023-101
https://nypost.com/2021/08/14/ambitious-sec-boss-gensler-cultivates-sen-elizabeth-warren
https://www.piratewires.com/p/crypto-choke-point
https://twitter.com/rezoshm/status/1644881392357060610
https://fortune.com/2021/09/24/1-trillion-dollar-coin-janet-yellen-us-debt
https://techcrunch.com/2022/06/13/sequoia-india-and-southeast-asia-raises-2-8-billion-funds
https://twitter.com/rabois/status/1643655946579607565
https://twitter.com/TimMeadsUSA/status/1666093487899680768
https://fortune.com/2023/06/08/lionel-messi-mls-apple-adidas
(0:00) Bestie intros + Vegas recap!
(4:01) Sacks donation strategy, Biden's uncomfortable truth, mental acuity concerns, fantasy picks for president!
(30:43) Debt ceiling agreement, US debt situation, is USD dominance in trouble?
(1:11:34) Book banning follow-up
(1:19:10) Nvidia going for a vertically integrated monopoly in AI hardware
(1:26:31) Biden's fall, populism in both parties
Follow the besties:
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Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/21/us/politics/biden-public-appearances-media.html
https://twitter.com/billackman/status/1663959113703751720
https://apnews.com/article/debt-limit-biden-mccarthy-house-votes-9375cce9b7526b2d0a5728f8d4a18a0a
https://apnews.com/article/debt-ceiling-deal-food-aid-student-loans-3c284b01d95f8e193bca8d873386400e
https://www.onceinaspecies.com/p/643-april-2023-market-update-on-bitcoin
https://cryptohayes.substack.com/p/exit-liquidity-3052309e6bfa
https://www.barrons.com/news/china-brazil-strike-deal-to-ditch-dollar-for-trade-8ed4e799
https://www.barrons.com/articles/dollar-china-petro-yuan-saudi-b0b6e48f
https://pen.org/index-of-school-book-bans-2022
https://www.theguardian.com/books/2023/feb/20/roald-dahl-books-rewrites-criticism-language-altered
https://twitter.com/mdcps/status/1661194749821218818
https://resources.nvidia.com/en-us-grace-cpu/nvidia-grace-hopper
https://twitter.com/jacobkschneider/status/1664343681321541636
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(3:03) Sacks goes behind the scenes on the DeSantis Twitter Spaces experience
(28:18) Debt ceiling, government spending, and lack of accountability
(40:44) Ways to force more government accountability, who really wins from higher taxes
(57:46) Nvidia up 30% due to massive Q2 guidance, rebuilding and upgrading cloud infrastructure, understanding phases of value creation in technology
(1:06:20) Adobe's new AI product, why they might have overpaid for Figma
(1:11:43) State of Silicon Valley, VC, and startups; dealing with failure
(1:33:36) Bestie wrap!
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Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/MarioNawfal
https://twitter.com/joebiden/status/1661496322980028423
https://www.wsj.com/articles/ron-desantis-presidential-campaign-twitter-announcement-ead63b25
https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2023/05/ron-desantis-elon-musk-2024-announcement
https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/fitch-puts-us-negative-credit-watch-2023-05-24/
https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/slimmed-down-us-debt-ceiling-deal-takes-shape-sources-2023-05-25
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYFRGDA188S
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Authorization_for_Use_of_Military_Force_of_2001
https://twitter.com/friedberg/status/1658163970979823616
https://www.270towin.com/1980_Election
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA
https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-announces-financial-results-for-first-quarter-fiscal-2024
https://twitter.com/carlquintanilla/status/1661761614918426624
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Huang%27s_law
https://twitter.com/scottbelsky/status/1660992735040663553
(0:00) Bestie intros!: Reddit Performance Reviews
(5:14) Quick AIS 2023 update
(6:27) AI Senate hearing: Sam Altman playing chess with regulators, open-source viability
(21:25) Regulatory capture angle, "preemptive regulation," how AI relates to nuclear, insider insights from the White House's AI summit
(43:33) Elon hires new Twitter CEO
(48:46) Lina Khan moves to block Amgen's $27.8B acquisition of Horizon Therapeutics
(1:02:30) Apple's AR goggles are reportedly being unveiled at WWDC in early June, platform shift potential, how it deviates from Apple's prior launch strategies
(1:07:45) Residential and commercial real estate headwinds
(1:15:29) Unrest in SF and NYC after two recent tragic incidents ended in death
(1:24:20) Soros political motivations for backing progressive DAs
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Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1658913074106236931
https://www.mosaicml.com/blog/mpt-7b
https://huggingface.co/spaces/HuggingFaceH4/open_llm_leaderboard
https://artificialintelligenceact.eu
https://futurism.com/the-byte/warren-buffett-ai-atom-bomb
https://www.ftc.gov/system/files/ftc_gov/pdf/2310037amgenhorizoncomplainttropi.pdf
https://sharegpt.com/c/O6OKM9D
https://www.wsj.com/articles/apple-mixed-reality-headset-9213ac1b
https://twitter.com/PalmerLuckey/status/1657828947877560323
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1658955195450286081
https://www.foxnews.com/us/witness-jordan-neely-chokehold-death-calls-daniel-penny-hero
https://www.reddit.com/r/nyc/comments/1njfls/try_to_stay_away_from_the_michael_jackson
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1984_New_York_City_Subway_shooting
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guardian_Angels
https://www.messynessychic.com/2019/03/26/in-the-shadows-with-nycs-self-styled-guardian-angels
(0:00) All-In Summit 2023 announcement!
(3:10) Google IO releases, updated Bard demo, fighting the innovator's dilemma
(18:33) AI regulation updates
(23:41) Druckenmiller's warning, macro overview
(40:22) RFK Jr. feedback, pushback, conspiracy accusations
(49:52) Trump dominates CNN "Town Hall," Trump vs. Biden potential
(1:10:24) Jason reflects on his trip to the Middle East, and the besties wrap the show!
Register for All-In Summit 2023:
https://summit.allinpodcast.co
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Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://blog.google/technology/ai/google-palm-2-ai-large-language-model
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GOOGL:NASDAQ
https://hedgefollow.com/funds/Duquesne+Family+Office
https://twitter.com/joincolossus/status/1656258955780456448
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/03/opinion/ai-lina-khan-ftc-technology.html
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2023/05/10/business/cpi-inflation-fed
https://www.reuters.com/graphics/USA-BIDEN/POLL/nmopagnqapa
https://twitter.com/JoshWalkos/status/1655748898357477379
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KrjL_TSOFrI
https://twitter.com/PodiumDotPage/status/1656315157952200704
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(0:49) Jason and Sacks intro Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
(3:46) Foreign policy: Ukraine / Russia
(17:17) Foreign policy: Taiwan / China
(18:57) Government spending: Fiscal responsibility, where to cut budget, debt ceiling
(33:22) US Govt Intelligence Agencies: "Deep State," increasing accountability, "agency capture"
(46:04) COVID: mishandling, more "agency capture," vaccine policy
(55:10) Broader thoughts on vaccines in general
(1:05:54) Energy policy: thoughts on nuclear
(1:15:29) Culture wars: trans issues, CRT in schools, public vs charter schools
(1:23:09) Media: declining trust, misaligned incentives, conflict of interest with large advertisers
(1:30:07) Mainstream media coverage, ABC News debacle, evolving with new information, money in politics
(1:40:37) The Besties do a post-interview debrief
(1:57:30) Announcing All-In Summit 2023!
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https://twitter.com/RobertKennedyJr
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Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
(0:00) Bestie intro!
(1:10) Google's mixed bag, Big tech leaves the growth phase, macro picture
(24:21) AI update: new projects, global enablement, early adoption
(37:38) SF CRE continues to collapse, Gotham City update
(47:52) Lab-grown meat: possibilities, potential impact, and major constraints
(1:06:47) Quick earnings button and RFK Jr's presidential bid
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https://twitter.com/GavinSBaker
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Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GOOG:NASDAQ
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/25/google-authorizes-70-billion-buyback.html
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/20/alphabet-merges-ai-focused-groups-deepmind-and-google-research.html
https://abc.xyz/investor/static/pdf/2023Q1_alphabet_earnings_release.pdf?cache=0924cc
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART
https://www.lawnext.com/2023/04/harvey-ai-raises-21m-in-a-series-a-round-led-by-sequoia.html
https://www.wsj.com/articles/pricewaterhousecoopers-to-pour-1-billion-into-generative-ai-cac2cedd
https://twitter.com/friedberg/status/1651371655774584832
https://twitter.com/mckaywrigley/status/1651291367224807424
https://www.wsj.com/articles/san-francisco-commercial-real-estate-office-buildings-471742ea
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1650974906916671493
https://www.wsj.com/articles/inside-the-struggle-to-make-lab-grown-meat-12cf46ab
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/27/amazon-amzn-q1-earnings-report-2023.html
https://twitter.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1649190840198209537
(0:00) Antonio Gracias and Gavin Baker join to discuss SpaceX's Starship launch
(28:58) Fox News settles with Dominion Voting Systems, will pay $787M
(40:38) AI update: Reddit to start charging for training data, how the next startup bubble will materialize, navigating the AI "dust storm"
(53:49) Why AI is challenging/exciting to invest in right now, late-stage implosion, pay-to-play rounds
(1:21:26) Is crypto dead in America? Plus DeSantis vs Trump polling update and wrap
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
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https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/GavinSBaker/status/1649107858267439108
https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-65294084
https://twitter.com/thePrimalSpace/status/1649051677377560578
https://www.wsj.com/articles/spacex-starship-elon-musk-second-launch-attempt-bf932aaf
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1533408313894912001
https://www.reuters.com/technology/fcc-votes-approve-spacex-satellite-plan-official-2021-04-27
https://www.axios.com/2023/04/18/fox-news-settles-dominion-lawsuit
https://investor.foxcorporation.com/static-files/3b2bdb74-8ebe-4173-9f0f-ac18831ff094
https://twitter.com/KanekoaTheGreat/status/1648462770936115202
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/18/technology/reddit-ai-openai-google.html
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/20/alphabet-merges-ai-focused-groups-deepmind-and-google-research.html
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1647010187377774596
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dal%C3%ADland-
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/20/business/buzzfeed-news-shut-down.html
https://news.crunchbase.com/venture/series-c-funding-decline-q1-2023
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greater_fool_theory
https://www.wired.com/story/stack-overflow-will-charge-ai-giants-for-training-data
https://news.yahoo.com/poll-trumps-big-post-indictment-bounce-is-fading-fast-183753992.html
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/04/20/desantis-trump-new-hampshire-poll
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(1:49) Understanding AutoGPTs
(23:57) Generative AI's rapid impact on art, images, video, and eventually Hollywood
(37:38) How to regulate AI?
(1:12:35) Bob Lee update, recent SF chaos
Follow the besties:
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Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.allinmeetups.io/ep125
https://github.com/Torantulino/Auto-GPT
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2304.03442.pdf
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1645848531280998400
https://twitter.com/ammaar/status/1645934107304787968
https://research.runwayml.com/gen2
https://twitter.com/wonderdynamics/status/1633627396971827200
https://twitter.com/DavidShowalter_/status/1645150966511988742
https://twitter.com/aloezeus/status/1645141925157060608
https://the-decoder.com/chaosgpt-is-the-first-public-attempt-to-destroy-humanity-with-ai
https://twitter.com/mckaywrigley/status/1646596881420783619
https://www.wsj.com/articles/bitcoin-blockchain-hacking-arrests-93a4cb29
https://twitter.com/activeasian/status/1644547881519681537
https://www.cnn.com/2023/04/11/business/san-francisco-whole-foods-closure/index.html
https://sfstandard.com/business/downtown-san-francisco-whole-foods-market-closing
https://twitter.com/davidsacks/status/1645969773153636352
https://twitter.com/AaronPeskin/status/1645896541893439489
https://sfchamber.com/citybeat-2022-press-release
https://sf.gov/news/mayor-london-breed-proposes-27-million-funding-address-police-staffing-shortages
https://www.sfchronicle.com/sf/bayarea/heatherknight/article/sf-police-crime-16931399.php
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(4:12) Trump indictment
(16:52) De-dollarization: What's real and what's overblown?
