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Daniel Davis Deep Dive

Trump Admin Mixed Signals on UKRAINE PEACE PLAN

38 min • 21 februari 2025

The presentation discusses former President Trump's efforts to broker peace between Russia and Ukraine while also negotiating a minerals deal with Ukraine. Initially, Trump appeared to take a tough stance on Ukrainian President Zelensky, calling him a dictator. However, a U.S. delegation, including Keith Kellogg, visited Kyiv for discussions, though a press conference was abruptly canceled, suggesting growing tensions.


Senator Marco Rubio revealed frustrations over Ukraine allegedly reneging on an agreement involving rare earth minerals. He claimed Zelensky initially agreed to a joint venture, allowing the U.S. to recover some of its financial aid while securing a stake in Ukraine’s resources. However, days later, Zelensky publicly rejected the deal, leading Trump and others to accuse him of deception.


Trump, in a recent interview, expressed frustration, saying Zelensky had no leverage to negotiate and suggesting the U.S. might walk away. National Security Advisor Mark Waltz reinforced this, indicating that Zelensky would eventually sign the deal due to lack of alternatives. Reports suggest Ukraine is now reconsidering the agreement.


The discussion also highlights that mining and processing these minerals would take years, meaning Ukraine wouldn't see immediate profits, while the U.S. views it as a long-term investment. The broader implication is that Zelensky may have miscalculated Trump’s negotiation style, assuming he could leverage tactics that worked under Biden. However, Trump's approach is different, and he appears unwilling to tolerate perceived delays or renegotiations.

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