SI145: The 3 D's of Inflation ft. Mark Rzepczynski

Mark Rzepczynski returns this week to discuss the recent decline in commodity prices, perceived hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve, trading narratives versus trading price action, the feasibility of Trend Following on options, the increased time & labour of short-term trading, the benefits of huge sample sizes, the differences between trading single stocks versus index futures, how investing rules offset our natural human tendencies, whether Technical Analysis contributes to typical Trend Following strategies, and Mark explains the ‘3 D’s’ of inflation.

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In this episode, we discuss:

• Commodity prices falling, even after recent inflation fears
• How price action incorporates all narratives
• Trend Following on options
• The extra costs of short-term trading
• Single stocks versus index futures
• If Technical Analysis forms part of a typical Trend Following system
• Mark's '3 D's' of inflation

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro

01:37 – A big thank you to listeners of the show for leaving your 5-star reviews on iTunes

02:32 – Macro recap from Niels

06:19 – Weekly review of performance

16:53  – Q1; Omar: Why is Trend Following associated mostly to futures?

31:32  – Q2; Mohammed: How do I overcome a lack of patience and discipline?

35:33  – Q3; Abishek: How does Technical Analysis relate to Trend Following?

39:43 – Predicting market reactions to Federal Reserve announcements

56:26 – How price moves change narratives and not the other way around

01:00:16 – The ‘Three D’s’ of inflation

01:05:33 – When is the best time to invest in Trend Following?

01:11:29 – Benchmark performance update

01:12:52 - Recommended listening or reading this week: The Half Life of Facts by Samuel Arbesman and The Premonition by Michael Lewis

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