In episode 19, Dr. Calum Miller and I complete our discussion of the Prior Probability of the Resurrection. Episode 18 laid a lot of groundwork for 19. Go listen to it if you haven't! In episode 19, we get a real understanding of what it takes to form an accurate prior probability for Jesus' Resurrection. We address several objections like, "dead people tend to stay dead, so in all likelihood, Jesus stayed dead too, " "miracles almost never happen, so the Resurrection probably didn’t happen," and "any naturalistic theory is going to be more probable than God raising Jesus from the dead." All are shown to be lacking.
Toward the end we address some of the concerns that historians like Mike Licona have against using Bayes Theorem in historical arguments.
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