Carrying the Yen Carry Trade into the Light

Advanced-economy money centers make the world go round.  In the early 1800s London and Paris funded globalization cycles.  Berlin and Vienna joined the exclusive club as the century waned; New York at the start of the next.  Today, East Asia's cities are members, including Singapore and Hong Kong.  But the 800-pound sumo wrestler of the Pacific basin is, and has been, Tokyo. 

Some speculate it was there at the beginning of the eurodollar, putting overseas dollars, held by WW2 service members, to work. The subsequent, multi-decade growth miracle established Tokyo's financial prowess.  The 1980s brought disturbance early - the LDC Crisis - and euphoria later - the baburu keiki. When the bubble burst Japan's dollar borrowings from US banks dropped by more than three-quarters by the end of the 1990s.

Then, in 1999, the Bank of Japan implemented the first modern zero interest rate policy.  In 2001, the first quantitative easing.  From it's 1999 low Japan's dollar borrowings from US banks doubled by 2004.  Then doubled again by 2009.  Then doubled again by 2011. 

In part three of this, the 29th episode of Making Sense, Jeff Snider explains Tokyo's role in the rise of a synthetic dollar empire and how disturbances within it, in early-2014 and late-2017, set off the third and fourth eurodollar crises.  But first, thoughts about the rising appeal of socialism and words about the modern-day monetary tension between the ideas of 18th-century Scottish philosopher David Hume and 19th-century American financier Jay Cooke.

----------WHY----------
PART 01: Dick Costollo said, "Me-first capitalists who think you can separate society from business are going to be the first people lined up against the wall and shot in the revolution. I'll happily provide video commentary." Jeff Snider explains the historical context of Marxist agitation against Capitalism.

PART 02: Over the ages legendary philosophers have offered their thoughts on the nature money. This episode focuses on two - David Hume and Jay Locke - whose ideas, though diametrically opposed, are both true. Also, Antonio Gramsci, Milton Friedman, Nicholas Copernicus and Ice Cube weigh in.

PART 03: The Wall Street Journal recently wrote, "The Japanese government bond market is rarely considered interesting. But beneath the placid surface... a thriving world of dollar funding, which offers hints about developments in China’s banking system too." Jeff Snider tells us what it means.

----------WHERE----------
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----------WHAT----------
There Have Long Been Too Many 'Have Nots' In the U.S.: https://bit.ly/3l4GX5F
The context behind Dick Costollo's Tweet: https://on.ft.com/3lddCpL
Who was Antonio Gramsci: https://bit.ly/36vWcAr
Before Hume, Before Carnegie: https://bit.ly/3iqcg99
Ice Cube Tweet: https://bit.ly/2Gd9JCt
Small But Real Progress Carrying The Yen Carry Trade Into the Light: https://bit.ly/3nc0J0J
How the World’s Dullest Market Quietly Created a Synthetic Dollar Empire: https://on.wsj.com/3l9FV8p

----------WHO----------
Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments with Emil Kalinowski, owner of many red (hardcover) books. Artwork by stylograph sammurai, David Parkins. Podcast intro/outro is "STHLM-Tokyo" by Ooyy and Smartface at Epidemic Sound.