2 YEAR POD ANNIVERSARY! Climate Change; Missouri Is b-a-n-a-n-a-s; 2022 Senate Races; Last Call preview

Hosts Adam Sommer, Rachel Parker, and Sean Diller bring their particular analysis and "middle out approach" to issues from and impacting the heartland of America and politics.

1. Adam's Open - "The Decent of Descent"
2. Climate Change Impacting Heartland Voters?
3. Missouri Senate Race, 2022 - Holy Shit, and Trump weighed in
4. 2022 Midterms - Senate update
5. Last Call Preview

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1. True or False: An very dry and hot June in the midwest helps move the needle for climate change with heartland voters?

1. People glued themselves to art in London

1. https://twitter.com/davenewworld_2/status/1544422582337912840?s=20&t=EkRBsMXkzwzjISbSyOOhRA

2. Lake Mead has become so dried up people are treasure hunting

1. https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2022/06/27/lake-mead-reservoir-drought/

2. The Midwest resettlement for climate refugees?

1. Yeah…No… The Missouri Senate Race - Real Clear Politics has moved this race to LEANS GOP

1. Ad spending is at $10 Million in the primary alone https://missouriindependent.com/2022/07/07/tv-ad-spending-approaches-10-million-in-missouri-u-s-senate-primary/

1. Eric Schmitt’s desperate flame thrower ad

1. https://twitter.com/Eric_Schmitt/status/1544331405013942276?s=20&t=qKzOZTBdwxwkB_a5jcx3WA

2. Friend calls on Greitens to drop out https://www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/old-friend-calls-on-greitens-to-drop-out-of-missouri-s-us-senate-race/article_ebf2bde7-1cbc-5af1-a743-6e8a8b83d061.html#tracking-source=home-top-story?utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter_stltoday

3. “Independent Candidate” John Wood, who supports Mitch McConnell https://www.businessinsider.com/jack-danforth-john-wood-missouri-senate-alternative-eric-greitens-2022-6

1. Debate for Dems was set up for only Kunce and TBV, excluding the rest of the entire field

1. https://www.stltoday.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/no-trudy-busch-valentine-no-tv-debate/article_4e3a18ac-1634-5937-9786-7bdedecb1a0b.html

2. Screen shot of the “polling” used to determine viable candidates paired with having enough individual donors

3. Great example of the kind of behavior that burns trust in Media and discourages folks from running who aren’t already established with access or the money to buy that access

5. Our updated twitter polling

1. 2022 Midterms Decision Desk Check In - Senate edition

1. Five thirty Eight forecast for reference:

1. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/

2. Real Clear Politics Map for Senate

1. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/elections-map.html

1. Iowa - Grassley looks to have it in the bag

2. Indiana - Todd Young (R) over Thomas McDermott

3. Wisconsin - still a primary to finish but looks like Ron Johnson (Trump connected) v. Mandela Barnes (D)

4. Ohio - JD Vance currently favored over Tim Ryan in about ta 10 pt race but some polling shows different

1. https://twitter.com/politics_polls/status/1544814878237638657?s=21&t=Wd0W8oZMPnuohGJkzfm2dg

5. Nevada - Catherine Cortez Masto (D) narrow favorite over Adam Paul Laxat

6. Pennsylvania - Fetterman (D) v. Oz - toss up state

1. Oz misspelled his alleged home county

2. One poll in June from USA today showed Fetterman at +9

7. Arizona - Rated as a toss up - Mark Kelly, an astronaut, up for reelection after the special election in 2020 which he won, this time against Blake Masters most likely, their primary is in August

1. Nothing super recent but all prior polling showed Kelly as likely winner

8. Georgia - Herschel Walker (r) v. Raphael Warnock - somehow a tossup

1. Other states not mentioned: Kansas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Kentucky all have races but would need some kind of massive shift to be in play at all

2. Reports of Walker lying to campaign staff about his undisclosed children

3. Recent polling shows from a tie to as much as +10 for Warnock

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Twitter: @TheHeartlandPOD

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Host: Adam Sommer 

Find Adam on tik-tok and bluesky as "midmapdadenergy" - follow The Process on instagram. 

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Outro Song: “The World Is On Fire” by American Aquarium 

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Nothing on this channel is to be taken as legal advice for any jurisdiction. All statements are opinions that reflect on that of the speaker and the purpose of the show is to provide space for discussion that may include statements or opinions shared only for the purpose of discussion.