“AI #72: Denying the Future” by Zvi

The Future. It is coming.

A surprising number of economists deny this when it comes to AI. Not only do they deny the future that lies in the future. They also deny the future that is here, but which is unevenly distributed. Their predictions and projections do not factor in even what the AI can already do, let alone what it will learn to do later on.

Another likely future event is the repeal of the Biden Executive Order. That repeal is part of the Republican platform, and Trump is the favorite to win the election. We must act on the assumption that the order likely will be repealed, with no expectation of similar principles being enshrined in federal law.

Then there are the other core problems we will have to solve, and other less core problems such as what to do about AI companions. They [...]

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Outline:

(01:19) Language Models Offer Mundane Utility

(03:54) Language Models Don’t Offer Mundane Utility

(06:22) You’re a Nudge

(08:02) Fun with Image Generation

(08:10) Deepfaketown and Botpocalypse Soon

(13:26) They Took Our Jobs

(13:43) Get Involved

(14:13) Introducing

(15:23) In Other AI News

(20:02) Quiet Speculations

(22:14) The AI Denialist Economists

(29:07) The Quest for Sane Regulations

(31:20) Trump Would Repeal the Biden Executive Order on AI

(34:40) Ordinary Americans Are Worried About AI

(37:50) The Week in Audio

(38:59) The Wikipedia War

(46:45) Rhetorical Innovation

(52:06) Evaluations Must Mimic Relevant Conditions

(54:36) Aligning a Smarter Than Human Intelligence is Difficult

(01:00:51) The Problem

(01:08:43) Oh Anthropic

(01:11:50) Other People Are Not As Worried About AI Killing Everyone

(01:15:48) The Lighter Side

The original text contained 15 images which were described by AI.

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First published:
July 11th, 2024

Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xAoXxjtDGGCP7tBDY/ai-72-denying-the-future

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

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