Death Tax Political Theater, 2022 Return To The "Norm" for GOP?, Vicky Hartzler's Twitter Suspension, our SOTU "reaction", the first real look at the 2022 Senate races to watch

Adam Sommer gives and Opening Statement connecting the "Death Tax" to "School Choice"

Rachel Parker and Sean Diller join Adam for a Talkin' Politics session, covering:

1. True Or False (6-7):Normcore Republicans Will Change The Trajectory of 2022 midterms?

1. In Missouri - multiple candidates rejected for being just the absolute worst

1. GOP rejected filing fees from Rep. Derges - the fake sure doctor and
   https://www.ky3.com/2022/02/23/missouri-gop-rejects-filing-fee-indicted-state-rep-tricia-derges/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=snd&utm_content=kytv

2. GOP rejected filing fees from Steve West
   https://www.8newsnow.com/news/missouri-gop-rejects-filing-fee-of-candidate-who-once-said-hitler-was-right/

2. https://twitter.com/Adam_Sommer85/status/1500193806989340672?s=20&t=3M1Ifcr_52sF6fBZqhG3pg

3. National scene more of the same?

1. Yeah…No…(3min) Vicky’s twitter suspension for attacking trans people -

1. Buy or Sell (7-9) People still remember literally ANYTHING about the State of the union as of when this show comes out, Monday the 7th - less than a week later

1. Policy v. Political theater

2. Boebert shows her ass

3. Most salient and clear message was the US resolve against Russia

1. The Big One (16-18) - 34 Senate Seats are up for election in 2022

1. Useful link you can hover the state and it gives you information on the seat and it’s 2016 and 2020 margins

1. https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_elections,_2022#Seats_up_for_election

1. Some races are obvious and easy to predict, no reason to spend lots of time wondering if Rand Paul will be reelected in Kentucky or if Mike Lee will be reelected in Utah - feel pretty comfy saying Alex Padilla will be reelected in California

2. Cook political report has 5 of those as toss ups

1. https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings

1. Penn R - Open

2. Wisc R- Ron Johnson

3. Arizona D - Kelly

4. Nevada D - Cortez Masto

5. Georgia D - Warnock

1. 4 seats are in the leaning column

1. Florida R - Rubio

2. Ohio - open

3. North Carolina - open

4. New Hampshire D - Hassan

2. Real Clear Politics has a broader map including Missouri as a “leans R” seat and wit 7 in the toss up and 5 more in the leaning - 3 more potentials

1. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/elections-map.html

3. Sabatos Cyrstal Ball - my favorite of the Crystal Ball

1. https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2022-senate/

2. Penn - Georgia - Arizona - Nevada - that’s it for toss ups

4. Other seats in the Midwest no one is talking about but us:

1. Kansas - Held by incumbent Jerry Moran

2. Oklahoma

3. Iowa

Penn R - Open - 12 Democrats - 16 Republicans - including Dr. Mehmet Oz - whose campaign slogan is ‘scrubs on, masks off!’

Conor Lamb - D - $4MM raised, $3MM cash, $0 debt

Dr. Oz - R - $5.8MM raised, $1MM cash, $5MM debt - my understanding is he loaned 5 million dollars of his own money to his campaign

David Xu Redneck - R - $1,700 raised, all from David except $50 - $1200 cash, no debt

Carla Sands - R - $4MM raised, 3.6 was hers, $1.5MM cash

Eric Orts - D - $244,000 raised, $1700 cash, no debt

Craig Snyder - $38K

Val Arkoosh - D - $2.8MM raised, $1.2 cash, $500K loan

Dr. Kevin Baumlin - D - $600K raised

Sharif Street - D - $400K raised

Malcolm Pac - D - $1.5MM raised, $285K cash, no debt

Jeff Bartos - R - $3.3MM raised, $2.4 cash, $1.2 loans

John Fetterman - D - $11.9MM raised, $5.3 cash, no debt

Kathy Barnett - R - $1.2MM raised, $565K cash, $158K debt

Americans for Parnell - $2MM raised, $330K cash, $73K debt

Citizens for Josh Mandel - $2MM raised, $6MM cash, no debt

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Outro Song: “The World Is On Fire” by American Aquarium 

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