(39:35) Debt ceiling vote predictions
(56:36) US investors indirectly backing Chinese AI startups: should it be allowed? Saudi Arabia discloses VC investments as institutional US LPs cycle out of venture
(1:10:02) RIP Bob Lee, fixing San Francisco
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Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-indictment-34-felony-counts-charges-new-york-read
https://anncoulter.substack.com/p/youre-being-played-republicans
https://www.barrons.com/news/china-brazil-strike-deal-to-ditch-dollar-for-trade-8ed4e799
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1638957986138959873
https://www.illinoispolicy.org/chicago-has-more-pension-debt-than-44-states
https://www.yahoo.com/now/social-security-funds-could-run-120000267.html
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYFRGDA188S
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYONGDA188S
https://www.longtermtrends.net/us-debt-to-gdp
https://pitchbook.com/news/articles/Sanabil-Saudi-Arabia-PIF-disclosures
https://twitter.com/rabois/status/1643655946579607565
https://twitter.com/jarvis_best/status/1643667684247371776
https://twitter.com/FrancisSuarez/status/1642862135226126338
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(1:31) Joe Manchin calls out Biden on IRA flip-flop
(7:40) Sacks writes GPT-4-powered blog post, OpenAI launches ChatGPT plugins
(26:31) Will generative AI be more important than mobile and the internet itself? Making the case for both Google and OpenAI to win generative AI
(50:19) Reaching and containing AGI, AI's impact on job destruction
(1:16:35) RESTRICT Act's bait and switch
Follow the besties:
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Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://sacks.substack.com/p/the-give-to-get-model-for-ai-startups
https://sharegpt.com/c/jGKq34x
https://openai.com/blog/chatgpt-plugins
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Noogler_Hat.jpg
https://futureoflife.org/open-letter/pause-giant-ai-experiments
https://twitter.com/peakcooper/status/1639716822680236032
https://www.reddit.com/r/blender/comments/121lhfq/i_lost_everything_that_made_me_love_my_job
https://reason.com/2023/03/29/could-the-restrict-act-criminalize-the-use-of-vpns
(0:00) Bestie intro!
(2:58) Fed hikes 25 bps
(32:35) Balaji bets on Bitcoin $1M, predictions for hyperinflation, crypto crackdown in the US
(54:27) Should the commercial real estate sector receive a similar treatment as regional banks? Math and solutions on 100% FDIC insurance
(1:16:04) TikTok CEO grilled by US lawmakers: What is TikTok's endgame in the US?
(1:25:46) Relativity Space shoutout and bestie wrap!
Follow the besties:
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Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/scottrechler/status/1638534824808923136
https://www.wsj.com/articles/commercial-property-debt-creates-more-bank-worries-b36184ba
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1636928718173003776
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WGS10YR
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4387676
https://www.sfgate.com/business/article/Pinterest-terminate-SF-office-lease-88-Bluxome-15525421.php
https://twitter.com/boazweinstein/status/1638964105917890561
https://twitter.com/mr_derivatives/status/1638772846326583296
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1638957986138959873
https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1636797265317867520
https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1222921758375927808
https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/3911036-how-to-escape-the-trap-of-the-clean-debt-ceiling-vote
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/22/coinbase-warned-by-sec-of-potential-securities-charges.html
https://www.piratewires.com/p/2023-banking-crisis
https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1448455115271143424
https://twitter.com/markgags/status/802597908033966081
https://twitter.com/relativityspace/status/1638753739128315906
(0:00) Bestie intro!
(1:35) Recapping the events of the past week
(5:39) Understanding the banking crisis
(32:55) Solving the global debt problem, righting the ship
(54:20) VC market update: Founders Fund splits its eighth fund in two, Sequoia's reported returns, YC cuts its growth-stage team
(1:08:36) Science corner: Superconductors
(1:24:56) DeSantis update, Ukraine spending run rate, bestie wrap!
Follow the besties:
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Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4565388-svb-financial-blow-up-risk
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2023/03/16/world/france-pension-vote#france-pension-vote
https://www.politico.eu/article/police-fire-dutch-farmer-protest-nitrogen-emission-cut
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-london-64968795
https://www.treasurydirect.gov
https://www.axios.com/2023/03/03/founders-fund-slashes-vc-peter-thiel
https://www.axios.com/2023/03/15/stripe-50-billion
https://www.wsj.com/articles/tiger-global-writes-down-venture-funds-bets-by-33-in-2022-3f9f6ade
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1633570102326202368
(0:00) Bestie intro!
(1:57) Overview of the SVB collapse and bank run
(17:53) Who or what is to blame? Debating venture debt
(37:11) Contagion risk, second- and third-order effects, government backstops
(1:00:36) What does this mean for the VC industry? Silicon Valley panic cycle, advice for founders
Follow the besties:
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Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.fdic.gov/news/press-releases/2023/pr23016.html
https://twitter.com/garrytan/status/1634260576431136768
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4565388-svb-financial-blow-up-risk
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ymo6Yzjv_KY
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/janet-yellen-ukraine-treasury-secretary-kyiv-visit-volodymyr-zelenskyy
https://twitter.com/Rippling/status/1634201986894577665
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Troubled_Asset_Relief_Program
https://www.wsj.com/articles/bond-losses-push-silicon-valley-bank-parent-to-raise-capital-125e89d4
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(6:47) The VC FOMO frenzy in AI
(25:22) Current LP mindset, VCs leaving boards, startup cram downs and mark downs
(37:23) Macro update: inflation not done, weaker earnings, interest rates
(52:01) Marc Benioff channels his inner Elon Musk, the stock-based compensation boom
(1:11:59) Fox News facing defamation lawsuit over false election fraud claims, TikTok ban heats up, competition with China
(1:34:33) Ukraine update: China's peace proposal, US strategy
(1:46:34) Harvard legacy admissions, Draymond Green on Black History Month
(1:50:01) Stripe chart errata, bestie wrap!
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.thedailybeast.com/bill-maher-shares-definition-of-woke-during-jake-tapper-cnn-interview
https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/doug-leone-lessons-from-a-titan/id1154105909?i=1000602027979
https://openai.com/blog/introducing-chatgpt-and-whisper-apis
https://twitter.com/heykahn/status/1628453782177865728
https://www.ft.com/content/21420ce2-92a1-43a0-a153-04ac7c872466
https://www.wsj.com/articles/instacart-sees-revenue-profit-boost-ahead-of-public-listing-1d7891d
https://cdn.statcdn.com/Infographic/images/normal/21023.jpeg
https://www.barrons.com/articles/home-prices-dropping-redfin-fac43ede
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CRM:NYSE
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4583622-salesforce-inc-crm-q4-2023-earnings-call-transcript
https://twitter.com/altcap/status/1631361678582611970
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/06/fas123r.asp
https://www.wsj.com/articles/house-committee-lays-out-case-for-china-threat-ad62c611
https://twitter.com/wikileaks/status/1496886759665586177
https://twitter.com/deloreshandy/status/1629516350602264582
https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w26316/w26316.pdf
https://www.tmz.com/2023/03/01/draymond-green-calls-end-black-history-month-celebrate-all-year
https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2023/03/06/how-the-biggest-fraud-in-german-history-unravelled
(0:00) Bestie intro: Jason's Japan trip!
(1:04) Stripe's precarious situation: Did it miss its window? Breaking down its $4B tax bill, slowing growth curve, enterprise vs SMB customers, scalability issues, and more
(23:07) Lessons for founders: How ZIRP can skew CAC and LTV calculations, burn multiple
(29:40) VC market update: ZIRP mistakes, VC as a "must-have" asset class for LPs, how the 2021 vintage can be saved
(39:05) AI's outsized impact on SaaS and real-world businesses
(55:16) Advice from Steve Jobs on customer-first product development, Section 230 update
(1:00:29) Trump's savvy visit to East Palestine and 2024 strategy, Biden's visit to Ukraine, China's position
(1:14:24) Tinfoil hat corner
(1:23:25) Bestie wrap up!
Follow the besties:
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https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/inside-stripes-55-billion-pitch-to-investors
https://techcrunch.com/2013/09/11/zuckerberg-says-he-was-too-afraid-of-taking-facebook-public
https://sacks.substack.com/p/the-burn-multiple-51a7e43cb200
https://twitter.com/tylertringas/status/1627449217294958592
https://chamathreads.substack.com/p/higher-rates-will-lead-to-the-next
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1628851245644644352
https://signalvnoise.com/posts/3497-you-know-one-of-the-things-that-really-hurt
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/02/20/secrecy-security-biden-trip-to-kyiv
https://www.yahoo.com/news/joe-biden-makes-surprise-visit-095627966.html
https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1626984889449959430
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/02/23/world/russia-ukraine-geopolitics.html
(0:00) Bestie intros, poker recap, charity shoutouts!
(8:34) Toxic Ohio train derailment
(25:30) Lina Khan's flawed strategy and rough past few weeks as FTC Chair; rewriting Section 230
(57:27) AI chatbot bias and problems: Bing Chat's strange answers, jailbreaking ChatGPT, and more
DONATE:
https://www.humanesociety.org/news/going-big-beagles
https://www.beastphilanthropy.org/donate
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://techcrunch.com/2023/02/10/mrbeasts-blindness-video-puts-systemic-ableism-on-display
https://doomberg.substack.com/p/railroaded
https://www.foxnews.com/video/6320573959112
https://fedsoc.org/commentary/fedsoc-blog/gonzalez-google-and-section-230-all-on-the-same-side
https://www.investopedia.com/section-230-definition-5207317
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1626097497109311495
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1626091654120894464
https://politiquerepublic.substack.com/p/chatgpt-is-democrat-propoganda
https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-35902104
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/16/technology/bing-chatbot-microsoft-chatgpt.html
https://www.history.com/news/josef-stalin-great-purge-photo-retouching
https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/business/business-news/ec-funds-france-build-google-106934
https://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/21/technology/21iht-quaero24.html
0:00 Bestie intro!
1:49 Report about US involvement in the destruction of Nordstream pipelines, breaking away from the military-industrial complex
28:26 Bestie refresh!
33:13 The AI Search Wars: Microsoft presses hard, Google's rough week
45:06 Sundar's next move: How should Google counterpunch? Google's troubled business model, will we see successful lawsuits over training data?
1:12:41 Will generative AI commodify enterprise SaaS? If so, what happens to VC returns?
1:31:14 Disappointing State of the Union, precarious situation between debt, taxes, and entitlements
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1623540190060101632
https://seymourhersh.substack.com/p/how-america-took-out-the-nord-stream
https://twitter.com/EmiliaKaminska/status/1574817556950663169
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OyBNmecVtdU
https://www.theverge.com/23589994/microsoft-ceo-satya-nadella-bing-chatgpt-google-search-ai
https://twitter.com/Google/status/1622710355775393793
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QinFy0RFDr8&t=450s
https://twitter.com/arnaudai/status/1623359864100601861
https://github.com/features/copilot
https://www.theverge.com/2023/2/6/23587393/ai-art-copyright-lawsuit-getty-images-stable-diffusion
https://twitter.com/LynAldenContact/status/1620447620987785216
https://i.kym-cdn.com/entries/icons/original/000/019/304/old.jpg
https://twitter.com/pretentiouswhat/status/1622832701131874306
(0:00) Bestie intro!
