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Daniel Davis Deep Dive

Russian Controlled Crimea - Will Ukraine Accept? w/Andrei Martyanov

53 min • 21 april 2025

Europe’s military capacity is limited: European countries cannot match Russia’s military production or sustain operations without U.S. support.


Trump could justify withdrawal based on the futility of ongoing efforts and shifting political logic.


Europe would panic and struggle to fill the gap left by the U.S. due to budgetary and industrial constraints.


NATO is essentially synonymous with the U.S., and without it, European defense is largely ineffective.


Russia would maintain its current military strategy, as it is already operating with efficiency and high kill ratios.


If Ukraine loses Western support, Russia could install a neutral, pro-Russian regime and potentially let parts of western Ukraine be absorbed by neighboring countries.


The situation is seen as a consequence of the West’s 2014 involvement in Ukraine, implying that avoiding interference back then might have prevented the war.


The discussion ends with a critical reflection on missed diplomatic opportunities and the tragic human cost of the conflict.Transcr


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