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Tom Nelson

Maaneli (Max) Derakhshani: ENSO Warming vs CO2 Warming | Tom Nelson Pod #89

38 min • 31 mars 2023

Maaneli (Max) Derakhshani is a postdoctoral researcher currently based at Rutgers University, New Brunswick. He completed his Ph.D. in the Foundations of Physics at Universiteit Utrecht, and works in the Foundations of Quantum Mechanics and Quantum Gravity.


Maaneli has published his research in journals such as Physics Letters A, Journal of Physics, Pure and Applied Mathematics Quarterly, Entropy, and Symmetry, and has served as an anonymous referee for Physical Review A, Foundations of Physics, Fluctuations and Noise Letters, Studies in the History and Philosophy of Modern Physics, The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, and Cambridge University Press; his work has also been covered in Science, New Scientist, EurekaAlert!, Phys.org, and the Clubhouse show It's About Time!, among other media outlets.


Outside of physics, Maaneli has contributed a philosophical essay, “Another Thing in This Universe that Cannot Be an Illusion,” to the volume, Sam Harris: Critical Responses, and will contribute an essay to the upcoming volume, Steven Pinker: Critical Responses.


Maaneli is also a member of the Manhattan Institute and Adam Smith Society therein, and works with them to advocate for free markets and limited government. His shift to a more sensible view about climate change was initiated by reading Thomas Gale Moore's, Climate of Fear: Why We Shouldn't Worry About Global Warming, a book enthusiastically endorsed by his favorite economist, Milton Friedman, for making a compelling case that global warming will most likely bring net benefits to the general public.


YouTube version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oo8lyL6lYQU

Slides for this presentation: https://tomn.substack.com/p/enso-warming-vs-co2-warming

https://twitter.com/MaxDerakhshani

https://co2coalition.org/teammember/maaneli-max-derakhshani/

00:00 Introduction

00:25 Followup to an earlier podcast

01:22 Four questions

01:58 Recap of previous podcast

08:47 Magnitude of CO2 warming

15:34 Clouds

16:38 Iris effect

18:22 2/3 of Earth's surface is usually cloudy

18:59 Work of Patrick Frank

19:25 Big uncertainty

21:08 Need a 100X improvement in climate model accuracy

23:45 John Christy charts

27:47 Models predict far too much warming

32:25 M E I based regression model fits the data extremely well

33:48 Net feedbacks must not be positive

35:25 Warming from ENSO and CO2 warming are effectively independent

36:45 CO2 warming must be playing a very minor role

——

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Tom Nelson's Twitter: https://twitter.com/tan123

Substack: https://tomn.substack.com/

About Tom: https://tomnelson.blogspot.com/2022/03/about-me-tom-nelson.html

Notes for climate skeptics:

https://tomn.substack.com/p/notes-for-climate-skeptics

ClimateGate emails:

https://tomnelson.blogspot.com/p/climategate_05.html

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