Dark Winter

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Transcript:
https://app.podscribe.ai/episode/53450787
Speaker 0 (0s): Is it afternoon 

Speaker 1 (25s): Midnight snack right now for all I know. All I know is that I'm happy. You're taking a moment to listen to this. So I'm going to try to make it enjoyable for you this week. We've been working on some different strategies, strategies in general, we've gone over some battles that happened in world war two, and we've applied them to our everyday life. I thought we would continue on that series, but in a more conspiratorial type of way. 

That's why I want to start off today with a story about the light brigade. I have you ever heard about the light brigade? Well, if you haven't, you're going to hear about it. Now. I'm going to read the poem by our Lord Alfred Tennyson, and then I'll give you some background on it. Let's begin a half a league, half a league, half a league onward all in the Valley of death rowed, the 600 for word, the light brigade, half a league, half a league, half a league gone were all in the Valley of death road in the 600 for word, the light brigade charge for the guns. 

He said into the Valley of death wrote to 600 word for word. The light brigade was they're a man dismayed, not tho the soldier new someone had blundered. There is not to make a reply. There's not to the reason why there's butt to do and die into the Valley of death. Look at the 600 Can into the right of them, Canon to the left of them, Canon in front of them. Follied and thunder stormed at with shot and shell Boldy they wrote and Well into the jaws of death, into the mouth of hell rote, the 600. 

It flashed all their sabers bare flashed. As they turned in the air, sabering the gunners there charging an army while all of the world's wonder when used in the battery's smokes right through to the line, they broke caustic and in Russian reel from the Sabre stroke shattered in Sunder, then they will back back, but not, not the 600 Canon to the ride of them can in to the left of them are Kennan behind them. 

Following in the thunder stormed at, with shot and shell wall force and hero fell. They that had fought. So Well came into the jaws of death back from the mouth of hell. All of that was left of them left out of 600. When Can their glory fade, Oh the wild charged they made all the world wondered honor the charge they made honor the light brigade, noble 600. 

What do you think? Pretty interesting, right? Let me see a little bit more about the light brigade. What happened there? So the light brigade was what was known as the charge, the light brigade, and that was a failed military action involving the British, like Calvary against these Russian forces during the battle of a lot of clever 

Speaker 2 (3m 49s): On October 25th, 1850, for in the Crimean war, the light brigade was the equivalent of like the 82nd airborne in the Navy seals or like the UN unbelievable special forces. And they were the best of the best. And they were sent by a command or that had zero experience into the Valley of death to be slaughtered. 

And it's a good example of how inexperience can turn the tide or how inexperience are foolish decision making can cause even the greatest Armie to lose is poor planning. It's people with really big egos and Xero experience calling the shots because you think about anybody like that in your life. You're probably thinking, and your aunt Georgia, I'm thinking about you. You're a big dummy. Maybe maybe I'm pretty big dummy some times, but other times I'm a pretty awesome. 

So let's not talk about me. All right. I was going to portray this to what's going on right now in our situation. I had a, I been seeing a lot of stuff on my radar about like, Dark Winter have you guys heard about this? Dark Winter Dark Winter is coming Dark Winter and it, it got me thinking I kind of Googled it and I, I checked it out. And let me tell you some What operation Dark Winter is on June 22nd, 23rd of 2001. 

These groups created a senior level war game that simulated a smallpox attack in the United States are known as Dark Winter essentially it was a mock version of a widespread smallpox attack on these dates, senior policymakers and us officials met with the simulation at Andrews air force base, according to shining light on Dark Winter drive Winter it was a tabletop exercise. Decisionmakers were presented with a fictional scenario and asked to react to the facts and context of the scenario established strategies and making policy decisions to the extent the were made so incorporated into the evolving exercise. 

So the key decisions affected the evolution and outcomes of the scenario in this scenario, members of the national security council met to discuss a developing situation in Southwest Asia, but they received word of a smallpox outbreak in Oklahoma, Georgia, and Pennsylvania. They are briefed on the outbreak the time between exposure and symptoms developing and the lack of vaccines. The NSC was tasked with determining both the Cause and the Opry, the purpose of operation Dark Winter in foreign policies, article America's pandemic war games, don't end Well Mark Perry explains the Dark Winter exercise ended on the second day at a simulation after the three long sessions and purposely without resolution. 

But then the exercises goal was not to predict the future, but to dramatize the issues faced by the federal government, during a nationwide health crisis in this it masterfully succeeded showing that what begins as a localized disease outbreak can quickly become a crisis that envelops the entire nation and the world state borders become checkpoints crowded with those fleeing the disease, Canada and Mexico closed their borders with the U S the foreign nations restrict travel of American citizens. 

Ultimately, the purpose of the war game was to highlight the vulnerabilities in our healthcare systems and policies by putting in worst case, but plausible scenarios, the findings of operation Dark Winter and attack on the United States with biological weapons could threaten vital national security interests, massive civilian casualties break down on essential institutions, violation of D democratic process, civil disorder, loss of confidence in government and reduced U S strategic flexibility abroad. Current organizational structures and capabilities are not well suited for the management of biowarfare attack, major fault lines, and just between different levels of government, federal, state, local between government and private sector among different institutions and agencies, and within the public and private sector, these disconnects could impede situational awareness and compromise the ability to limit loss of life suffering, an economic damage. 

There is no surge capability in the U S healthcare and public health systems or in the pharmaceutical and vaccine industries. This institutionally in limited search capacity could result in hospitals being overwhelmed and becoming inoperable, and it could impede public health agencies analysis of the scope source and progress of the epidemic. The ability to educate and reassure the public and their capacity to limit casualties. And the spread of disease feeling with media will be a major immediate challenge for all levels of government information management and communication will be a critical element in crisis. 

Consequence management should a ...