“AI#28: Watching and Waiting” by Zvi

We are, as Tyler Cowen has noted, in a bit of a lull. Those of us ahead of the curve have gotten used to GPT-4 and Claude-2 and MidJourney. Functionality and integration are expanding, but on a relatively slow pace. Most people remain blissfully unaware, allowing me to try out new explanations on them tabula rosa, and many others say it was all hype. Which they will keep saying, until something forces them not to, most likely Gemini, although it is worth noting the skepticism I am seeing regarding Gemini in 2023 (only 25% for Google to have the best model by end of year) or even in 2024 (only 41% to happen even by end of next year.)

I see this as part of a pattern of continuing good news. While we have a long way to go and very much face impossible problems, the discourse and [...]

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Outline:

(01:38) Table of Contents

(03:36) Language Models Offer Mundane Utility

(06:41) Language Models Don’t Offer Mundane Utility

(08:14) Deepfaketown and Botpocalypse Soon

(12:04) They Took Our Jobs

(13:37) Get Involved

(14:28) Introducing

(16:05) UK Taskforce Update

(18:38) In Other AI News

(22:41) Quiet Speculations

(30:27) The Quest for Sane Regulations

(30:38) The Week in Audio

(44:06) Rhetorical Innovation

(46:23) No One Would Be So Stupid As To

(47:34) Aligning a Smarter Than Human Intelligence is Difficult

(01:01:49) Twitter Community Notes Notes

(01:05:52) People Are Worried About AI Killing Everyone

(01:06:22) Other People Are Not As Worried About AI Killing Everyone

(01:19:07) The Lighter Side

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First published:
September 7th, 2023

Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GuTK47y9awvypvAbC/ai-28-watching-and-waiting

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.