(1:15) Macro picture update: 0.25% raise, jobs rip up, wage growth continues to slow
(17:52) Interest rates impact on mega-cap company creation
(33:58) Mass extinction event coming to startups, reckoning for VCs, venture debt issues
(1:02:33) Adani's potential fraud, role of short sellers
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2023/02/03/january-jobs-labor-market
https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-approves-quarter-point-rate-hike-signals-more-increaseslikely-11675278190
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART
https://www.ustreasuryyieldcurve.com
https://www.amazon.com/Intelligent-Investor-Definitive-Investing-Essentials/dp/0060555661
https://chamathreads.substack.com/p/higher-rates-will-lead-to-the-next
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ
https://www.freightwaves.com/news/fedex-to-cut-global-officer-director-workforce-by-at-least-10
https://www.theverge.com/2023/1/27/23574322/zuckerberg-puts-metas-middle-managers-on-notice
https://twitter.com/tomloverro/status/1620466827519496194
https://twitter.com/msuster/status/1620653106387386368
https://twitter.com/gradypb/status/1620937502248034304
https://www.axios.com/2023/02/01/david-cahn-leaves-coatue-for-sequoia-capital
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ADANIENT:NSE?window=1Y
https://hindenburgresearch.com/adani
(0:00) David Sacks does bestie intros!
(2:49) DOJ sues Google over ads business
(23:09) EU probes Microsoft over Slack complaint based on "bundling" Teams
(40:27) Pfizer CEO grilled at Davos, studies questioning vaccine effectiveness
(1:12:14) Ukraine escalation: US to send tanks and warms to Crimea invasion, reconstruction costs, and more
(1:22:39) Science Corner: Will we soon be able to reverse aging?
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://thebulletin.org/2023/01/press-release-doomsday-clock-set-at-90-seconds-to-midnight
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/24/us/doomsday-clock-midnight.html
https://blog.google/outreach-initiatives/public-policy/doj-ad-tech-lawsuit-response
https://noahpinion.substack.com/p/would-breaking-up-google-really-do
https://thehustle.co/12232022-ad-spend
https://www.politico.eu/article/microsoft-european-union-antitrust-video-calls-software-giant
https://twitter.com/rebelnewsonline/status/1615770518606561282
https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.122.061025
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-31401-5
https://www.cnn.com/videos/media/2021/12/05/marcus-lamb-death-covid-19-vaccines-rs-vpx.cnn
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9451592
https://twitter.com/jason/status/1478587551271161857
https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1618381912413962240
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/25/ukraine-war-news-us-will-send-abrams-tanks.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/18/us/politics/ukraine-crimea-military.html
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1618321900324950018
https://intellinews.com/ukraine-spiralling-towards-default-according-to-fitch-267768
https://www.wsj.com/articles/roman-abramovich-ukraine-russia-peace-sanctions-11674572583
https://www.cell.com/cell/fulltext/S0092-8674(22)01570-7#%20
(0:00) Bestie intro, who gets credit for the podcast?
(6:27) Top candidates for the Republican nominee in 2024: DeSantis, Youngkin, Haley; major 2024 issues, balancing the budget
(19:13) WEF in Davos: is it a grift? Somber mood, globalist mishaps, evaluating the US free trade policy
(39:51) Rebuilding infrastructure while avoiding the debt ceiling, immigration reform
(1:00:42) TikTok's endgame in the US: banned, spun out, or something else?
(1:17:22) Pharma meets AI, best AI business models
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/RitchieTorres/status/1616124738752987152
https://twitter.com/TalbertSwan/status/1616101666582892547
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/01/17/davos-globalization-wef-economic-seige
https://twitter.com/ShellenbergerMD/status/1614782758328598528
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/02/how-insects-positively-impact-climate-change
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/15/business/auburn-tiktok-ban-students.html
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/vc-s-8-billion-bytedance-headache?rc=g3wfdp
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/22/technology/byte-dance-tik-tok-internal-investigation.html
https://www.ft.com/content/6670acad-8a5b-4c4a-b6a8-48dc307b6d4d
(0:00) Bestie intro!
(0:43) Reacting to Slate's article on All-In
(11:18) SF business owner caught spraying homeless person on camera
(29:22) Microsoft to invest $10B into OpenAI with unique terms, generative AI VC hype cycle
(1:09:57) Biden's documents, America's over-classification problem
(1:27:16) Best cabinet positions/ambassadorships
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1613135006272045056
https://www.epsilontheory.com/gell-mann-amnesia
https://newrepublic.com/article/168125/david-sacks-elon-musk-peter-thiel
https://twitter.com/BettyKPIX/status/1613080547022229504
https://fortune.com/2023/01/11/structure-openai-investment-microsoft
https://www.ft.com/content/6670acad-8a5b-4c4a-b6a8-48dc307b6d4d
https://openai.com/blog/introducing-openai
https://ai.facebook.com/tools/pytorch
https://fairuse.stanford.edu/overview/fair-use/four-factors
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/USAPEFANA
(0:00) Bestie New Year catch-up!
(2:44) Prediction 1: 2023's biggest political winner
(17:25) Prediction 2: 2023's biggest political loser
(21:57) Prediction 3: 2023's biggest business winner
(30:34) Prediction 4: 2023's biggest business loser
(42:03) Prediction 5: 2023's biggest business deal
(52:41) Prediction 6: 2023's most contrarian belief
(1:03:03) Prediction 7: 2023's best-performing asset
(1:07:50) Prediction 8: 2023's worst-performing asset
(1:14:46) Prediction 9: 2023's most anticipated trend
(1:21:40) Prediction 10: 2023's most anticipated media
(1:27:07) Breaking news: OpenAI reportedly in talks to sell existing shares at a ~$29B valuation
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/03/business/europe-natural-gas-prices.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/04/technology/salesforce-layoffs.html
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1598076726671642624
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/30/world/asia/xi-putin-china-russia.html
https://twitter.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/1611052287954149377
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/gop-rebels-block-kevin-mccarthy-defiance-trump-rcna64280
(0:00) Bestie catch up!
(3:05) Kicking off the 2022 Bestie Awards
(4:12) Biggest winner in politics
(9:11) Biggest loser in politics
(16:37) Biggest political surprise
(23:35) Biggest winner in business
(29:48) Biggest loser in business
(42:21) Biggest business surprise
(51:16) Best science breakthrough
(57:36) Biggest flash in the pan
(1:42:24) Best CEO
(1:47:38) Best investor
(1:51:21) Worst investor
(1:52:22) Best turnaround
(1:55:58) Worst human being
(1:59:57) Most loathsome company
(2:01:32) Best new tech
(2:02:34) Best trend
(2:05:09) Worst trend
(2:07:50) Best new media
(2:10:26) The Rudy Giuliani Award for Self-Immolation!
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://civil.ge/archives/469054
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/capm.asphttps://www.wsj.com/articles/bob-iger-bob-chapek-disney-coup-11671236928
https://twitter.com/TwitterBusiness/status/1605651865818914816
https://twitter.com/ShellenbergerMD/status/1604871630613753856
https://www.amazon.com/San-Fransicko-Progressives-Ruin-Cities/dp/B08V3DV718
https://twitter.com/ShellenbergerMD/status/1491418120086454278
https://twitter.com/seanhannity
https://www.amazon.com/Vital-Question-Evolution-Origins-Complex/dp/0393088812
https://www.amazon.com/Life-Ascending-Great-Inventions-Evolution/dp/0393065960
https://www.amazon.com/Putting-Rabbit-Hat-Brian-Cox/dp/1538707292
https://www.amazon.com/Audible-Cinema-Speculation/dp/B09V3FTWKY
(0:00) Jason's new gig!
(1:05) Twitter's new privacy rules, notable suspension, doxing dynamics
(20:48) Nuclear fusion breakthrough and geopolitical ramifications
(42:58) Jason and Sacks's big night
(51:11) State of the markets: Coupa acquired by Thoma Bravo, startups at all stages seeing heavy valuation reductions, what LPs are thinking
(1:22:08) TV catch up, worst person in tech bracket
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.finextra.com/newsarticle/41483/checkoutcom-chalks-70-off-valuation
https://twitter.com/Cernovich/status/1602457619431493634
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1603190155107794944
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Ignition_Facility
https://www.ft.com/content/4b6f0fab-66ef-4e33-adec-cfc345589dc7
https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/thoma-bravo-buy-coupa-software-615-billion-2022-12-12
https://www.finextra.com/newsarticle/41483/checkoutcom-chalks-70-off-valuation
(0:00) Bestie gut health!
(2:17) Twitter Files Part 2: shadow banning and blacklisting entire accounts and topics; how content moderation was handled at other tech giants
(33:09) Twitter Files Part 1: Suppressing the New York Post's Hunter Biden laptop story
(47:30) China effectively ends Zero-Covid policies, Iran, China, and Japan demographics
(58:27) Kevin O'Leary defends FTX on CNBC, was paid $15M as a spokesperson; Sinema flips to Independent
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/mtaibbi/status/1598822959866683394
https://twitter.com/bariweiss/status/1601007575633305600
https://twitter.com/c4chaos/status/1601048264262180864
https://twitter.com/bariweiss/status/1601020845224128512
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1601052241145696256
https://twitter.com/bariweiss/status/1601023504916172800
https://twitter.com/NewsPolitics/status/1601028254831620096
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1601031111244599296
https://twitter.com/JamesTodaroMD/status/1601042622516035584
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1601042125130371072
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1601044058276655104
https://twitter.com/mtaibbi/status/1598831435288563712
https://twitter.com/mtaibbi/status/1600243405841666048
https://nypost.com/2022/12/03/twitter-files-reveal-james-baker-in-hunter-biden-laptop-scandal
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/hunter-biden-laptop-data-analysis
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/19/hunter-biden-story-russian-disinfo-430276
https://www.cnn.com/2022/12/08/china/china-zero-covid-relaxation-reaction-intl-hnk/index.html
https://www.indexmundi.com/graphs/population-pyramids/japan-population-pyramid-2020.jpg
https://www.wsj.com/articles/sen-kyrsten-sinema-leaves-democratic-party-11670587227
(0:00) Bestie hangover!
(1:05) Analyzing SBF's media tour: his angle, media coverage, and more
(21:09) FTX culpability: media, investors, regulators
(53:41) Challenging media coverage of other countries, China's current situation, Xi Jinping's standing
(1:10:04) What OpenAI's new ChatGPT tool means for the future
(1:26:30) David Sacks on the slowdown in SaaS, use case endgame for generative AI
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KMZckrBPw38
https://www.coindesk.com/layer2/2022/11/30/ftxs-collapse-was-a-crime-not-an-accident
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/27/opinion/ftx-sam-bankman-fried-fullenkamp.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/14/technology/ftx-sam-bankman-fried-crypto-bankruptcy.html
https://twitter.com/lizrhoffman/status/1595193884438568960
https://taibbi.substack.com/p/be-it-resolved-dont-trust-mainstream
https://www.newcomer.co/p/taking-kid-gloves-to-all-in-my-reflections
https://twitter.com/jdjkelly/status/1598021488795586561
https://twitter.com/pmarca/status/1598413401705021440
https://twitter.com/jdjkelly/status/1598021488795586561
0:00 Bestie intros!
