New Data is Screaming a Full Blown Recession is Confirmed

The data continues to pour in showing US consumers have indeed hit the wall. Spending is down according to a variety of sources, including the latest update on retail sales for May. There is also a growing body of evidence indicating there is more weakness to come starting with summer vacations. All this indicates the chances of full-blown recession are rising sharply. 

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

CNN  Evidence is mounting that the American shopper is cutting back
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/06/18/economy/us-retail-sales-may/index.html

McKinsey & Company An update on US consumer sentiment: Are consumers on the cusp of a shift?
https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/consumer-packaged-goods/our-insights/the-state-of-the-us-consumer

Deloitte Summer Travel Survey 2024
https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/insights/articles/us187281_cic_summer-travel/DI_2024-summer-travel.pdf

Federal Reserve Beige Book May 29, 2024
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/BeigeBook_20240529.pdf

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