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LessWrong posts by zvi

“AI #111: Giving Us Pause” by Zvi

69 min • 10 april 2025

Events in AI don’t stop merely because of a trade war, partially paused or otherwise.

Indeed, the decision to not restrict export of H20 chips to China could end up being one of the most important government actions that happened this week. A lot of people are quite boggled about how America could so totally fumble the ball on this particular front, especially given what else is going on. Thus, I am going to put these issues up top again this week, with the hopes that we don’t have to do that again.

This week's previous posts covered AI 2027, both the excellent podcast about it and other people's response, and the release of Llama-4 Scout and Llama-4 Maverick. Both Llama-4 models were deeply disappointing even with my low expectations.

Upgrades continue, as Gemini 2.5 now powers Deep Research, and both it and Grok 3 are [...]

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Outline:

(01:20) The Tariffs And Selling China AI Chips Are How America Loses

(08:37) Language Models Offer Mundane Utility

(13:13) Language Models Don't Offer Mundane Utility

(16:16) Huh, Upgrades

(20:50) Choose Your Fighter

(23:33) On Your Marks

(28:37) Deepfaketown and Botpocalypse Soon

(29:25) Fun With Image Generation

(33:37) Copyright Confrontation

(34:24) They Took Our Jobs

(39:24) Get Involved

(40:50) Introducing

(42:49) In Other AI News

(47:13) Show Me the Money

(50:41) Quiet Speculations

(53:35) The Quest for Sane Regulations

(57:35) The Week in Audio

(58:22) AI 2027

(01:02:31) Rhetorical Innovation

(01:05:23) Aligning a Smarter Than Human Intelligence is Difficult

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First published:
April 10th, 2025

Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/RT2zbHdjYwuKXdHjB/ai-111-giving-us-pause

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

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Images from the article:

Hexagonal radar chart comparing PCP and AMIE across six healthcare metrics, divided by perspectives.
Bar graph comparing Claude.ai usage versus U.S. Bachelor Degrees across academic subjects.
Pricing table showing Gemini 2.5 Pro Preview free and paid tiers.
Dark blue interface showing Gemini 2.5 Pro stats and self-recognition comparison chart.
Several comic panels about AI resistance and value changes, with handwritten notes above.
Bar graph showing AI company revenues from 2023-2024, comparing OpenAI, Anthropic, DeepMind.
Circular diagram showing CURIE's research areas and project quantities across disciplines.
Character profile card showing
Graph comparing accuracy rates of AMIE and clinician performance across different Top-n rankings.
Cute green AI character
Pricing table showing different Grok AI models and their token costs.
Cartoon character with swirled blue hair alongside ChatGPT self-recognition statistics.
Scatter plot titled
Matrix diagram showing types of student learning interactions: Direct and Collaborative.

The image organizes educational scenarios into
Orange glowing figure beside profile card showing Claude 3.7's characteristics.
Graph showing capability progression and adaptation buffer between 2024-2034.

(This is a line graph with two trend lines showing
Cartoon emoji character shrugging, wearing blue shirt with orange hair

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