2:19 Trump announces 2024 presidential bid
26:07 Each bestie names their most important policy issue for 2024
59:03 Big tech belt-tightening, activist investor calls out Google, professional-managerial class culture
1:17:23 SBF's leaked DMs, Elon's culture shift
1:38:22 Sacks's big chess victory, Friedberg's public company analysis, and more
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/ianbremmer/status/1592951330955759616
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1592970866312482816
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1593041589685063683
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/11/14/trump-motive-mar-a-lago-documents
https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1592271468045684736
https://deadline.com/2022/11/donald-trump-2024-new-york-post-ivanka-trump-1235173748
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEGDQ188S
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDGDPA188S
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_public_debt
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYFRGDA188S
https://www.theverge.com/2022/11/17/23465169/amazon-layoffs-continuing-2023-ceo-andy-jassy
https://www.tcifund.com/files/corporateengageement/alphabet/15th%20November%202022.pdf
https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/1593606745955348481
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1590110462347444224
https://twitter.com/g_shullenberger/status/1590069877288886274
https://compactmag.com/article/the-email-caste-s-last-stand
https://twitter.com/bgurley/status/1593448516394881024
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1593653573329436672
(0:00) New bestie game show!
(6:20) Election recap: Red wave falls flat, Republican party flips from Trump to DeSantis, a rebuke of extremism
(20:47) Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong joins to break down the FTX collapse, further contagion risk, regulation, and more!
(43:32) Red flags exhibited by Sam Bankman-Fried and FTX, lack of governance/diligence
(1:06:00) Macroeconomic picture, lower than expected CPI print catalyzes market tear, advice for founders
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/10/us/politics/biden-ukraine-russia-diplomacy.html
https://www.wsj.com/articles/ftx-files-for-chapter-11-bankruptcy-11668176869
https://fortune.com/2022/11/10/sam-bankman-fried-ftx-joe-biden-democratic-party-second-biggest-donor
https://twitter.com/GordonJohnson19/status/1591062535586848768
(0:00) Jason's new brand deal
(1:18) Bestie updates
(9:12) "Ligma/Johnson" blunder outside of Twitter HQ
(15:38) Surge of tech layoffs at Twitter, Stripe, Lyft, Opendoor, Chime and others; preparing for a longer downturn than originally anticipated
(35:28) Macro trends, big tech freezes hiring, how founders can think about the last 3 years and the next 3 years
(54:04) Midterm election preview, understanding the shift toward populism
(1:17:32) Science corner: Understanding Meta's AlphaFold competitor
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1588538640401018880
https://twitter.com/yoyoel/status/1587230924554399744
https://twitter.com/dee_bosa/status/1587158734689767425
https://twitter.com/TechBroDrip/status/1586370087287521280
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1586149451348910081
https://twitter.com/Post_Market/status/1577793695734284289
https://twitter.com/bullfightcap/status/1588311417052012544
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vBkzm4a7iY4
https://finra-markets.morningstar.com/BondCenter/BondDetail.jsp?ticker=C996374&symbol=COIN5259271
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART
https://www.bbc.com/news/business-63471725
https://www.google.com/finance
https://twitter.com/bgurley/status/1554589241560010753
https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/02/politics/cnn-poll-democrats-midterm-elections/index.html
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/10/covid-response-forgiveness/671879
https://www.axios.com/2022/11/04/trump-presidential-run-2024-announcement
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/
https://www.joshbarro.com/p/the-problem-with-pro-democracy-rhetoric
https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=MCSSTUS1&f=M
https://about.fb.com/news/2022/11/ai-protein-research-could-drive-progress-in-medicine-clean-energy
(0:00) Sacks is back!
(1:01) Sacks recaps his week off
(3:13) Elon finalizes Twitter deal, immediate content moderation decisions, platform potential
(31:19) Meta's historic bet on VR and stock price predicament, governance structure, and more
(1:02:52) Big tech's 2022 decline, macro outlook, market breakdown
(1:06:32) Ukraine update: Progressives call for diplomacy, then flip flop, chip sanctions on China
(1:27:29) Science corner: Gut microbiome advancements
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TWTR:NYSE
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1586059953311137792
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/EFFR
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2022/10/26/progressives-thought-crime-on-ukraine-00063621
(0:00) Bestie intros: Brad Gerstner joins in place of Sacks, and brigadoons!
(2:02) Ye's current situation and acquisition of Parler
(14:17) Snap drops ~30%, corporate misgovernance, super-voting shares
(32:53) Macro outlook, Stability AI $101M fundraise, VC fund metrics
(1:05:38) The difficulty of active stock picking and valuing businesses
(1:21:38) Lyft vs Gavin Newsom on Prop 30, PSA from Chamath
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SNAP:NYSE
https://www.statista.com/statistics/545967/snapchat-app-dau
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/10/20/musk-twitter-acquisition-staff-cuts
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1520643441994387456
(0:00) Bestie intros are back!
(6:35) Reflecting on the first 100 episodes and what makes the show special
(29:12) Fan questions: Building in a downturn, how to be successful in tech, importance of uncapped upside, and more
(53:43) Ukraine/Russia update: Nuclear escalation, when to draw a line in the sand, how inflation could deescalate any WWIII scenario
(1:14:57) Reacting to Amazon CEO Andy Jassy's comments at an all-hands meeting earlier this week, VC firms buying public tech stocks
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/10/13/business/inflation-cpi-report
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/12/opinion/china-semiconductors-exports.html
0:00 Bestie intros!
1:34 Breaking down major cheating scandals: chess, poker, fishing
16:13 Twitter deal updates
30:05 AI making rapid advancements: Tesla AI Day, Meta's text-to-video tool, where this all leads
49:45 Biden pardons all prior federal offenses of marijuana possession
59:24 SCOTUS will hear cases regarding Section 230, common carrier, algorithmic recommendations
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/chess-cheating-hans-niemann-report-magnus-carlsen-11664911524
https://twitter.com/Billyhottakes/status/1576246821139070976
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL
https://twitter.com/POTUS/status/1578097875480895489
https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2018/12/22/18146338/marijuana-legalization-2018-win
0:00 Bestie intros!
1:36 Big tech starts making cuts, plus what this means for the broader economy and startups
31:09 Global debt numbers, Fed incompetency
54:06 RIP Coolio
1:00:30 Russia / Ukraine update
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/AAPL:NASDAQ
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GOOG:NASDAQ
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NFLX:NASDAQ
https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=GBP&to=USD&view=1M
https://www.bls.gov/charts/job-openings-and-labor-turnover/unemp-per-job-opening.htm
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL
https://www.reuters.com/world/putin-host-kremlin-ceremony-annexing-parts-ukraine-2022-09-29
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/zelenskiy-says-ukraine-applying-nato-membership-2022-09-30
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/qa-nord-stream-gas-sabotage-whos-being-blamed-why-2022-09-30
https://www.theamericanconservative.com/should-america-go-all-in-on-ukraine
0:00 Bestie intros!
1:03 SPAC updates, state of the public/private markets
20:26 US VCs have $290B in dry powder and raised a record amount in H1 2022, is the market nearing a bottom?
31:14 Risks of backing Putin into a corner, Russia's end game, conditions for conflict
50:45 Government-heavy climate plans, Dilbert/ESG backlash
1:01:20 Poker plans, chess cheating scandal
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1461453308623659010
https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q2-2022-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/10/world/europe/russia-ukraine-retreat-putin.html
https://warfarehistorynetwork.com/douglas-macarthur-atomic-bombs-will-win-the-korean-war/
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/10/world/europe/russia-ukraine-retreat-putin.html
https://www.brown.edu/news/2021-09-01/costsofwar
https://twitter.com/UncommonYield/status/1572743593508638722
0:00 Bestie intro!
0:59 Adobe agrees to acquire Figma for $20B
19:21 How Adobe might bundle Figma, regulatory implications
38:59 Analyzing Google's "one off" acquisition of YouTube
49:33 Friedberg breaks down the latest TPB SPAC news
1:00:37 Pfizer sued for Title VI violation, substantial legislation change in 2022
1:05:07 FedEx drops after CEO says we're in a global recession, Russia/Ukraine update, UN chimes in on global famine
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ADBE:NASDAQ
https://www.figma.com/blog/a-new-collaboration-with-adobe
https://twitter.com/LizAnnSonders/status/1570711614277419009
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/13/us/politics/ukraine-russia-pentagon.html
https://www.axios.com/2022/09/16/un-345-million-starvation-risk-ukraine-war-worsens-crisis
0:00 Bestie intros: Luxury brand influencers, Birthday Party stories and more!
3:34 Jason reflects on the final Kara Swisher-hosted Code Conference, All-In media and hit piece requests
12:53 Passing of Queen Elizabeth II
15:39 Winter is Coming: Europe's energy crisis, potential fracturing of the Western Alliance, how we got here, endgame, and more
53:03 Kim Kardashian's new PE firm, content as the dominant distribution channel, what will mega-influencers do to legacy brands
1:03:46 Overprescribing of amphetamines to children
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod/status/1568294657632907268
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfJv9QYrlwg
https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/pages/europe-energy-crisis-is-at-a-tipping-point.html
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/truss-ukraine-ally-tory-leadership-race-b2151390.html
https://www.voanews.com/a/scholz-g-7-will-support-ukraine-for-as-long-as-necessary-/6623196.html
https://twitter.com/aaronjmate/status/1566484400224993280
(0:00) Bestie intros + Burning Man debate
(4:16) NFT trading volume plummets
(10:20) California's new fast food wages bill, government creating bad incentives, how the free market response will further the labor issue
(40:15) Zuckerberg on Rogan, FBI interference with the Hunter Biden laptop story
(52:00) Balancing fighting climate change without harming the economy or national security, EU energy policy failure
(1:06:04) Besties reflect on Mikhail Gorbachev's passing
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XlXSGqvP-A8
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/08/23/us/california-nuclear-power-diablo.html
0:00 Bestie intros!
1:25 Twitter's former head of security makes allegations against the company
22:08 Foreign countries placing government agents in US tech companies, cloud security vulnerabilities
33:54 Student loan forgiveness
1:03:25 Red wave or red ripple?
1:07:57 Science corner: Gut microbiome, fecal transplants
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/interactive/2022/twitter-whistleblower-sec-spam
https://www.cnn.com/2022/08/23/tech/twitter-whistleblower-peiter-zatko-security/index.html
https://time.com/6207996/twitter-whistleblower-allegations/
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1562179576800763904
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1562179705322684416
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1562105413977493504
https://www.cnn.com/2022/08/23/tech/twitter-whistleblower-peiter-zatko-security/index.html
https://www.zuckermanlaw.com/sp_faq/largest-sec-whistleblower-awards
https://theliberalpatriot.substack.com/p/the-democrats-shifting-coalition
https://fortune.com/2022/08/24/biden-changing-income-driven-repayment-plan-student-debt-borrowers
https://twitter.com/LHSummers/status/1562040653432999936
https://www.socialcapital.com/ideas/2021-annual-letter
https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/2022-primaries/red-wave-looks-more-ripple
0:00 Bestie intro plus a new moderator!
7:19 Adam Neumann raises $350M from a16z for his new residential real estate startup Flow
25:32 Housing policy: Bay Area, Houston, Miami differences
45:41 China, Saudi Arabia, Russia increase relations: should the US be worried?
