Mobius Poker

In this podcast, we explore the threat of AI bots and their impact on the future of online poker. From advancements in technology to the challenges of detection and regulation, we'll explore the risks that AI poses, and what the poker community can expect in the years to come.

Discussed in this episode:

Chamath Palihapitiya Tweet

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In this episode, I cover the evolving strategies around bet sizing in no-limit hold'em. We'll look at how bet sizing affects your strategy and EV, drawing on lessons from the introduction of solvers like PioSolver to the recent updates from GTO Wizard AI. I'll discuss how using tailored bet sizes can provide an advantage, as well as the risks of overcomplicating your strategy. Whether you're focused on maximizing value or avoiding mistakes, this episode will offer practical insights to improve your game.

Note: At 1:05 I mispoke. I meant to say, "...with the arrival of Ruse, we've started to see some less obvious but still important bet sizing improvements."

Discussed in this episode:

Three Pillars of Poker Theory

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The internet trolls will definitely go after me for this one.

Discussed in this episode:

Magnus Carlsen Interview

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This episode explores five key lessons derived from extensive poker coaching experience. We discuss important aspects of the game that often go beyond mere strategy, including:

- Emotional control and decision-making under pressure

- Effective approaches to studying and improving your game

- Developing a long-term perspective for sustained success

These insights are applicable to players of all levels and aim to provide a deeper understanding of the mental and strategic elements that contribute to poker success.

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Patrick delves into how misunderstanding selection bias can skew your perception of variance in poker, leading you to mistake normal fluctuations for signs of a deeper problem.

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In light of GGPoker's recent purchase of WSOP for $500 million, Patrick revisits his posts about GGPoker's extremely high rake in cash games, and what the company's entrance into US online poker markets could mean for the future of poker. In this episode, you'll also learn how to calculate how beatable your games are based on the average loss rates of recreational players.

Note: I mentioned at 6:40 that most regulars on GGPoker report to me that they get about 3-4 bb/100 in rake back. I should clarify that this is at low-mid stakes. At 5knl+, the rakeback is much lower.

Discussed in this episode

• X: Reg Win Rates on GGPoker by Number of Hands Played • X: Average Win Rates of Regs, GGPoker vs. PokerStars • TwoPlusTwo: GGPoker Rakeback Collusion Investigation

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In our first episode, we dive into the controversial reports surrounding Ignition Poker. Patrick examines player allegations of bots and collusion, mysterious refunds, and unexplained bans. Learn about the potential implications for online poker, get practical advice for navigating these issues. This episode is essential listening for every online poker player concerned about game integrity and the future of the sport.

Discussed in this episode

Mobius Poker on X: Players Report Bots and Colluders Bypassing Ignition's Security...

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