SI201: Trend Followers Positioned for Recession ft. Richard Brennan

Today, Richard Brennan tackle lots of great questions from listeners as to why Trend Following works, why trends occur in markets and why it is best to exploit them using a systematic approach, the idea of doing Trend Following on Trend Following using the TTU trend barometer. We also discuss different ways of looking at leverage in your portfolio, pros and cons of using stops and different approaches to applying volatility targeting. Lastly, we discuss why it can be beneficial to trade more than one Trend Following system, the issues that can occur when using the same system for a diversified composite, how to avoid the anxiety associated with building drawdowns and finally we address recent statements made that CTAs may be not be well positioned should we enter into a recession.

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

02:03 - Update on recent market and economic news?

08:36 - Industry Performance update

10:28 - Q1, Bruno: Why does Trend Following work?

22:57 - Q2, Elie: Doing Trend Following on Trend Following 

29:50 - Q3, Adam: How to calculate leverage for a CTA?

35:43 - Q4, Mark: Complicating your system with stops & views on volatility targeting

54:51 - Trading an ensemble of systems vs. a single system

58:44 - Using the same systems for a diversified portfolio

01:06:12 - Dealing with the psychological challenges of drawdowns

01:13:22 - Comments on whether Vol or TF strategies may be best for a comming Recession

01:22:01 - Thanks for listening

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