1:01:09 Inflation Reduction Act signed into law: climate change impact, CBO scorecard, IRS beefed up, carbon tax, big pharma pricing, and more
1:29:47 Chamath ends his spat with Phil Hellmuth, FBI raid follow-up
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/PLD:NYSE
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/WE:NYSE
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BX:NYSE
https://a16z.com/2020/04/18/its-time-to-build
https://www.politico.com/news/2022/08/16/xi-jinping-saudi-arabia-trip-middle-east-influence-00052023
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/playing-fire-ukraine
https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2022-08/hr5376_IR_Act_8-3-22.pdf
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/02/what-a-carbon-tax-can-do-and-why-it-cannot-do-it-all
0:00 Bestie intros
3:02 Where Masa and SoftBank went wrong, why VC isn't scaleable, Vision Fund impact
27:59 Metrics that signify a bubble or the top of a market
36:46 US macroeconomic picture
50:45 FBI raids Mar-a-Lago, Trump back in news
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-81222
https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-housing-affordability-in-june-was-the-worst-since-1989-11660312801
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FIXHAI
https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/hhdc
https://twitter.com/AndrewYang/status/1556987104219090945
https://twitter.com/andrewcuomo/status/1556990308424028163
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1546669610509799424
https://twitter.com/michaeljburry/status/1557934401505308672
0:00 Bestie intros
2:07 Twitter subpoenas the besties!
16:03 Markets overview: dead cat bounce or have we hit the bottom?
34:10 De-globalization trends, Pelosi's Taiwan visit
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1554963395660566533
https://ycharts.com/indicators/us_gas_price
https://www.macrotrends.net/1369/crude-oil-price-history-chart
https://www.newcomer.co/p/folk-songs-and-stock-charts-coatue
https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/1554485039710310401
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/08/01/opinion/nancy-pelosi-taiwan-china.html
0:00 Bestie intros!
2:19 GDP growth is negative for a second consecutive quarter, but is the US actually in a recession? How has the White House controlled the narrative?
22:45 Looking at COVID trends with a post-COVID view: e-commerce, remote work, and how they correlate
36:33 "Inflation Reduction Act", how government subsidies can stifle innovation
59:50 Alzheimer's fraud, Ginkgo acquires Zymergen for $300M
1:17:36 Democrats backing MAGA candidates in primaries vs. more moderate republicans: savvy and cynical or too risky?
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://news.shopify.com/changes-to-shopifys-team
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TDOC:NYSE
https://twitter.com/jamiedupree/status/1552406981637545993
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/24/world/africa/congo-oil-gas-auction.html
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41380-022-01661-0
https://www.pharmaceutical-technology.com/news/ginkgo-acquire-zymergen/
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/26/us/politics/democrats-john-gibbs-peter-meijer.html
https://twitter.com/ConanOBrien/status/1552358211986006019
https://twitter.com/maga_cy/status/1552360064693915648
0:00 Bestie intros
1:45 First principle politics, analyzing each party's cynicism
48:07 Chaos in China: bank protests, housing protests, slowing economic and population growth, future outlook
1:09:21 Automation and the impact of the information economy
1:16:31 BlackRock loses $1.7T of investor money during H1 2021, state of private and public markets
1:36:36 Amazon acquires One Medical
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/pelositracker_/status/1549535561718714368
https://www.politico.com/news/2022/07/20/biden-pelosi-trip-taiwan-china-military-00047031
https://www.tesla.com/blog/tesla-repays-department-energy-loan-nine-years-early
https://housestockwatcher.com/summary_by_rep/Hon.%20Nancy%20Pelosi
https://www.thedailybeast.com/democrats-quietly-try-to-jam-nancy-pelosi-on-stock-trading-ban
https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3852
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/19/opinion/democrats-far-right-midterms.html
https://twitter.com/micsolana/status/1549868945640914951
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/07/18/spanish-language-media-disinformation/
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/19/world/asia/china-bank-scandal-protest.html
https://twitter.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1549790086656581640
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/01/17/world/asia/china-population-crisis.html
https://www.ft.com/content/91441aca-1665-4660-843f-9cf7222becff
https://datacommons.org/place/country/CHN
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-22/china-housing-market-slowdown-drags-economy
https://www.wsj.com/articles/chinas-economic-distress-deepens-as-lockdowns-drag-on-11652703162
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20220531-why-chinas-population-is-shrinking
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/sp.dyn.tfrt.in?locations=cn
https://www.thinkadvisor.com/2022/07/20/how-blackrock-lost-1-7t-of-clients-money/
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/21/business/amazon-one-medical-deal.html
0:00 Bestie intros!
1:41 Emerging markets, Sri Lanka break down
36:01 9.1% CPI print
48:15 Current market sentiments from retail and institutional investors
1:05:00 NASA's Webb telescope images
1:15:57 Beagle rescue, Biden admin's lack of private sector experience, Russia's new energy play
BEAGLE RESCUE INFO:
https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/12/us/beagles-virginia-facility-rescue/index.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/12/us/envigo-beagles-breeder-adoption.html
https://www.humanesociety.org/beaglerescue
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.cnn.com/asia/live-news/sri-lanka-protests-07-13-22-intl/index.html
https://worldpopulationreview.com/countries/countries-by-gdp
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/02/what-next-for-sri-lanka/
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/07/world/asia/sri-lanka-organic-farming-fertilizer.html
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/561467714485514240
https://datareportal.com/reports/digital-2022-sri-lanka
https://michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/green-dogma-behind-fall-of-sri-lanka
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/inflation-cpi
https://www.redfin.com/news/data-center/
https://fredblog.stlouisfed.org/2014/04/the-taylor-rule/
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10
https://www.wsj.com/articles/nasa-james-webb-space-telescope-greg-robinson-images-11657137487
0:00 Bestie open: Sacks' shopping spree
2:15 Macro outlook: jobs, consumer sentiment, housing, inflation, finding a bottom
39:21 Turkish government finds ~694 million mt of rare earth reserves & EU reclassifies nuclear & natural gas as "green"
48:58 Dutch farmers protests: root causes, how to move forward with smarter legislation
1:09:39 Biden's decline, Bezos responds to Biden's tweet on bringing gas prices down
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/06/jolts-job-openings-may-2022-.html
https://www.bls.gov/charts/job-openings-and-labor-turnover/hire-seps-rates.htm
https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/cb-consumer-confidence-48
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/consumer-confidence-conference-board-june-2022-143536146.html
https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/data/existing-home-sales#chart-existing-home-sales-vs-30yr-rate
https://www.forbes.com/sites/darreonnadavis/2022/07/05/88-of-americans-say-us-is-on-wrong-track/
https://thehill.com/policy/finance/3525909-56-percent-in-new-poll-believe-us-is-in-recession/
https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1544057786065092609
https://twitter.com/GretaThunberg/status/1544380486654590983
https://mobile.twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1544573867804348416
https://abcnews.go.com/Business/wireStory/explainer-dutch-farmers-protesting-emissions-85848026
https://www.amazon.com/The-Alchemy-of-Air-Thomas-Hager-audiobook/dp/B0046Y0BP0/ref=sr_1_1
https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_us_070522/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/07/07/uk-boris-johnson-resignation/
https://twitter.com/POTUS/status/1543263229006254080
https://twitter.com/JeffBezos/status/1543409762867494912
0:00 Bestie intros
4:09 Assessing SBF bailing out major crypto players & the state of the market
18:24 Classifying crypto assets, high-yield crypto lending
34:17 Zendesk sells for $10B, accounting for stock-based comp, evergreen standard in tech
1:01:24 Buyout targets, public market "regime change"
1:08:21 Russia/Ukraine impact on markets, could US diplomacy have prevented the war?
1:28:35 Science Corner: Friedberg breaks down the newest breakthrough AlphaFold application
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Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/crypto-fund-three-arrows-ordered-to-liquidate-by-court-11656506404
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/22/sam-bankman-fried-rescues-crypto-lenders-blockfi-voyager.html
https://twitter.com/ForbesCrypto/status/1541893168152690690
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1540732780501381121
https://www.coinbase.com/price/bitcoin
https://www.coinbase.com/price/ethereum
https://www.blockchaincenter.net/en/altcoin-season-index/
https://techcrunch.com/2022/02/11/zendesk-spurns-17b-private-equity-takeover-offer/
https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-62422
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CRM:NYSE
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/WDAY:NASDAQ
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NOW:NYSE
https://cdn.manscaped.io/assets/investor-relations/manscaped-investor-presentation-slides-2022.pdf
https://investor.onepeloton.com/node/9271/html
https://investors.buzzfeed.com/node/7426/html
https://kalshi.com/events/CPI-22JUN/markets/CPI-22JUN-T0.9
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/06/17/long-war-ukraine/
https://twitter.com/missy_ryan/status/1537944064703619074
https://www.reuters.com/world/kremlin-says-nato-expansion-ukraine-crosses-red-line-putin-2021-09-27/
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/16/world/europe/biden-putin-geneva-meeting.html
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2021/09/01/politics/ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-biden-white-house/index.html
https://www.state.gov/u-s-ukraine-charter-on-strategic-partnership/
https://apnews.com/article/moscow-russia-europe-ukraine-belarus-6d9818ff922a2650de107734a7c3faf5
https://news.yahoo.com/blinken-says-no-change-nato-193615967.html
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abm9326
All-In E79 on RvW leaked draft: https://youtu.be/qH696z3ml1Q
0:00 Besties discuss the one-month hiatus
7:03 Markets update: Fed decisions, goals, macro factors, root causes
32:19 Earnings estimate skepticism, labor force, job openings
47:17 How startups should think about the next 18-36 months
56:20 Crypto collapse, next shoe(s) to drop
1:08:41 Russia/Ukraine endgame, escalation, scrutinizing US alliances, sanctions failing
1:33:12 Will 2024 be Biden vs. Trump? Could it be DeSantis vs. Newsom?
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Intro Music Credit:
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Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.DJI:INDEXDJX
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/10/consumer-price-index-may-2022.html
https://www.longtermtrends.net/home-price-median-annual-income-ratio
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/09/tc-energy-terminates-keystone-xl-pipeline-project.html
https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=RUB&to=USD&view=1Y
https://www.wsj.com/articles/inflation-bls-price-checkers-who-determine-cpi-11652132333
https://www.chicagofed.org/research/dual-mandate/dual-mandate
https://data.oecd.org/leadind/consumer-confidence-index-cci.htm
https://thehill.com/policy/finance/3525909-56-percent-in-new-poll-believe-us-is-in-recession/
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/reducing-inflation-come-great-cost-stagflation-ray-dalio
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/job-offers
https://www.socialcapital.com/ideas/2021-annual-letter
https://www.coinbase.com/price/bitcoin
https://www.coinbase.com/price/ethereum
https://www.coindesk.com/business/2022/06/17/three-arrows-capitalconfirms-heavy-losses-from-lunas-collapse-exploring-potential-options-report
https://www.ft.com/content/19c27ae1-ae72-4668-b3a9-162adc27dffc
https://decrypt.co/103489/solend-whale-108m-loan-nearly-crashed-solana
https://www.ft.com/content/4e211784-83eb-49a2-ba39-8976345a88d5
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/06/10/ukraine-ammunition-donbas-russia/
https://www.americanpurpose.com/blog/fukuyama/why-ukraine-will-win/
https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/correction-germany-nuclear-shutdown-story-82051054
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2022/06/why-ron-desantis-can-beat-trump-in-2024.html
This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist
0:00 Jason intros today's episode
2:31 Palmer Luckey on Anduril, national defense & the current thing
25:24 Bestie Q&A with Palmer
53:13 Jason gives closing thoughts
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Links referenced in the show:
This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist
0:00 Antonio Gracias joins to talk: Tesla's early days, investing in Elon, macroeconomic outlook, ROIC, importance of energy independence, future of manufacturing, financial-ization of the P&L & more
22:35 Q: How has the poker game influenced your decision making in business and life?
