“On the Gladstone Report” by Zvi

Like the the government-commissioned Gladstone Report on AI itself, there are two sections here.

First I cover the Gladstone Report's claims and arguments about the state of play, including what they learned talking to people inside the labs. I mostly agree with their picture and conclusions, both in terms of arguments and reported findings, however I already mostly agreed. If these arguments and this information is new to someone, and the form of a government-backed report helps them process it and take it seriously, this is good work. However, in terms of convincing an already informed skeptic, I believe this is a failure. They did not present their findings in a way that should be found convincing to the otherwise unconvinced.

Second I cover the Gladstone Report's recommended courses of action. It is commendable that the report lays out a concrete, specific and highly detailed proposal. A [...]

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Outline:

(01:13) Executive Summary of Their Findings: Oh No

(07:13) Gladstone Makes Its Case

(14:42) Why Is Self-Regulation Insufficient?

(17:26) What About Competitiveness?

(21:12) How Dare You Solve Any Problem That Isn’t This One?

(22:44) What Makes You Think We Need To Worry About This?

(23:57) What Arguments are Missing?

(27:45) Tonight at 11: Doom!

(30:51) The Claim That Frontier Labs Lack Countermeasures For Loss of Control

(35:42) The Future Threat

(38:45) That All Sounds Bad, What Should We Do?

(45:11) The Key Proposal: Extreme Compute Limits

(51:15) Implementation Details of Computer Tiers

(56:16) The Quest for Sane International Regulation

(01:04:16) The Other Proposals

(01:11:24) Conclusions, Both Theirs and Mine

(01:15:40) What Can We Do About All This?

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First published:
March 20th, 2024

Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ApZJy3NKfW5CkftQq/on-the-gladstone-report

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.