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Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova

Thinking Smart About Low-Probability Events

43 min • 27 februari 2025

This week, Nate and Maria discuss the asteroid that had a 3% chance of colliding with Earth. That risk is now closer to 0%—but, what does this example reveal about how to consider extremely costly events that are fairly unlikely to come to pass?

Then, they touch on the latest World Series of Poker drama and challenge each other to a game of Roshambo.

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