29:33 Q: What was the scariest step of becoming a first-time fund manager?
32:34 Q: Crypto market unwinding & how it relates to the money supply
35:57 Q: Current pre-seed / seed valuations & metrics
38:58 Q: When investing in early-stage SaaS companies, how to find outliers?
42:11 Q: What would you do if dropped in the middle of Kansas at age 25 with no resources?
44:46 Q: Where will the next disruptions in industrial automation come from & how will the US hit economies of scale in semiconductor manufacturing
47:02 Q: Any plans for All-In Media?
50:02 Q: US strategy in the Russia/Ukraine War
54:19 Q: How have your first impressions changed as you've matured in your career, and whose first impressions have stood out to you the most?
58:29 Q: Are you interested in crypto micropayments?
1:00:55 Q: Biggest mistakes of your career that you've learned the most from?
1:09:54 Q: What impact could tech have on political discourse? What does a viable path forward look like?
1:15:36 Q: Are remote / distributed startup systems viable coming out of the pandemic?
1:19:41 Q: Advice for non-technical people trying to get into the startup world?
1:24:44 Q: Thoughts on the potential consumer credit crisis?
1:26:17 Lightning round: What problem do you most want to solve right now? All-In consortium? Can SMBs democratize their own labor supply? How to get more investors interested in hardware? Will this be a relatively short recession?
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This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist
0:00 Yung Spielburg intros the Besties + Besties give reactions to the All-In Summit
5:56 Miami Mayor Francis Suarez joins the Besties on stage to chat: Miami's emergence as a tech hub, his governing principles, crypto, what the future holds & more
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This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist
0:00 Joe Lonsdale speaks about the problem with higher education and the importance of debate/truth-seeking
10:13 Bestie Q&A with Joe: Why Americans feel victimized, what happened in 1971, getting off the gold standard, school choice, starting UATX
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This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist
0:00 The Lanby's Tandice Urban breaks down why healthcare has a customer service problem, and how to fix it
12:28 Bestie Q&A: changing American's perspective on healthcare, opportunity for DTC health brands, why is medical spend at all-time highs while avg lifespan has flatlined/slightly decreased?
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This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist
0:00 Chamath intros MP Materials CEO James Litinsky
1:13 James gives a talk on supply chain, energy independence, acquiring the Mountain Pass mine and starting MP Materials
12:48 Bestie Q&A with James: US falling behind in rare earth mining, risk compliance, energy independence breeding geopolitical leverage, mining lithium in the ocean vs Earth's crust, and more
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This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist
0:00 Pear VC Founding Managing Partner Mar Hershenson gives a talk on making successful entrepreneurs: can great founders be created, or is it something they are born with?
17:04 Bestie Q&A with Mar: Catalyzing great founders, why the PayPal Mafia created more unicorns than early Google employees, creating more opportunity for underrepresented founders, inducing failure & more
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This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist
0:00 Nate Silver gives a presentation on how gamblers think
19:25 Bestie Q&A with Nate Silver: building probabilistic models, getting blamed for Trump winning in 2016, polarization reality, 2022 midterms
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0:00 Adena Hefets breaks down the state of the US housing market in 2022
16:56 Bestie Q&A with Adena: differences between 2008 and 2022, housing market reaction time, chances of a collapse, and more
30:08 Adena does a Bestie Intro for herself!
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0:00 David Sacks explains the origin of this panel on political discourse in America
2:56 Understanding the new political divide, how Trump's victory impacted discourse
12:37 Can mainstream media ever get back to relative neutrality?
29:15 Audience Q&A
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0:00 Bestie Guestie Brad Gerstner joins the show
1:00 All-In Summit recap and best moments
16:45 State of the markets, $ZM/$SNOW earnings, how much more uncertainty?
29:53 $SNAP drops after miscalculating earnings targets, understanding signs of a true bottom, the end of entitlement
51:10 Down market end game, investor decisions, reasons for optimism, quick reset potential
1:05:17 Sacks explains his concept for "default investable," Besties share thoughts on proactive layoffs and course correction
1:12:27 Addressing Uvalde, legislative disappointment, potential preventative solutions
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Intro Music Credit:
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https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.DJI:INDEXDJX
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10YIE
https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1529100065331200005
https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1529133144540078083
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SNAP:NYSE
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/24/snaps-down-32percent-and-its-dragging-other-stocks-down-with-it.html
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/FB:NASDAQ
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GOOG:NASDAQ
https://nypost.com/2022/05/13/netflix-tells-woke-workers-to-quit-if-they-are-offended-culture-memo
https://twitter.com/JeffBezos/status/1525309091970699265
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1529119829080150016
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1528102541723979776
https://sacks.substack.com/p/the-burn-multiple-51a7e43cb200
https://elections.bradyunited.org/take-action/nra-donations-116th-congress-senators
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1529843255176663040
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/01/business/coronavirus-gun-sales.html
0:00 Tim Urban gives a talk on political discourse in America and explains high-rung vs. low-rung thinking
26:20 The Besties and Keith Rabois join Tim Urban on stage for a roundtable discussion on cancel culture
51:23 Keith Rabois talks about taking a pause on new investments in 2022 and gives his take on other major VC players
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Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
This debate was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist
0:00 David Sacks tees up the show: Debating the US intervention in Ukraine
This debate was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami!
1:49 Opening statements from Glenn & Antonio
15:29 Debating US involvement, regime change motives, & more
32:01 Final word & wrap
Follow the guests: https://twitter.com/ggreenwald https://twitter.com/antoniogm Follow the besties:https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
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Intro Music Credit:
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Intro Video Credit:
This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist
0:00 Claire Cormier Thielke's AIS talk: "Tomorrowland: China Placemaking and the Future of Innovation"
17:40 Claire takes Q&A with the Besties + Ryan Petersen: Understanding the China/US rivalry
24:08 How the Evergrande debt situation impacts the greater Chinese real estate industry, China's still-nascent middle class, How China is subsidizing its negative birth rate
34:30 Ryan Petersen breaks down Flexport's business, the tumultuous past few years, and how DTC might be in major trouble
46:34 Asset-heavy play as a hedge against the popular trend of asset-light, velocity vs. speed, Flexport.org's humanitarian relief shipping, China's influence
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Intro Music Credit:
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Intro Video Credit:
This conversation was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist
0:00 Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner break down the state and historical significance of 2022's market downturn
12:27 How VCs will handle capital commitments from LPs, underwriting startups in the new reality
24:14 Bull run mistakes, why VCs don't underwrite lower valuations, handling distributions
33:52 Gurley's take on WeCrashed & Super Pumped TV series, how sophisticated investors got "gaslit" by the market, influx of capital creating consumer-surplus businesses
47:54 Brad predicts the market for next year, Bill gives post-Benchmark plans
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0:00 Bestie Guestie Elon Musk joins via Zoom at the All-In Summit!
0:43 Benchmarking Twitter's bot problem, thoughts on slights from the Biden Administration
13:26 Breaking down Tesla's 6+ businesses, comparing them to a traditional car company
21:42 Concerns around the Twitter deal, crypto payments on Twitter
30:19 Building vs. acquiring, early Tesla stories
39:52 SpaceX's grand vision and business model, nuclear fusion vs. solar
56:37 Moving from CA to TX, fixing California, macroeconomic takes
1:10:20 American exceptionalism, a new immigration strategy
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0:00 Bestie catchup and Friedberg intros!
4:40 Breaking down current macro risks, Great Recession comparisons
31:55 How a historically large amount of dry powder is impacting VC firms as the market shifts, problems with mega funds
41:31 Tiger Global's historic loss and where they might have gone wrong; Sacks' gives his playbook for raising capital in a downturn
58:35 How startup employees can protect themselves in a down market, questions to ask and metrics to know while evaluating startups to work at
1:13:21 Psychological impact of investing after taking huge losses
1:29:00 Predictions on how the market shakes out
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Intro Music Credit:
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Intro Video Credit:
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Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/cullenroche/status/1524441227931774976
https://www.axios.com/2022/04/08/consumer-debt-soars-credit-cards
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/realer.nr0.htm
https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g19/current/default.htm
https://www.longtermtrends.net/home-price-median-annual-income-ratio
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1523780820112007168
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART
https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf
https://twitter.com/TheBenSchmark/status/1522669777478684672
https://twitter.com/AndrewE_Dunn/status/1523653942252826624
https://twitter.com/mattturck/status/1524773379416408064
https://twitter.com/jonsakoda/status/1522625236130144256
https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com
https://twitter.com/ZoeSchiffer/status/1523017143939309568
https://twitter.com/BurryArchive/status/1524504399070081025
https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2022/05/04/dow-rallies-fed-ups-rates/9649150002/
0:00 Amy Howe (@AHoweBlogger) & Tom Goldstein (@SCOTUSblog) join the show to break down the leaked draft overturning Roe v. Wade
28:07 Potential downstream impacts from the precedent of overturning Roe v. Wade
43:03 How will the leaked draft impact the Supreme Court going forward? Should there be age limits for SC justices?
1:05:09 Analyzing the path forward
Follow Amy and Tom:
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https://twitter.com/SCOTUSblog
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Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/21835435-scotus-initial-draft
https://tile.loc.gov/storage-services/service/ll/usrep/usrep410/usrep410113/usrep410113.pdf
https://supreme.justia.com/cases/federal/us/505/833/case.pdf
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/05/04/abortion-supreme-court-confirmation-hearings
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donald_Trump_Supreme_Court_candidates
https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/19pdf/17-1618_hfci.pdf
https://beyer.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=5330
https://www.law.nyu.edu/sites/default/files/ECM_PRO_059254.pdf
https://news.gallup.com/poll/350486/record-high-support-same-sex-marriage.aspx
https://news.gallup.com/poll/1576/abortion.aspx
0:00 Bestie intros
4:32 Understanding VC fund metrics that matter, state of private markets
29:37 Recession possibilities, Q1 negative growth
44:56 Student loan forgiveness, fixing the underlying system, solutions
1:09:52 Archegos founder Bill Hwang arrested and charged with fraud and racketeering
1:19:08 New Disinformation Governance Board
1:30:23 Predictions for Elon's Twitter vision, policing speech on social media using existing case law
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
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https://twitter.com/theallinpod
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Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.socialcapital.com/ideas/2021-annual-letter
https://twitter.com/jasongoepfert/status/1520040516955643905
https://www.wsj.com/articles/us-economy-gdp-growth-q1-11651108351
https://twitter.com/lizannsonders/status/1520021943621140483
https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1489128016508719104
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/04/should-biden-forgive-student-loan-debt/629700/
https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2022-70
https://www.dhs.gov/ntas/advisory/national-terrorism-advisory-system-bulletin-february-07-2022
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/11/01/us/politics/russia-2016-election-facebook.html
0:00 Bestie Intros + a new Bestie Guestie!
