[Linkpost] “Sentinel’s Global Risks Weekly Roundup #15/2025: Tariff yoyo, OpenAI slashing safety testing, Iran nuclear programme negotiations, 1K H5N1 confirmed herd infections.” by NunoSempere

This is a link post.

Executive summary

The Trump administration backtracked from his tariff plan, reducing tariffs from most countries to 10%, but imposing tariffs of 145% on China, which answered with 125% tariffs on US imports and export controls on rare earth metals.

The US saw protests against Trump and DOGE, and the US Supreme court ruled that the administration must facilitate the return of an immigrant wrongly deported to El Salvador.

OpenAI is slashing the amount of safety testing they will do of their new AI models, from months down to days, and Google launched a new AI chip for inference.

Negotiations between the US and Iran on its nuclear program are starting, reducing our estimated probability of a US strike on Iran's nuclear programme by the end of May to 15%.

The number of US dairy herds that have had confirmed H5N1 infections has hit 1,000.

Economy

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Outline:

(00:24) Executive summary

(01:22) Economy

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First published:
April 14th, 2025

Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Ns7qfCqSgMjQNDZN8/sentinel-s-global-risks-weekly-roundup-15-2025-tariff-yoyo

Linkpost URL:
https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/global-risks-weekly-roundup-152025

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

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