4:37 Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong reflects on his "mission-focused company" blog post, work culture in tech/Silicon Valley, realigning culture at Coinbase
26:25 Crypto regulation and adoption
46:37 Brian's takes on different types of stablecoins
51:14 Netflix's major headwinds
Follow the besties:
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Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://blog.coinbase.com/coinbase-is-a-mission-focused-company-af882df8804
https://www.wsj.com/articles/revolt-in-disneys-florida-kingdom-ron-desantis-bob-chapek-11650578648
https://variety.com/2021/film/news/dave-chappelle-netflix-ted-sarandos-i-screwed-up-1235093098/
https://sacks.substack.com/p/your-startup-is-a-movement?s=r
https://twitter.com/brian_armstrong/status/1435439291715358721
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/howey-test.asp
https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1402030233319088139
https://nypost.com/2022/04/21/ex-mcdonalds-ceo-rensi-companies-have-no-business-in-politics/
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NFLX:NASDAQ
https://ycharts.com/companies/NFLX/market_cap
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/FB:NASDAQ
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GOOG:NASDAQ
1:03 Friedberg breaks down the global food crisis and predicts China's grand plan
9:27 Inflation: 8.5% CPI in March, potential causes, what the rest of 2022 might look like
18:22 Understanding French election results so far
23:08 All-In Summit update and preview
Follow the besties:
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https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://allafrica.com/stories/202203190144.html
https://www.economist.com/china/2022/04/09/when-china-worries-about-food-the-world-pays
https://www.wsj.com/articles/us-inflation-consumer-price-index-march-2022-11649725215
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1485696010290491393
https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/presidentielle-2022
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/13/world/europe/le-pen-nato-russia-germany.html
0:00 Jason's new skincare routine, Sacks' Good Friday portfolio update, Bestie intros
3:12 Breaking down Elon's offer to buy Twitter and take it private: poison pills, board responsibility and more
30:50 Core issues of Elon vs. Twitter, analyzing reactions, breaking down Twitter's revenue per employee
43:10 Free speech and Twitter, predictions for how this saga ends, business film recommendations
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1514564966564651008
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Revlon,_Inc._v._MacAndrews_%26_Forbes_Holdings,_Inc.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001418091/000110465922045641/tm2212748d1_sc13da.htm
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TWTR:NYSE
https://twitter.com/DefiantLs/status/1514738236207337477
https://twitter.com/jeffjarvis/status/1514578609754812419
https://twitter.com/maxboot/status/1514570168730636290
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ
https://twitter.com/DefiantLs/status/1514738236207337477
https://twitter.com/auronmacintyre/status/1514653963408318474
0:00 Jason's big night out, bestie intros, All-In Summit update and more
8:01 Layoffs and shutdowns: Fast, Better.com, GoPuff; Chamath gives a macro- and micro- overview for startups
14:09 Preventing layoffs, culpability in Fast's shutdown, VC diligence strategy, VC/founder model
41:51 Elon buys a 9% stake in Twitter and joins the board: what does this mean for Twitter, free speech online, evolution of deplatforming
1:03:24 Food shortage update, ideal US objectives going forward
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/live-fast-die-young-behind-the-fall-of-a-one-click-wonder
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/gopuff-plans-hundreds-of-layoffs-to-cut-40-million-in-costs
https://articles.sequoiacap.com/rip-good-times
https://sacks.substack.com/p/the-saas-board-meeting
https://medium.com/craft-ventures/blitzfail-how-not-to-go-off-the-rails-24ccaf92c410
https://twitter.com/paraga/status/1511320953598357505
https://twitter.com/jack/status/1511329369473564677
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1507259709224632344
https://twitter.com/micsolana/status/1511360061670662149
https://twitter.com/micsolana/status/1511674851202945024
https://www.cnn.com/2022/04/06/tech/pinterest-climate-change-misinformation-policy/index.html
https://gro-intelligence.com/insights/gro-predicts-us-corn-stocks-will-drop-sharply-in-2022-23
0:00 Sacks' DC trip and foreign policy speaking gig
5:50 Yield curve inversion, breaking down the current state of the markets, understanding the labor market through birth rate and immigration
26:16 How the US can fix its current economic issues, reframing high-skilled immigration
48:54 SEC's new proposed rules around SPACs and climate disclosures for public companies: how will both markets be impacted?
1:10:29 Meta used a GOP firm to run a smear campaign against TikTok in the US: dirty, necessary, or both?
1:19:03 Food shortage update
1:24:33 Sacks and Jason reflect on Biden's inflammatory comments on Putin
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2016/04/the-obama-doctrine/471525
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/PATH:NYSE
https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/archive/2022/03/american-population-growth-rate-slow/629392
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART
https://www.wsj.com/articles/joe-bidens-big-new-wealth-tax-white-house-budget-fy-2023-11648504962
https://theliberalpatriot.substack.com/p/democrats-go-directly-to-the-center
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-03-22/the-sec-will-regulate-climate
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/30/sec-targets-spacs-with-new-rules-about-forecasts-mergers.html
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/03/30/facebook-tiktok-targeted-victory/
https://farmdocdaily.illinois.edu/2022/03/wheat-in-2023.html
https://www.agweek.com/news/usda-nass-to-livestream-prospective-planting-report
https://www.npr.org/2022/03/28/1089300515/biden-putin-remarks-regime-change
0:00 Bestie Guestie Brad Gerstner is filling in for Friedberg
1:34 Understanding public SaaS and Internet multiples, Instacart's cuts its valuation by 40%, understanding reality of overvalued late-stage companies
21:52 Capital allocators at fault, how crossover funds are reacting, late-stage price discovery, investor and founder behavioral psychology
40:37 Sacks' burn multiple, managing growth spend, new VC qualifications, lessons from the COVID bubble
53:58 Russia/Ukraine: US potential non-ceasefire strategy, Zelenskyy's revelations in CNN interview, rhetoric getting more aggressive
1:08:58 How will Putin withdraw without redacting the sanctions? What is the offramp? Zelenskyy's posture on global war
1:24:18 Understanding China's recently announced tax cuts, All-In Summit talk
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://sacks.substack.com/p/the-burnmultiple-51a7e43cb200
https://substack.com/profile/11803623-jamin-ball
https://twitter.com/nfergus/status/1506243619384037378
https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB10014.html
https://twitter.com/samramani2/status/1507378113893871617
https://www.politico.com/news/2022/03/20/zelenskyy-ukraine-zakaria-interview-00018716
https://fortune.com/2022/03/25/russia-g20-summit-putin-biden-indonesia-bali-china-ukraine/
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/23/world/europe/putin-speech-russia-ukraine.html
https://fortune.com/2022/03/24/putin-russia-natural-gas-europe-imports-pay-in-rubles-sanctions/
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/23/world/europe/putin-speech-russia-ukraine.html
2:39 Understanding where all sides stand in the Russia/Ukraine War three weeks in
15:21 Sanctions risking a major food shortage: possible solutions, how we got here, creating distributed manufacturing and supply chains, capitalist incentives flipping
34:59 Breaking down the second- and third-order effects of the massive sanctions on Russia; best case/worst case outcomes for this new form of economic warfare, deglobalization
49:26 US economy big picture outlook: inflation, rising rates, decreasing uncertainty potentially a bullish sign in public markets; how that flows to private markets
1:02:06 Rewriting foreign policy playbooks
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/16/us/politics/russia-troop-deaths.html
https://www.axios.com/zelensky-russian-invasion-ukraine-ea623eb5-4a14-4458-9640-af981081e4a4.html
https://twitter.com/davidfrum/status/1504601558184517637
https://uscnpm.org/2022/03/12/hu-wei-russia-ukraine-war-china-choice/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/03/16/ukraine-zelensky-information-war/
https://twitter.com/RichardHanania/status/1504824837964926981
https://twitter.com/ClintEhrlich/status/1504618754784735232
https://www.ft.com/content/7b341e46-d375-4817-be67-802b7fa77ef1
https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/images/Fig4.png
https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/cu22
https://twitter.com/ianbremmer/status/1504214235114577926
https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/10/there-are-more-than-11-million-open-jobs-in-america-right-now.html
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/03/16/business/fed-meeting-interest-rates
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1503989745939980292
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26079957
https://theintercept.com/2022/03/15/ukraine-russia-war-sovereignty-negotiations/
https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/01/politics/ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-biden-white-house/index.html
https://www.state.gov/u-s-ukraine-charter-on-strategic-partnership/
https://www.amazon.com/Changing-World-Order-Nations-Succeed/dp/1982160276/
0:50 Escalating tensions over Russia/Ukraine; nuclear scare; evolving forms of warfare
16:27 Assessing impact of economic sanctions: first, second and third-order effects; exit ramps for Putin and Russia
34:23 Reflecting on if taking NATO expansion off the table would have prevented war; Putin's risk of ruin; lessons learned so far
46:12 New version of economic warfare; possibility of a regime change; comparisons to the Cuban Missile Crisis; realist vs. idealist; lessons for Taiwan
1:05:22 Market impact, increased volatility, thinking in decades, managing risk
1:19:22 Car T-cell therapy breakthroughs and approvals; CRISPR patent controversy; Sacks makes a final point
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/phildstewart/status/1499535843207389186
https://twitter.com/TimothyDSnyder/status/1499587642115117059
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/02/opinion/ukraine-russia-war-zelensky.html
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/LUKOY:OTCMKTS
https://oec.world/en/profile/hs92/wheat
https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1498873063378612227
https://twitter.com/LindseyGrahamSC/status/1499574209567199235
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/04/world/europe/lindsey-graham-putin-russia.html
https://twitter.com/biancoresearch/status/1499385705591709698
https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-war-russia-germany-still-blocking-arms-supplies/
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/28/world/europe/switzerland-russian-assets-freeze.html
https://www.thedefensepost.com/2022/02/28/sweden-arms-ukraine/
https://www.nato.int/docu/update/2008/04-april/e0403h.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JrMiSQAGOS4
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?locations=RU
https://twitter.com/shellenbergermd/status/1499386637066727424
https://bariweiss.substack.com/p/the-wests-green-delusions-empowered?s=r
https://www.npr.org/2022/03/04/1084580235/russia-blocks-facebook-twitter
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/03/technology/ukraine-war-misinfo.html
https://twitter.com/Ukraine/status/1497834538843660291
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1496998762496946203
https://twitter.com/morganhousel/status/1499484089082007552
https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/euro-pinned-war-stokes-stagflation-fears-2022-03-03/
https://twitter.com/zekejmiller/status/1499739582115553281
https://www.wsj.com/articles/crispr-patent-gene-editing-dispute-11646187911
https://twitter.com/MZHemingway/status/1499588624664657926
0:00 Ukraine invasion: how should the US respond?
17:03 Importance of energy independence when dealing with Russia; solutions: Solar, Natural Gas, Nuclear, etc
32:51 Reflecting on the media coverage so far, Putin's ambitions
42:20 Biden's new sanctions, Chamath's Russia story, doing the math on how the US can leverage energy independence
53:19 Markets signaling a potential turnaround, great businesses are available to buy at compressed prices, is Putin mad
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2016/04/the-obama-doctrine/471525/#3
https://nypost.com/2022/01/27/us-nato-must-never-give-in-to-russias-absurd-demands
https://twitter.com/Ukraine/status/1496837835743133699
https://twitter.com/Ukraine/status/1496716168920547331
https://www.wsj.com/articles/jony-ive-steve-jobs-memories-10th-anniversary-11633354769?mod=e2tw
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power_in_Germany
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/2/21/highlights-of-russian-president-putins-speech
https://peterbeinart.substack.com/p/bidens-cia-director-doesnt-believe?utm_source=url
https://www.nationalreview.com/2003/03/unpatriotic-conservatives-david-frum/
0:00 Sacks needs the ball
1:43 Trudeau invokes emergency powers to try and stop the truckers protest
13:45 Bitcoin's role in decentralizing currency away from potentially hostile governments
25:37 San Francisco Board of Education recall: what this means for the boundaries of progressivism
42:02 Assessing Tiger Global's new strategy: less late-stage private companies, more Series A and B rounds, more compressed public tech stocks
1:11:24 HIV stem cell breakthrough, Sacks gives some hot takes on Fauci
1:24:59 Sacks' vendetta corner: Sacks vs. Paul Graham
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.thecountersignal.com/news/rcmp-ban-34-crypto-wallets-from-working-in-canada
https://bariweiss.substack.com/p/get-ready-for-the-no-buy-list?utm_source=url
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1494534850090442752
https://twitter.com/juliettekayyem/status/1491757167308902405
https://twitter.com/juliettekayyem/status/1491789181428715521
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/16/us/san-francisco-school-board-recall.html
https://twitter.com/garrytan/status/1493876167085944834
https://sanfrancisco.cbslocal.com/2021/05/24/covid-funding-loophole-san-francisco-school-reopening
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1493860336713097218
https://twitter.com/MikeBloomberg/status/1494009394257870848
https://theliberalpatriot.substack.com/p/the-democrats-coming-asian-voter
https://twitter.com/phil_hellmuth/status/1494144604555206656
0:00 Bestie Intro: Phil Hellmuth found a new billionaire
1:30 Chamath's new camera positioning
3:58 Revisiting the Joe Rogan/Spotify situation, racism claims, and the video controversy
30:04 Canadian truckers' "Freedom Convoy": root causes, impact, what is this turning into?
45:00 Nuclear fusion breakthrough: Friedberg shares thoughts and theories on what this could mean for the future of energy and life on Earth
54:15 Contrarian energy trade, Chamath's Big Tech play morphing into a long-term investment
1:01:01 Microsoft's savvy "burn it down" app store strategy, US income not keeping up with inflation, consumer sentiment getting worse, opening up and getting back to normal
1:15:57 CIA allegedly used an executive order from 1981 to execute warrantless surveillance on American citizens, DHS domestic terrorism infrastructure
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://variety.com/2022/digital/news/spotify-removes-joe-rogan-episodes-n-word-1235172972
https://people.com/tv/howard-stern-addresses-past-use-of-blackface-n-word
https://twitter.com/aodespair/status/1489565575894478849
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1490803436639588352
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/02/11/world/canada-trucker-protest
https://bariweiss.substack.com/p/what-the-truckers-want
https://globalnews.ca/news/8539610/trucker-convoy-covid-vaccine-mandates-ottawa
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1245179774097477633
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/08/us/politics/new-york-mask-mandate.html
https://theliberalpatriot.substack.com/p/the-left-is-blowing-its-big-opportunity
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/XLE:NYSEARCA?window=6M
https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1491771262544318464
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-consumer-sentiment-falls-fresh-151419313.html
https://www.mercurynews.com/2012/12/13/thomas-sowell-inflation-can-tax-the-poor-as-well-as-the-rich/
https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/716486/biden-is-blowing-his-covid-moment/
https://twitter.com/hollandcourtney/status/1491996868829614081
https://www.wyden.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/HainesBurns_WydenHeinrich_13APR21%20-FINAL.pdf
https://www.dhs.gov/ntas/advisory/national-terrorism-advisory-system-bulletin-february-07-2022
2:34 Bestie Guestie Ryan Petersen joins to break down the supply chain situation: core issues, solutions, things to look out for
45:49 $FB's major pullback: causes, headwinds, and why going all-in on the Metaverse might have been a "frothy market mistake"
55:28 Breaking down the competition in the "XR Wars": Meta, Apple, Microsoft and Google; why a phone might have been a better $10B/year bet for Facebook, Google's strategic brilliance
1:09:14 Spotify's Joe Rogan situation: positions, speech rights, division amongst free speech
1:23:08 Reflection on Baby Boomers' transition from radically free speech and anti-government to authoritarian, misinformation changing over time, using science to discredit science
1:30:10 Xi Jinping and Putin are deepening their relationship: what does this mean for the world, and how should the US strategically respond?
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/INGR:NYSE
https://twitter.com/typesfast/status/1451543776992845834
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/FB:NASDAQ
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/02/meta-reality-labs-reports-10-billion-loss.html
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/PYPL:NASDAQ
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SNAP:NYSE
https://twitter.com/GavinSBaker/status/1462831115572596744
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NFLX:NASDAQ
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/AMZN:NASDAQ
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1489321225520238592
https://bariweiss.substack.com/p/get-ready-for-the-no-buy-list
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/26/arts/music/spotify-neil-young-joe-rogan.html
https://twitter.com/ggreenwald/status/1488252747489202181
https://twitter.com/ggreenwald/status/1489258034865971205
https://www.thewrap.com/tucker-carlson-liberal-viewership-fox-news
https://twitter.com/echeloninsights/status/1487118055582965762
1:35 Reflecting on bad investment decisions and markup dynamics
15:20 Rising tensions between US and Russia over Ukraine, Putin's demands, NATO negotiations as the underreported key piece, Obama's savvy Russia dealings
39:16 Bill Ackman buys the Netflix dip, Tesla and Microsoft crush earnings, the Fed signals rate hikes
55:18 Altos Labs raises $3B in the largest Seed round ever, incredible Yamanaka factors breakthrough, dynamics of a richly capitalized bio-moonshot
1:04:08 The Stripe Mafia, Bolt CEO punches up, reflecting on old emails
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2013-05-30/bitcoin-the-perfect-schmuck-insurance
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1480716684038049796
https://medium.com/@jason/do-the-work-skip-the-party-8f2864560195#724a--share-10-78
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/16/world/europe/russia-ukraine-invasion.html
https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2016/04/the-obama-doctrine/471525
https://www.history.com/news/nato-article-5-meaning-history-world-war-2
https://www.latimes.com/opinion/op-ed/la-oe-shifrinson-russia-us-nato-deal--20160530-snap-story.html
https://www.worldometers.info/gdp/gdp-by-country
https://www.wsj.com/articles/william-ackman-takes-stake-in-netflix-11643236690
https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/Investor/earnings/FY-2022-Q2/press-release-webcast
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/26/fed-decision-january-2022-.html
https://www.tcv.com/tcv-insights/netflix-case-study
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/16/peloton-files-to-sell-1-billion-in-stock-offering-shares-drop.html
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.01.20.477063v1.full.pdf
https://twitter.com/theryanking/status/1485784823641755648
https://twitter.com/shaunmmaguire/status/1486082835974811650
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1486113945790214146
https://twitter.com/shaunmmaguire/status/1486114773209006080
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1486121975311339520
https://my.pitchbook.com/profile/107633-08/company/profile#deal-history/102358-00T
00:00 Cold Open
00:25 Besties react to last week’s All-In E63
21:50 Implications of FTC Chair Lina Khan’s approach to enforcing antitrust
42:21 “Superbubble,” Multiple compression, Fed interest rates, Peloton & Netflix valuations
1:11:04 Sacks explains the NIH’s coordinated effort to downplay the lab leak hypothesis
1:32:01 Friedberg’s new company Cana
1:33:47 Learning loss from COVID school closures
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the Episode:
Lina Khan interview with Kara Swisher and Andrew Ross Sorkin on CNBC
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w1iYGE3PVYA
WSJ article: Sen. Dianne Feinstein & Sen. Alex Padilla advanced the antitrust bill
Chamath’s Social Capital 2019 Annual Letter
https://www.socialcapital.com/annual-letters/2019
Bill Ackman suggests the Fed should raise rate by 50 basis points
https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1482449525595943045?s=20
Gavin Baker’s Twitter on Generals getting shot last
https://twitter.com/GavinSBaker/status/1479454332567310342?s=20
Jonathan Chait in NY Mag on School Closures
Unicef estimate that COVID-19 learning loss could cost students close to $17 trillion
Friedberg’s interview on This Week in Startups
0:00 Bestie Intro: Friedberg prepares for the insurrection discussion
0:39 Breaking down the Oath Keeper indictments and the riots at the capitol, Biden's plummeting approval rating
14:45 Human rights perspectives and challenges: domestic and international
57:36 Considering the rise of authoritarianism in the US, positive stimulus impacts
1:04:09 Groundbreaking study on a possible root cause of multiple sclerosis, pig heart successfully transplanted into living person, SEC considering tightening accreditation laws
1:19:44 Rehashing the roast of Phil Hellmuth
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/13/us/politics/oath-keepers-stewart-rhodes.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/06/opinion/democrats-fail-defending-democracy.html
https://twitter.com/ryanstruyk/status/1481345993320939525
https://www.reuters.com/article/factcheck-walensky-study-idUSL1N2TS0S2
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1481386527485693953
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/12/nyregion/rikers-jail-videos.html
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-22278037
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/14/us/politics/russia-ukraine-us-intelligence.html
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abj8222
https://www.wsj.com/articles/pig-heart-transplant-donor-organs-11641948330https://www.wsj.com/articles/sec-pushes-for-more-transparency-from-private-companies-11641752489
0:00 Bestie intro and poker recap
3:14 Elizabeth Holmes verdict, origins of the fraud, breakdown of the Theranos promise
17:51 Lessons for founders and investors from the Theranos debacle, bad behavior a sign of the top
26:09 Implications of "The Great Markdown" on public and private markets, confusing FED decisions
45:56 Advice for founders on navigating a downturn
1:00:01 a16z's new mega funds; should they go public? How does that change partner dynamics?
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-58469882
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/04/technology/elizabeth-holmes-verdict.html
https://www.businessinsider.com/bill-maris-explains-why-gv-didnt-invest-in-theranos-2015-10
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/05/fed-minutes-december-2021.html
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10YIE
http://www.paulgraham.com/aord.html
https://www.socialcapital.com/annual-letters/2019
https://medium.com/craft-ventures/the-burn-multiple-51a7e43cb200
https://www.statista.com/statistics/266206/googles-annual-global-revenue
(0:00) Recapping the "Superspreader"
(6:12) Predicting 2022's biggest political winner
(11:57) Predicting 2022's biggest political loser
(19:07) Predicting 2022's biggest business winner
(25:47) Predicting 2022's biggest business loser
(34:30) Most contrarian belief for 2022
(1:02:07) Best performing asset for 2022
(1:04:19) Most anticipated trend for 2022
(1:09:19) Most anticipated media for 2022
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IFMMeCMbNt8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CrgYEbIQkac
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/15/chinas-xi-and-russias-putin-talk-geopolitics-in-video-call.html
https://worldpopulationreview.com/countries/countries-by-gdp
https://twitter.com/datarade/status/1474432996845436933
https://twitter.com/kerpen/status/1475209018058723334
https://www.theverge.com/2021/11/23/22245325/samsungbuilding-chipmaking-fab-texas-taylor
https://www.wsj.com/articles/amazon-to-stop-accepting-u-k-issued-visa-credit-cards-11637153600
https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1475438356473409542
https://balajis.com/mirrortable
https://twitter.com/peterdaou/status/1470906537682026499
https://twitter.com/TheOfficialRom/status/1472206678586179588
https://twitter.com/joebiden/status/1322254443644026880
https://www.cdc.gov/media/releases/2021/s1227-isolation-quarantine-guidance.html
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2021/12/27/world/cdc-quarantine-isolation-guidelines#quarantine-5-days
https://twitter.com/FaceTheNation/status/1475209878415323140
(0:00) Catching up on the Web3 wars and Jack Dorsey sounding off
(5:10) Biggest Winner - Politics
(9:43) Biggest Loser - Politics
(14:37) Biggest Political Surprise
(22:24) Biggest Winner - Business
(26:03) Biggest Loser - Business
(30:54) Biggest Business Surprise
(35:27) Best Science Breakthrough
(42:56) Biggest Flash in the Pan
(47:08) Best CEO
(52:43) Best Investor
(57:12) Best Turnaround
(1:02:47) Worth Human Being
(1:07:31) Best Meme
(1:10:02) Most Loathsome Company
(1:14:47) Best New Tech
(1:20:22) Best Trend
(1:22:17) Worst Trend
(1:26:02) Favorite Media